This model is a classic simulation of the production cycle in the ocean, including the effects of the thermocline in switching off advection of dissolved nutrients and detritus to the surface layer.  It illustrates a number of interesting features including the coupling of three state variables in a
This model is a classic simulation of the production cycle in the ocean, including the effects of the thermocline in switching off advection of dissolved nutrients and detritus to the surface layer.

It illustrates a number of interesting features including the coupling of three state variables in a closed cycle, the use of time to control the duration of advection, and the modulus function for cycling annual temperature data over multiple years.

The model state variables are expressed in nitrogen units (mg N m-3), and the calibration is based on:

Baliño, B.M. 1996. Eutrophication of the North Sea, 1980-1990: An evaluation of anthropogenic nutrient inputs using a 2D phytoplankton production model. Dr. scient. thesis, University of Bergen.
 
Fransz, H.G. & Verhagen, J.H.G. 1985. Modelling Research on the Production Cycle of Phytoplankton in the Southern Bight of the Northn Sea in Relation to Riverborne Nutrient Loads. Netherlands Journal of Sea Research 19 (3/4): 241-250.

This model was first implemented in PowerSim some years ago by one of my M.Sc. students, who then went on to become a Buddhist monk. Although this is a very Zen model, as far as I'm aware, the two facts are unrelated.
 Harvested fishery with endogenous investment. Ch 9 p340-345 John Morecroft (2007) Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics

Harvested fishery with endogenous investment. Ch 9 p340-345 John Morecroft (2007) Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics

10 months ago
It seems that I've made a mess of mine! But it's a mess with a purpose....  This model illustrates predator prey interactions using real-life data of wolf and moose populations on the Isle Royale.  Experiment with adjusting the initial number of moose and wolves on the island.
It seems that I've made a mess of mine! But it's a mess with a purpose....

This model illustrates predator prey interactions using real-life data of wolf and moose populations on the Isle Royale.

Experiment with adjusting the initial number of moose and wolves on the island.
 The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.  
 Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amo

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.


Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Simulates Ag biogeochemical cycling using data from Rauch and Pacyna 
(2009). This Insight forms part of the 
engaged lear​ning exercise for a SESYNC case study about the human relationship with silver as a natural resource 
throughout history.
Simulates Ag biogeochemical cycling using data from Rauch and Pacyna (2009). This Insight forms part of the engaged lear​ning exercise for a SESYNC case study about the human relationship with silver as a natural resource throughout history.
Examining the ecosystem of the sea turtle and how that influences its population as an endangered species.
Examining the ecosystem of the sea turtle and how that influences its population as an endangered species.
Simple mass balance model for lakes, based on the Vollenweider equation:  dMw/dt = Min - sMw - Mout  The model was first used in the 1960s to determine the phosphorus concentration in lakes and reservoirs, for eutrophication assessment.
Simple mass balance model for lakes, based on the Vollenweider equation:

dMw/dt = Min - sMw - Mout

The model was first used in the 1960s to determine the phosphorus concentration in lakes and reservoirs, for eutrophication assessment.
 STEM-SM combines a simple ecosystem model (modified version of VSEM; Hartig et al. 2019) with a soil moisture model (Guswa et al. (2002) leaky bucket model). Outputs from the soil moisture model influence ecosystem dynamics in three ways.   (1) The ratio of actual transpiration to maximum evapotran
STEM-SM combines a simple ecosystem model (modified version of VSEM; Hartig et al. 2019) with a soil moisture model (Guswa et al. (2002) leaky bucket model). Outputs from the soil moisture model influence ecosystem dynamics in three ways. 
(1) The ratio of actual transpiration to maximum evapotranspiration (T/ETmax) modifies gross primary productivity (GPP).
(2) Degree of saturation of the soil (Sd) modifies the rate of soil heterotrophic respiration.
(3) Water limitation of GPP (by T/ETmax) and of soil nutrient availability (approximated by Sd) combine with leaf area limitation (approximated by fraction of incident photosynthetically-active radiation that is absorbed) to modify the allocation of net primary productivity to aboveground and belowground parts of the vegetation.

Ecosystem dynamics in turn influence flows of water in to and out of the soil moisture stock. The size of the aboveground biomass stock determines fractional vegetation cover, which modifies interception, soil evaporation and transpiration by plants.

References:
Guswa, A.J., Celia, M.A., Rodriguez-Iturbe, I. (2002) Models of soil moisture dynamics in ecohydrology: a comparative study. Water Resources Research 38, 5-1 - 5-15.

Hartig, F., Minunno, F., and Paul, S. (2019). BayesianTools: General-Purpose MCMC and SMC Samplers and Tools for Bayesian Statistics. R package version 0.1.7. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=BayesianTools

This diagram provides a stylised description of important feedbacks within a shallow-lake system.     Mahinga Kai
This diagram provides a stylised description of important feedbacks within a shallow-lake system.
Mahinga Kai
Simulates Ag biogeochemical cycling using data from Rauch and Pacyna 
(2009). This Insight forms part of the 
engaged lear​ning exercise for a SESYNC case study about the human relationship with silver as a natural resource 
throughout history.
Simulates Ag biogeochemical cycling using data from Rauch and Pacyna (2009). This Insight forms part of the engaged lear​ning exercise for a SESYNC case study about the human relationship with silver as a natural resource throughout history.
Find the steady state completely mixed model with reaction decay and the three-compartment steady state model with reaction decay of a non-conservative tracer.
Find the steady state completely mixed model with reaction decay and the three-compartment steady state model with reaction decay of a non-conservative tracer.
This is a model representing bushmeat, nutrition, and ebola as it relates to biodiversity and overfishing.
This is a model representing bushmeat, nutrition, and ebola as it relates to biodiversity and overfishing.
 WIP Cloned from WIP  Africa Just Transition insight  including (Fig 3.1 from Jorgen Randers  book  2052 a Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years) with Fadhel Kaboub MMT Perspective to continue top down work on my slides of clds and macroeconomics

WIP Cloned from WIP Africa Just Transition insight including (Fig 3.1 from Jorgen Randers book 2052 a Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years) with Fadhel Kaboub MMT Perspective to continue top down work on my slides of clds and macroeconomics

10 months ago
Simulates Ag biogeochemical cycling using data from Rauch and Pacyna 
(2009). This Insight forms part of the 
engaged lear​ning exercise for a SESYNC case study about the human relationship with silver as a natural resource 
throughout history.
Simulates Ag biogeochemical cycling using data from Rauch and Pacyna (2009). This Insight forms part of the engaged lear​ning exercise for a SESYNC case study about the human relationship with silver as a natural resource throughout history.
Simple model to illustrate an annual cycle for phytoplankton biomass in temperate waters. Potential primary production uses Steele's equation and a Michaelis-Menten (or Monod) function for nutrient limitation. Respiratory losses are only a function of biomass.
Simple model to illustrate an annual cycle for phytoplankton biomass in temperate waters.
Potential primary production uses Steele's equation and a Michaelis-Menten (or Monod) function for nutrient limitation. Respiratory losses are only a function of biomass.
Eastern oyster growth model calibrated for Long Island Sound Developed and implemented by Joao G. Ferreira and Camille Saurel; growth data from Eva Galimany, Gary Wickfors, and Julie Rose; driver data from Julie Rose and Suzanne Bricker; Culture practice from the REServ team and Tessa Getchis. This
Eastern oyster growth model calibrated for Long Island Sound
Developed and implemented by Joao G. Ferreira and Camille Saurel; growth data from Eva Galimany, Gary Wickfors, and Julie Rose; driver data from Julie Rose and Suzanne Bricker; Culture practice from the REServ team and Tessa Getchis. This model is a workbench for combining ecological and economic components for REServ. Economic component added by Trina Wellman.

This is a one box model for an idealized farm with one million oysters seeded (one hectare @ a stocking density of 100 oysters per square meter)

1. Run WinShell individual growth model for one year with Long Island Sound growth drivers;

2. Determine the scope for growth (in dry tissue weight per day) for oysters centered on the five weight classes)
 
3. Apply a classic population dynamics equation:

dn(s,t)/dt = -d[n(s,t)g(s,t)]/ds - u(s)n(s,t)

s: Weight (g)
t: Time
n: Number of individuals of weight s
g: Scope for growth (g day-1)
u: Mortality rate (day-1)

4. Set mortality at 30% per year, slider allows scenarios from 30% to 80% per year

5. Determine harvestable biomass, i.e. weight class 5, 40-50 g (roughly three inches length)
European Masters in System Dynamics 2016 New University of Lisbon, Portugal  Simple model to represent oyster individual growth by simulating feeding and metabolism.
European Masters in System Dynamics 2016
New University of Lisbon, Portugal

Simple model to represent oyster individual growth by simulating feeding and metabolism.
This model uses simple functions (converters, cosine) to simulate the water balance inside a reservoir.
This model uses simple functions (converters, cosine) to simulate the water balance inside a reservoir.