#### Clone of SARS-CoV-19 model

##### Daniel Afriyie

**SARS-CoV-19 spread**in different countries- please

**adjust variables accordingly**

**Italy**

- elderly population (>65): 0.228
- estimated undetected cases factor: 4-11
- starting population size: 60 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.32 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.04 (statista)
- free intensive care units: 3 100

**Germany**

- elderly population (>65): 0.195 (bpb)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 2-3 (deutschlandfunk)
- starting population size: 83 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.26 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.2-0.28 (herzstiftung)
- free intensive care units: 5 880

**France**

- elderly population (>65): 0.183 (statista)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 3-5
- starting population size: 67 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.3 (fondation-recherche-cardio-vasculaire)
- heart disease: 0.1-0.2 (oecd)
- free intensive care units: 3 000

**As you wish**

- numbers of encounters/day: 1 = quarantine, 2-3 = practicing social distancing, 4-6 = heavy social life, 7-9 = not caring at all // default 2
- practicing preventive measures (ie. washing hands regularly, not touching your face etc.): 0.1 (nobody does anything) - 1 (very strictly) // default 0.8
- government elucidation: 0.1 (very bad) - 1 (highly transparent and educating) // default 0.9
- Immunity rate (due to lacking data): 0 (you can't get immune) - 1 (once you had it you'll never get it again) // default 0.4

**Key**

- Healthy: People are not infected with SARS-CoV-19 but could still get it
- Infected: People have been infected and developed the disease COVID-19
- Recovered: People just have recovered from COVID-19 and can't get it again in this stage
- Dead: People died because of COVID-19
- Immune: People got immune and can't get the disease again
- Critical recovery percentage: Chance of survival with no special medical treatment

SARS-CoV-19 COVID-19 Corona Coronavirus Virus Disease Infection Pandemic

- 3 weeks 15 hours ago

#### Clone of Coronavirus: A Simple SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) with death

##### Samuel Kaelin

With the onset of the Covid-19 coronavirus crisis, we focus on SIRD models, which might realistically model the course of the disease.

We start with an SIR model, such as that featured in the MAA model featured inhttps://www.maa.org/press/periodicals/loci/joma/the-sir-model-for-spread-of-disease-the-differential-equation-model

Without mortality, with time measured in days, with infection rate 1/2, recovery rate 1/3, and initial infectious population I_0=1.27x10-4, we reproduce their figure

With a death rate of .005 (one two-hundredth of the infected per day), an infectivity rate of 0.5, and a recovery rate of .145 or so (takes about a week to recover), we get some pretty significant losses -- about 3.2% of the total population.

Resources:

- 1 year 2 months ago

#### Clone of Model of Covid-19 Outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania (Yue Xiang 512994)

##### Xuexiao Zhang

**SIR: Susceptible to infection - Infected - Recovery, Government responses and Economic impacts**

Government policy is activated when there are 10 or fewer reported cases of COVID-19. The more people tested, the fewer people became infected. So the government's policy is to reduce infections by increasing the number of people tested and starting early. At the same time, it has slowed the economic growth (which, according to the model, will stop for next 52 weeks).

COVID-19 Coronavirus SIR Model Government Economy Burnie Tasmania UTAS BMA708

- 7 months 3 weeks ago

#### Clone of SEIR ABM MODEL

##### Pradeesh Kumar

- 1 year 2 months ago

#### Clone of Coronavirus: A Simple SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) with death

##### Jacob Adkins

With the onset of the Covid-19 coronavirus crisis, we focus on SIRD models, which might realistically model the course of the disease.

We start with an SIR model, such as that featured in the MAA model featured inhttps://www.maa.org/press/periodicals/loci/joma/the-sir-model-for-spread-of-disease-the-differential-equation-model

Without mortality, with time measured in days, with infection rate 1/2, recovery rate 1/3, and initial infectious population I_0=1.27x10-4, we reproduce their figure

With a death rate of .005 (one two-hundredth of the infected per day), an infectivity rate of 0.5, and a recovery rate of .145 or so (takes about a week to recover), we get some pretty significant losses -- about 3.2% of the total population.

Resources:

- 1 year 2 months ago

#### Clone of SARS-CoV-19 model

##### Lucia Vega Resto

**SARS-CoV-19 spread**in different countries- please

**adjust variables accordingly**

**Italy**

- elderly population (>65): 0.228
- estimated undetected cases factor: 4-11
- starting population size: 60 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.32 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.04 (statista)
- free intensive care units: 3 100

**Germany**

- elderly population (>65): 0.195 (bpb)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 2-3 (deutschlandfunk)
- starting population size: 83 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.26 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.2-0.28 (herzstiftung)
- free intensive care units: 5 880

**France**

- elderly population (>65): 0.183 (statista)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 3-5
- starting population size: 67 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.3 (fondation-recherche-cardio-vasculaire)
- heart disease: 0.1-0.2 (oecd)
- free intensive care units: 3 000

**As you wish**

- numbers of encounters/day: 1 = quarantine, 2-3 = practicing social distancing, 4-6 = heavy social life, 7-9 = not caring at all // default 2
- practicing preventive measures (ie. washing hands regularly, not touching your face etc.): 0.1 (nobody does anything) - 1 (very strictly) // default 0.8
- government elucidation: 0.1 (very bad) - 1 (highly transparent and educating) // default 0.9
- Immunity rate (due to lacking data): 0 (you can't get immune) - 1 (once you had it you'll never get it again) // default 0.4

**Key**

- Healthy: People are not infected with SARS-CoV-19 but could still get it
- Infected: People have been infected and developed the disease COVID-19
- Recovered: People just have recovered from COVID-19 and can't get it again in this stage
- Dead: People died because of COVID-19
- Immune: People got immune and can't get the disease again
- Critical recovery percentage: Chance of survival with no special medical treatment

SARS-CoV-19 COVID-19 Corona Coronavirus Virus Disease Infection Pandemic

- 1 year 2 months ago

#### Clone of Modelo SIR simples para Covid-19 - Brasil

##### Barbara Scoralick Villela

**SIR: Susceptíveis -Infectados - Recuperados**

**Ajuste os PARÂMETROS abaixo.Clique em SIMULATE no menu superior para simular.Dados iniciais de 04 Abr 2020Fonte: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/brazil/**

- 1 year 2 months ago

#### Clone of SEIR Infectious Disease Model for COVID-19

##### Michał S

Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus

- 1 year 3 months ago

#### Clone of Modelo SIR simples - Covid 19

##### Crepalde

**SIR: Susceptíveis - Infectados - Recuperados**

**Dados iniciais do Brasil em 04 Abr 2020**

Fonte:https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/brazil/

Epidemiología Modelo SIR COVID-19 Coronavirus Dinamica De Sistemas

- 1 year 2 months ago

#### Clone of Coronavirus: A Simple SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) with death

##### Proctor Mercer

With the onset of the Covid-19 coronavirus crisis, we focus on SIRD models, which might realistically model the course of the disease.

We start with an SIR model, such as that featured in the MAA model featured inhttps://www.maa.org/press/periodicals/loci/joma/the-sir-model-for-spread-of-disease-the-differential-equation-model

Without mortality, with time measured in days, with infection rate 1/2, recovery rate 1/3, and initial infectious population I_0=1.27x10-4, we reproduce their figure

With a death rate of .005 (one two-hundredth of the infected per day), an infectivity rate of 0.5, and a recovery rate of .145 or so (takes about a week to recover), we get some pretty significant losses -- about 3.2% of the total population.

Resources:

- 1 year 2 months ago

#### Clone of SARS-CoV-19 model

##### Valentin Balseanu

**SARS-CoV-19 spread**in different countries- please

**adjust variables accordingly**

**Italy**

- elderly population (>65): 0.228
- estimated undetected cases factor: 4-11
- starting population size: 60 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.32 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.04 (statista)
- free intensive care units: 3 100

**Germany**

- elderly population (>65): 0.195 (bpb)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 2-3 (deutschlandfunk)
- starting population size: 83 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.26 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.2-0.28 (herzstiftung)
- free intensive care units: 5 880

**France**

- elderly population (>65): 0.183 (statista)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 3-5
- starting population size: 67 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.3 (fondation-recherche-cardio-vasculaire)
- heart disease: 0.1-0.2 (oecd)
- free intensive care units: 3 000

**As you wish**

- numbers of encounters/day: 1 = quarantine, 2-3 = practicing social distancing, 4-6 = heavy social life, 7-9 = not caring at all // default 2
- practicing preventive measures (ie. washing hands regularly, not touching your face etc.): 0.1 (nobody does anything) - 1 (very strictly) // default 0.8
- government elucidation: 0.1 (very bad) - 1 (highly transparent and educating) // default 0.9
- Immunity rate (due to lacking data): 0 (you can't get immune) - 1 (once you had it you'll never get it again) // default 0.4

**Key**

- Healthy: People are not infected with SARS-CoV-19 but could still get it
- Infected: People have been infected and developed the disease COVID-19
- Recovered: People just have recovered from COVID-19 and can't get it again in this stage
- Dead: People died because of COVID-19
- Immune: People got immune and can't get the disease again
- Critical recovery percentage: Chance of survival with no special medical treatment

SARS-CoV-19 COVID-19 Corona Coronavirus Virus Disease Infection Pandemic

- 1 year 1 month ago

#### Clone of Coronavirus: A Simple SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) with death

##### Xuexiao Zhang

With the onset of the Covid-19 coronavirus crisis, we focus on SIRD models, which might realistically model the course of the disease.

We start with an SIR model, such as that featured in the MAA model featured inhttps://www.maa.org/press/periodicals/loci/joma/the-sir-model-for-spread-of-disease-the-differential-equation-model

Without mortality, with time measured in days, with infection rate 1/2, recovery rate 1/3, and initial infectious population I_0=1.27x10-4, we reproduce their figure

With a death rate of .005 (one two-hundredth of the infected per day), an infectivity rate of 0.5, and a recovery rate of .145 or so (takes about a week to recover), we get some pretty significant losses -- about 3.2% of the total population.

Resources:

- 8 months 2 weeks ago

#### Clone of Modelo SIR simples - Covid 19

##### Jose Francisco Junqueira reis

**SIR: Susceptíveis - Infectados - Recuperados**

**Dados iniciais do Brasil em 04 Abr 2020**

Fonte:https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/brazil/

Epidemiología Modelo SIR COVID-19 Coronavirus Dinamica De Sistemas

- 1 year 2 months ago

#### Clone of SARS-CoV-19 model

##### Carlos Amezquita

**SARS-CoV-19 spread**in different countries- please

**adjust variables accordingly**

**Italy**

- elderly population (>65): 0.228
- estimated undetected cases factor: 4-11
- starting population size: 60 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.32 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.04 (statista)
- free intensive care units: 3 100

**Germany**

- elderly population (>65): 0.195 (bpb)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 2-3 (deutschlandfunk)
- starting population size: 83 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.26 (gbe-bund)
- heart disease: 0.2-0.28 (herzstiftung)
- free intensive care units: 5 880

**France**

- elderly population (>65): 0.183 (statista)
- estimated undetected cases factor: 3-5
- starting population size: 67 000 000
- high blood pressure: 0.3 (fondation-recherche-cardio-vasculaire)
- heart disease: 0.1-0.2 (oecd)
- free intensive care units: 3 000

**As you wish**

- government elucidation: 0.1 (very bad) - 1 (highly transparent and educating) // default 0.9

**Key**

- Healthy: People are not infected with SARS-CoV-19 but could still get it
- Infected: People have been infected and developed the disease COVID-19
- Recovered: People just have recovered from COVID-19 and can't get it again in this stage
- Dead: People died because of COVID-19
- Immune: People got immune and can't get the disease again
- Critical recovery percentage: Chance of survival with no special medical treatment

SARS-CoV-19 COVID-19 Corona Coronavirus Virus Disease Infection Pandemic

- 1 year 2 months ago

#### Clone of SEIR Infectious Disease Model for COVID-19

##### Carlos Morocho

Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus

- 6 months 2 days ago

#### Clone of Coronavirus: A Simple SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) with death

##### Jordan

With the onset of the Covid-19 coronavirus crisis, we focus on SIRD models, which might realistically model the course of the disease.

We start with an SIR model, such as that featured in the MAA model featured inhttps://www.maa.org/press/periodicals/loci/joma/the-sir-model-for-spread-of-disease-the-differential-equation-model

Without mortality, with time measured in days, with infection rate 1/2, recovery rate 1/3, and initial infectious population I_0=1.27x10-4, we reproduce their figure

With a death rate of .005 (one two-hundredth of the infected per day), an infectivity rate of 0.5, and a recovery rate of .145 or so (takes about a week to recover), we get some pretty significant losses -- about 3.2% of the total population.

Resources:

- 1 year 2 months ago

#### Clone of Modelo SIR simples - Covid-19

##### Luiz Almeida Silva

**SIR: Susceptíveis - Infectados - Recuperados**

**Dados iniciais do Brasil em 04 Abr 2020**

Fonte:https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/brazil/

- 1 year 2 months ago

#### Clone of Modelo SIR simples - Covid-19

##### Cassiano Ricardo Queiroz Leão

**SIR: Susceptíveis - Infectados - Recuperados**

**Dados iniciais do Brasil em 04 Abr 2020**

Fonte:https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/brazil/

- 1 year 2 months ago

#### Clone of SEIRS MODEL

##### Philippe Garvie

- 1 year 2 months ago

#### Clone of Modelo SIR simples - Covid-19

##### Waner Miranda

**SIR: Susceptíveis - Infectados - Recuperados**

**Dados iniciais do Brasil em 04 Abr 2020**

Fonte:https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/brazil/

- 1 year 2 months ago

#### Clone of SEIR Infectious Disease Model for COVID-19

##### Krisna Mughni

Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus

- 6 months 2 days ago

#### Clone of SEIR Infectious Disease Model for COVID-19

##### James P Butler ★

- 6 months 2 weeks ago

#### Clone of Coronavirus: A Simple SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) with death

##### Jon Ford

With the onset of the Covid-19 coronavirus crisis, we focus on SIRD models, which might realistically model the course of the disease.

We start with an SIR model, such as that featured in the MAA model featured inhttps://www.maa.org/press/periodicals/loci/joma/the-sir-model-for-spread-of-disease-the-differential-equation-model

Without mortality, with time measured in days, with infection rate 1/2, recovery rate 1/3, and initial infectious population I_0=1.27x10-4, we reproduce their figure

With a death rate of .005 (one two-hundredth of the infected per day), an infectivity rate of 0.5, and a recovery rate of .145 or so (takes about a week to recover), we get some pretty significant losses -- about 3.2% of the total population.

Resources:

- 1 year 1 month ago

#### Clone of Clone of SEIR Infectious Disease Model for COVID-19

##### jesus ruiz velasco

- 10 months 3 weeks ago