An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Nina Coffee Company Model *
Cornerstore Economic Model
Green lines: positive relationships
Red lines: negative relationships
Spill
This page provides a structural analysis of POTUS Candidate Rand Paul's
economic policy based on the information at: https://www.randpaul.com/issue/spending-and-debt and also https://www.randpaul.com/issue/taxes The method used is Integrative
Propositional Analysis (IPA)
available:
http://scipolicy.org/uploads/3/4/6/9/3469675/wallis_white_paper_-_the_ipa_answer_2014.12.11.pdf
DRAFT IPA of Rand Paul Economic Policy
WIP based on Emery Roe's 2013 book. See also Dynamics in Action IM-3239 for more on behavior and The Art of the State IM-11962 for more on Grid-Group Cultural Theory
Managing Mess
Current and proposed Structure of CCP and related Models expanding on the details provided in the Project Completion plan IM-101760
Structure of the CCP Models
Community Economic Impact
Better Business - Economic
This is a complex model of COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie Tasmania. It show the effect of government policy to local economic and the impact of Covid-19.
Assumptions
Government policy can reduce the number of infected, however also would reduce the economic growth.
Interesting insights
Based on changing the value of government policy, it show that the policy can help to reduce on the number of death and infection.
Covid-19 Out break
This model was proposed in a regulatory framework in Brazil. Its main idea is the obtainment of a dynamic control model to avoid the related parties issues on regulated public services over contract extensions. As the terminal condition of these contract extensions is NPV=0, the firms would have an incentive to contract related parties to inflate costs, and diminish their profits, in order to request a larger time extension. So, this system creates a stable "shadow" based on the 5 years before these extensions, where the company did not have such incentives.
Cost Efficiency Capture Model
Overview
The model simulates how logging in with tourism(mountain biking) in Derby Tasmania.
How the model works.
Trees grow, loggers cut them in order to sell them because of demand for Timber.
Mountain cyclist depends on satisfaction and expectation. Satisfaction and Expectation depends on Scenery number of trees compared to visitor and Adventure number of trees and users. Park capacity limits the number of users. Local Business is influenced by the timber and number of Mountain Cyclist. Employment is influenced by the number of mountain cyclist and logging activity.
Simulation of Mountain Cyclist vs logging
Ocean Acidification at the Great Barrier Reef
lab 13 Social and economic
Goodwin cycle IM-2010 with debt and taxes added, modified from Steve Keen. THis can be extended by adding the Ponzi effect of borrowing for speculative investment.
Minsky Financial Instability Model
OVERSHOOT GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION
The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed
The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks
See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)
OVERSHOOT GROWTH INTO TURBULENCE
This is a simplification of the Austerity vs Prosperity model in the hope that it will be easier to understand.
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Austerity vs Prosperity v0
this model shows the relationship between economic growth and government debt (just the bailout debt) and the mortgage default burden. At the current rates, the debt will never be paid off.
bailout debt, mortgage defaults and economic growth
Marine tourism and snorkeling in the maldives