Simple Health Care Supply and Demand Interactions
Health Care Supply Demand
That efficiency gains achieved by employing technological
solutions often have a negative effect has been known since 1856 when William
Stanley Jevons described this counterintuitive situation, which has become
known as ‘Jevons Paradox’. This simple graph illustrates this effect. Be it extraction
of a mineral or the production of a product, employing technology will make the
process more efficient, initially, and lower the price of the product produced.
However, the lower prices will increase demand and, therefore, the use of the
resources employed. Unless more or better technology is employed, the extra
demand is likely to lead to a price increase cancelling the initial beneficial effect,
and in addition, the resource may be pushed to exhaustion. The technological fix
will have failed. Note, ‘solar’ and ‘wind’ are also subject to a
‘Fixes-that-Fails’ structure, but this requires a separate illustration.
Climate Change: Technology produces a Fix-that-Fails
This simple model will attempt to demonstrate how modern civilization's groundwater practices are unsustainable and how they are affected by the changing climate.
Sustainable Groundwater Management
Policy Intervention: Ecotourism
Medical Sustainability_p3
Water system sustainability
HANDY Model of Societal Collapse from Ecological Economics
Paper see also D Cunha's model at IM-15085 (Spanish)
Human and Nature Dynamics of Societal Inequality
Carbon Model for sustainability
Derived from a model at the Meadows institute. http://bit.ly/zI4axo.
@LinkedIn, Twitter, YouTube
Culture of Sustainability
The theory underlying the digital sustainability platform
United Sustainability Theory_V2
That efficiency gains achieved by employing technological
solutions often have a negative effect has been known since 1856 when William
Stanley Jevons described this counterintuitive situation, which has become
known as ‘Jevons Paradox’. This simple graph illustrates this effect. Be it extraction
of a mineral or the production of a product, employing technology will make the
process more efficient, initially, and lower the price of the product produced.
However, the lower prices will increase demand and, therefore, the use of the
resources employed. Unless more or better technology is employed, the extra
demand is likely to lead to a price increase cancelling the initial beneficial effect,
and in addition, the resource may be pushed to exhaustion. The technological fix
will have failed. Note, ‘solar’ and ‘wind’ are also subject to a
‘Fixes-that-Fails’ structure, but this requires a separate illustration.
Rebound - Technology produces a Fix-that-Fails
Solution of Recycling Problem in Vancouver
Fluxograma da produção de biodiesel a partir de microalgas
This model incorporates several options in examining fisheries dynamics and fisheries employment. The two most important aspects are the choice between I)managing based on setting fixed quota versus setting fixed effort , and ii) using the 'scientific advice' for quota setting versus allowing 'political influence' on quota setting (the assumption here is that you have good estimates of recruitment and stock assessments that form the basis of 'scientific advice' and then 'political influnce' that desires increased quota beyond the scientific advice).
Fixed Quota versus Fixed Effort
Simple box-model of the global carbon cycle
Clone of Global Carbon Cycle
•Average
(Status Quo) Case
–Last
30 years of historical EAA data
–Used
the past to predict the future
–Represents
the status quo case
–Includes
the dry portion and wet portion of AMO
cycle
EA model trying scenario of water demand (Status quo scenario)
Fig 3.1 from Jorgen Randers book 2052 a Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years
Global 2052 Forecast
•Average
(Status Quo) Case
–Last
30 years of historical EAA data
–Used
the past to predict the future
–Represents
the status quo case
–Includes
the dry portion and wet portion of AMO
cycle
Clone of EA model trying scenario of water demand (Status quo scenario)
HANDY Model of Societal Collapse from Ecological Economics
Paper see also D Cunha's model at IM-15085
Clone of Human and Nature Dynamics of Societal Inequality
This model incorporates several options in examining fisheries dynamics and fisheries employment. The two most important aspects are the choice between I)managing based on setting fixed quota versus setting fixed effort , and ii) using the 'scientific advice' for quota setting versus allowing 'political influence' on quota setting (the assumption here is that you have good estimates of recruitment and stock assessments that form the basis of 'scientific advice' and then 'political influnce' that desires increased quota beyond the scientific advice).
Clone of Fixed Quota versus Fixed Effort
This model incorporates several options in examining fisheries dynamics and fisheries employment. The two most important aspects are the choice between I)managing based on setting fixed quota versus setting fixed effort , and ii) using the 'scientific advice' for quota setting versus allowing 'political influence' on quota setting (the assumption here is that you have good estimates of recruitment and stock assessments that form the basis of 'scientific advice' and then 'political influnce' that desires increased quota beyond the scientific advice).
Clone of Fixed Quota versus Fixed Effort