Business Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “Business”.

Related tagsTechnology

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Clone of Inventory model with delays
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Morecroft, John (2015) Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics, Ch 1 p13 -14

Fish Banks
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Bottom-Up Sales Forecasting for Startups

The purpose of this simulation is to demonstrate the implications of forecasting sales without consideration for how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. A common mistake in sales forecasting is to define your # of expected sales leads based on your total market size and your assumption regarding the % of that market you can reach. 

This model demonstrates the forecasting impact to defining the # of expect leads based on how much it cost you to acquire a lead and how much you have available to spend. 

Important Variables:
1. [UseLAC?] (set to 1 to use the lead acquisition cost to define your reachable market; use 0 to set the reachable market to equal the total available market size)
2. LAC (should equal what it cost you to acquire a lead)
3. SalesMarketingBudget : how much you have available to spend on customer acquisition

Other Variables:
4. Price : Avg spending amount per new customer
5. Total Available Market : Total available market size
6. Conversion Rate : the % of your target market that will become a lead


Clone of Bottom-up Sales Forecasting
Insight diagram

Dynamic system underlying project life cycles From Roberts Edward B The Dynamics of Research and Development p5 Harper & Row NY 1964

Clone of The dynamics of R&D
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We want to know the estimated projected Earnings before tax of a 5 year project. For this we have modeled Sales Growth, Cost of goods sold and Admin. expenses applying sensitivity testing by using probability distributions.
Revised flow for Gene
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What variable cause employee turnover?
Clone of EE retention causal loop
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simple diagram to illustrate short term fix
short term fix
Insight diagram
Rich Picture se zabývá problémem nízké kvality produktů na trhu
nizka_kvalita_produktu
Insight diagram
  • This insights explores the organizational factors influencing strategy implementation and the interrelationship among some of the factors.
Clone of Clone of Strategy implementation
Insight diagram
Clone of Grocery Store System - Stock & Flow Diagram/SD Model
11 months ago
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A model to understand the evolution of a business based on the company policies
Cash capital model
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EEIS Health App
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Causal loop diagram based on Jack  Homer's  Worker burnout: a dynamic model with implications  for prevention and control

System Dynamics Review 1985 1(1)42-62

 

Clone of Burnout Dynamics CLD
Insight diagram
WIP Summary of Froud et al 2017 article from special Theory Culture and Society issue on Elites and Power after Financialization with WIP SIB social impact bonds katz AmJPH 2018 article
Outsourcing the State
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in progress
reinforcing loop creating price war
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Multi-echelon inventory optimization (sounds like a complicated phrase!) looks at the way we are placing the inventory buffers in the supply chain. The traditional practice has been to compute the safety stock looking at the lead times and the standard deviation of the demand at each node of the supply chain. The so called classical formula computes safety stock at each node as Safety Stock = Z value of the service level* standard deviation * square root (Lead time). Does it sound complicated? It is not. It is only saying, if you know how much of the variability is there from your average, keep some 'x' times of that variability so that you are well covered. It is just the maths in arriving at it that looks a bit daunting. 

While we all computed safety stock with the above formula and maintained it at each node of the supply chain, the recent theory says, you can do better than that when you see the whole chain holistically. 

Let us say your network is plant->stocking point-> Distributor-> Retailer. You can do the above safety stock computation for 95% service level at each of the nodes (classical way of doing it) or compute it holistically. This simulation is to demonstrate how multi-echelon provides better service level & lower inventory.  The network has only one stocking point/one distributor/one retailer and the same demand & variability propagates up the supply chain. For a mean demand of 100 and standard deviation of 30 and a lead time of 1, the stock at each node works out to be 149 units (cycle stock + safety stock) for a 95% service level. You can start with 149 units at each level as per the classical formula and see the product shortage. Then, reduce the safety stock at the stocking point and the distributor levels to see the impact on the service level. If it does not get impacted, it means, you can actually manage with lesser inventory than your classical calculations. 

That's what your multi-echelon inventory optimization calculations do. They reduce the inventory (compared to classical computations) without impacting your service levels. 

Hint: Try with the safety stocks at distributor (SS_Distributor) and stocking point (SS_Stocking Point) as 149 each. Check the number of stock outs in the simulation. Now, increase the safety stock at the upper node (SS_stocking point) slowly upto 160. Correspondingly keep decreasing the safety stock at the distributor (SS_Distributor). You will see that for the same #stock outs, by increasing a little inventory at the upper node, you can reduce more inventory at the lower node.
Clone of Multi-echelon Inventory Optimization
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How the Lean Startup method, developed by Eric Reis, works as a business system.
Clone of Lean Startup Business System
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Simple model used to assess the likely outcome of Revenue and Profit due to variability of purchase price, price impact on Units Sold, and Units Sold impact on Unit Cost.
Clone of Impact of variable price on revenue & profit
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Model of a developer hub
Dev Hub model
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Leverage Actions
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​A model of viral growth. Based upon:

http://www.linkedin.com/today/post/article/20121011190820-18876785-how-to-model-viral-growth-simple-loss
Clone of Viral Growth
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BYU Alumni Contributions
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How the Lean Startup method, developed by Eric Reis, works as a business system.
Clone of Lean Startup Business System
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DRAFT

a small model of a "generic" company.
Clone of small model company draft