Insight diagram
This is an insight about food-born pathogens and what factors are affected by it's outbreaks. This is a huge issue that is not very well-known. The pathogens in food has been increasing their resistance to antibiotics by mutations. Because we are generally using antibiotics more each day, the resistance in these pathogens is growing more rapidly then it did before.
Food-born pathogen outbreaks
Insight diagram
Clone of Grocery Store System - CLD to Stock & Flow Presentation
Insight diagram
We are modeling future cash flows in the system consisting of three interacting parties, one of which secures deals between the two others which do not trust each other.
Clone of Factoring platform on blockchain with loop
Insight diagram
Very basic stock-flow diagram of simple interest with table and graph output in interest, bank account and savings development per year. Initial deposit, interest rate, yearly deposit and withdrawal, and initial balance bank account can all be modified.
Clone of Stock-Flow diagram of savings account - simple interest
Insight diagram
Format: Given pre-conditions when independent variables(s) then dependent variable

Given Earnings Decline (0.25), Spending Variance (55), Initial Investment (500) and Rate of Return (RandNormal(0.06, 0.12)) when one of these independent variables change then how sensitive is Investment (22) over a 30 year time period (-1,000)

H1: if you Earn more then Investment will last much longer => rejected

H2: if you Spend less then Investment will last much longer => accepted

H3: if your Initial Investment is higher then Investment will last much longer => accepted

H4: if you reduce your Spend when Investments are declining then Investment will last much longer => accepted

Given Earnings Decline (0.25), Spending Variance (55), Initial Investment (500) and Rate of Return (RandNormal(0.06, 0.12)) when one of these independent variables are optimised then Investment will last exactly 30 years by minimising the absolute investment gap

H1: if you set an appropriate Spending Base then remaining Investment is 0 => rejected

H2: if you set an appropriate Spending Reduction then remaining Investment is 0 => rejected

Source for investment returns: https://seekingalpha.com/article/3896226-90-year-history-of-capital-market-returns-and-risks
OrangeFortune | Wealth Management when Retiring
4 8 months ago
Insight diagram
Very basic stock-flow diagram of compound interest with table and graph output in interest and savings development per year. Initial deposit, interest rate, yearly deposit and withdrawal can all be modified.
Stock-Flow diagram of savings account
Insight diagram
Nastiňuje vlivy financí a školních výsledků na školáka
Finance a spokojenost školáka verze 2
Insight diagram
Clone of Grocery Store System - CLD to Stock & Flow Presentation
Insight diagram
Clone of Grocery Store System - Stock & Flow Diagram
Insight diagram
Clone of Grocery Store System - CLD to Stock & Flow Presentation
Insight diagram
Very basic stock-flow diagram of simple interest with table and graph output in interest, bank account and savings development per year. Initial deposit, interest rate, yearly deposit and withdrawal, and initial balance bank account can all be modified. 
I have developed a lesson plan in which students work on both simple and compound interest across both IM and Excel. I also wrote an article about this. Both are in Dutch, which you can translate using for example Google Translate.
Clone of Stock-Flow diagram of savings account - simple interest
Insight diagram
Causal loop diagram illustrating a variety of feedback loops influencing the price of oil.
Clone of Oil Price Influencers (3-Loop)
Insight diagram
Simulation d'un stock de cognac (ou d'un autre produit similaire, dont la valeur augmente avec l'âge). L'idée est d'une part de modéliser correctement les flux de production et de vente, puis de calculer l'équilibre en capital de l'outil de production.
On constate que l'équilibre financier n'est pas atteint tout de suite, car il faut plusieurs années avant d'avoir des stocks dont la valeur à la vente est intéressante.
Dans notre exemple, l'investissement initial est remboursé après environ 30 ans, et, à partir de là, les bénéfices s'accumulent.
Stock de cognac
Insight diagram
Simulation compares Bitcoin cloud mining opportunity (hashflare.io) to HODL.
The model does not calculate with mining difficulty, pool's efficiency and changes in fees. Using monthly cloud fees as of the end of November 2017.
Used https://www.coinwarz.com/calculators/bitcoin-mining-calculator for mining calculations.

Clone of HODL vs. cloud mining
Insight diagram
Trial 10 - Grocery System
Insight diagram
Clone of Grocery Store System - Stock & Flow Diagram
Insight diagram
Czech startUp company model
Insight diagram
A model of an infectious disease and control

Clone of Disease Dynamics (Agent Based Modeling) Guy Lakeman
Insight diagram
Clone of Grocery Store System - Stock & Flow Diagram
Insight diagram
Simple model used to assess the likely outcome of Revenue and Profit due to variability of purchase price, price impact on Units Sold, and Units Sold impact on Unit Cost.
Impact of variable price on revenue & profit
Insight diagram
Τυπική ή προκαταβολική πληρωμή δανείου;
Δάνειο
Insight diagram
The systemic problem is to understand what influence the gold price?

Many articles say that the gold price is manipulated and some analysts predict that the bubble will burst. (1)

We think that understanding how gold can be influenced by different factors is an interesting research topic. The variation of the gold price is a real-world problem which evaluates through the interaction of a group of different elements.

It seems that the gold price is a very complex problem understanding. Of course everybody has his own thinking about the problem according to his own filter.

But this approach is most of the time not valuable because there is not a full view of all the variables and their link. In a context of a growing demand and a constant supply, be able to determine if gold price will continue to increase and if this asset will represent a safe investment for the new decade.

In September 2011, gold price surged a record, $1,274,75 an ounce. According to the Commodities guru George Soros “gold was the ultimate bubble" and was no longer a safe investment.

On the other hand, the research conducts by metal consultant GFMS predicted that gold will hit a new record of $1,300 an ounce. (2)

Who was right? Both of them. 

This example illustrates how complex is the problem.

At the time of this research the price of gold is $1,316,79 an ounce.

Wealthy persons are concerned by preserving their fortune, they also look to maximise their wealth and to keep it safe. Many options are available to investors, despite buillion is a popular asset on a long-term portfolio, nowadays is it gold a safe investment? That is a good question. Also understanding the impact of gold on the economy and how it is link to poverty might be interesting. To analyze an issue, one must first define it.

In order to get a better understanding of the gold price we will model this complex problem. Our goal is to visualize the interconnection of elements and be able to identify feedback loops with the aim to understand the complexity of the problem.

We will analyse different documents from various sources, underline variables and identify their relationships over time.

 


 (1) https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2017/04/28/who-controls-gold-price-001058

 

 (2) https://www.bullionbypost.co.uk/index/gold-investment/is-gold-a-safe-investment/

 

Clone of IS GOLD A SAFE INVESTMENT
Insight diagram
Valle de la Muerte
Insight diagram
THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

Growth in supply and productivity is a summation of variables as is demand ... when the link between them is broken by catastrophic failure in a component the creation of unpredictable chaotic turbulence puts the controls ito a situation that will never return the system to its initial conditions as it is STIC system (Lorenz)

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite working containers (villages communities)

Clone of Clone of Clone of THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES CHAOTIC TURBULENCE (+controls)