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Final SSM Lionfish Management PT2 revised with Storytelling
7 months ago
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An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Nina Coffee Company Model *
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ENTICE new_combined
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Barangay IRAWAN Systems Model
Biophysical, Socio-cultural & Economic Data of Bgy. IRAWAN
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An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Miles Tomlinson version 1 (Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02)
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Better Business - Economic
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THE NEW SCIENCE OF PLEASURE Daniel L. McFadden NBER Working Paper 18687

From Extended Neoclassical to Behavioral Choice Models
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Paper 5 short loops
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this model shows the relationship between economic growth and government debt (just the bailout debt) and the mortgage default burden. At the current rates, the debt will never be paid off.
bailout debt, mortgage defaults and economic growth
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SImplified causal loop diagram of The system dynamics approach for a global evolutionary analysis of sustainable development 2024 article on the Earth4All model
Global sustainable development
8 months ago
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Health Determinants
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GSGS4610_FastFashion_FinalModel
6 months ago
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Green lines: positive relationships
Red lines: negative relationships

Spill
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Introduction:
This model demonstrates the COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania. It shows how the government policy tries to reduce the spread of COVID-19 whilst also impacting the local economy.

Assumptions:
This model has four variables that influence the number of COVID-19 cases: infection rate, immunity loss rate, recovery rate and death rate.

In order to reduce the pandemic spread, in this model, assume the government released six policies when Burnie COVID-19 cases are equal or over 10 cases. Policies are vaccination promotion, travel restriction to Burnie, quarantine, social distance, lockdown and testing rate.

Government policies would reduce the pandemic. However, it decreases economic growth at the same time. In this model, only list three variable that influence local economic activities. 
Travel restrictions and quarantine will reduce Burnie tourism and decrease the local economy. On the other hand, quarantine, social distance, lockdown allow people to stay at home, increasing E-commerce business.
As a result, policies that cause fewer COVID-19 cases also cause more considerable negative damage to the economy.

Interesting insights:
One of the interesting findings is that the government policy would reduce the COVID-19 spread significantly if I adjust the total government policies are over 20% (vaccine promotion, travel restriction, quarantine, social distance, lockdown), 3560 people will die, then no more people get COVID-19.
However, if I change the total government policy to less than 5%, the whole Burnie people will die according to the model. Therefore, we need to follow the polices, which saves our lives.
BMA708 assignment3 - Model of COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie
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Input for the larger carbon model

Socio-Economic Model
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Competency 22: Systems Thinking
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Clone of Pesticide Use in Central America for Lab work


This model is an attempt to simulate what is commonly referred to as the “pesticide treadmill” in agriculture and how it played out in the cotton industry in Central America after the Second World War until around the 1990s.

The cotton industry expanded dramatically in Central America after WW2, increasing from 20,000 hectares to 463,000 in the late 1970s. This expansion was accompanied by a huge increase in industrial pesticide application which would eventually become the downfall of the industry.

The primary pest for cotton production, bol weevil, became increasingly resistant to chemical pesticides as they were applied each year. The application of pesticides also caused new pests to appear, such as leafworms, cotton aphids and whitefly, which in turn further fuelled increased application of pesticides. 

The treadmill resulted in massive increases in pesticide applications: in the early years they were only applied a few times per season, but this application rose to up to 40 applications per season by the 1970s; accounting for over 50% of the costs of production in some regions. 

The skyrocketing costs associated with increasing pesticide use were one of the key factors that led to the dramatic decline of the cotton industry in Central America: decreasing from its peak in the 1970s to less than 100,000 hectares in the 1990s. “In its wake, economic ruin and environmental devastation were left” as once thriving towns became ghost towns, and once fertile soils were wasted, eroded and abandoned (Lappe, 1998). 

Sources: Douglas L. Murray (1994), Cultivating Crisis: The Human Cost of Pesticides in Latin America, pp35-41; Francis Moore Lappe et al (1998), World Hunger: 12 Myths, 2nd Edition, pp54-55.

Clone of REM 221 - Causal Loop diagramming
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Based on the Market and Price simulation model in System Zoo 3, Z504. I made some more intrusive changes that make the model more realistic, or more 'economic', in another version 'simplified and improved'. 
Simplified Z504 Market and Price - System Zoo 3
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Cornerstore Economic Model
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Economic Human Development Sub Model
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Ecological economics
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From Jennifer Prah Ruger (2010) Health Capability Conceptualization and Operationalization Am J Public Health 100 p41-49 available from SSRN. Extends Insight 779 with Dahlgren and Whitehead's Sunrise Diagram of Social Determinants of Health added. See also wikipedia Capability Approach
Health Capability and Social Determinants