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DS- Gustave Ranis
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Australian Aboriginal People education challenge
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DPSIR Framework to Analyze EcoPeace Middle East's Good Water Neighbours Strategy
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Better Business - Economic
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WIP concepts from Rachel Turner's Book Neo-liberal Ideology
Neoliberal concepts
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Summary of US apa2017 report pdf link
Stress and Health Disparities
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My Insight_ENVS8019 report 5 exercise
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WIP Dynamic map from Steve Keen's Minsky at 100 Lecture video and slides and later Emergent Macroeconomics papers
Minsky Instability from Macrodefinitions Keen
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Introduction:
This model demonstrates the COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania. It shows how the government policy tries to reduce the spread of COVID-19 whilst also impacting the local economy.

Assumptions:
This model has four variables that influence the number of COVID-19 cases: infection rate, immunity loss rate, recovery rate and death rate.

In order to reduce the pandemic spread, in this model, assume the government released six policies when Burnie COVID-19 cases are equal or over 10 cases. Policies are vaccination promotion, travel restriction to Burnie, quarantine, social distance, lockdown and testing rate.

Government policies would reduce the pandemic. However, it decreases economic growth at the same time. In this model, only list three variable that influence local economic activities. 
Travel restrictions and quarantine will reduce Burnie tourism and decrease the local economy. On the other hand, quarantine, social distance, lockdown allow people to stay at home, increasing E-commerce business.
As a result, policies that cause fewer COVID-19 cases also cause more considerable negative damage to the economy.

Interesting insights:
One of the interesting findings is that the government policy would reduce the COVID-19 spread significantly if I adjust the total government policies are over 20% (vaccine promotion, travel restriction, quarantine, social distance, lockdown), 3560 people will die, then no more people get COVID-19.
However, if I change the total government policy to less than 5%, the whole Burnie people will die according to the model. Therefore, we need to follow the polices, which saves our lives.
BMA708 assignment3 - Model of COVID-19 outbreak in Burnie
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Women in treatment CLD
11 months ago
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this model shows the relationship between economic growth and government debt (just the bailout debt) and the mortgage default burden. At the current rates, the debt will never be paid off.
bailout debt, mortgage defaults and economic growth
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This model describes the whole process about government response and economic impact when the covid-19 outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania. When the reported cases increase to a certain level, the government realizes its high risk, then publishes a series of policies to protect the public, such as travel restriction, social distance and quarantine. The economic damage is also severe, especially for tourism and hostility industry and retail industry.

 

Clearly, in the beginning, the number of infected people and death cases increase sharply, but due to government policies and vaccination, it effectively reduces covid-19 cases. For economy, on one hand, the government health policies slow down the pace of growth, on the other hand, the government build vaccine confidence, which leads to more people getting vaccinated, and help the economy back to normal.

Covid-19 outbreak in Burnie Tasmania
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Community Economic Impact
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Book Fig. 42-43 Economic capital with its reinforcing growth loop constrained by a renewable resource.
9 months ago
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TESLA Motors Pestal
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This version 8B of the CAPABILITY DEMONSTRATION model. A net Benefit ROI has been added. The Compare results feature allows comparison of alternative intervention portfolios.  Note that the net causal interactions have been effectively captured in a very scoped and/or simplified format.  Relative magnitudes and durations of impact remain in need of further data & adjustment (calibration). In the interests of maintaining steady progress and respecting budget & time constraints, significant simplifying assumptions have been made: assumptions that mitigate both completeness & accuracy of the outputs.  This model meets the criteria for a Capability demonstration model, but should not be taken as complete or realistic in terms of specific magnitudes of effect or sufficient build out of causal dynamics.  Rather, the model demonstrates the interplay of a minimum set of causal forces on a net student progress construct -- as informed and extrapolated from the non-causal research literature.
Provided further interest and funding, this  basic capability model may further developed and built out to: higher provenance levels -- coupled with increased factorization, rigorous causal inclusion and improved parameterization.
Version 8B with story: Calibrated Student-Home-Teachers-Classroom-LEA-Spending
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A simple budget planning system.  What additional complexities can you add?
ISD Savings Plan - Science Intro
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Barangay IRAWAN Systems Model
Biophysical, Socio-cultural & Economic Data of Bgy. IRAWAN
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This paper aims at describing a case where system dynamics modeling was used to evaluate the effects of information and material supply lead-time variation on sales contributions margins and operating cash conversion cycle of a commodity export business.  An empirical dynamic model, loaded with econometric theory of price effect on competitive demand, was used to describe the input data.  The model simulation outputs proved themselves relevant in analyzing the complex interconnections of multiple variables affecting  the profitability in a commercial routine, supporting the decision process among sales managers.

SDR Case study System dynamic modelling
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Business Economic Sustainability
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This is a high-level causal loop diagram mapping the impacts of a power outage on FEMA lifelines and associated services, and the resulting potential feedbacks and impacts to human behavior and various dimensions of wellbeing. 

A lifeline enables the continuous operation of critical government and business functions and is essential to human health and safety or economic security.

  • Lifelines are the most fundamental services in the community that, when stabilized, enable all other aspects of society to function.
  • FEMA has developed a construct for objectives-based response that prioritizes the rapid stabilization of Community Lifelines after a disaster.
  • The integrated network of assets, services, and capabilities that provide lifeline services are used day-to-day to support the recurring needs of the community and enable all other aspects of society to function.
  • When disrupted, decisive intervention (e.g., rapid re-establishment or employment of contingency response solutions) is required to stabilize the incident.
Context-dependent characteristics of hazards, households, and infrastructures influencing vulnerability are represented as variables. Variables are constant or dynamically calculated values that can be used to synthesize data, calibrate models, and/or create forcing functions based on the current time. 

Lifeline services are represented as converters, which can be used to represent input-output relationships or graphs.

Multiple forms of capital (e.g., human, natural, social, manufactured) are represented as stocks. Stocks are flexible "buckets" into which something can be accumulated or withdrawn from.
Human Dimensions of Energy Systems
9 months ago
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The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a more environmentally focused policy.

ECM-Training - World3 Model (clone) : Classic World Simulation