The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Environment Demographics Population Growth Population Weather Climate Failure Death Mortality Science Technology Engineering Strategy Economics Politics Fertility Health Services Resources Land Jobs Labor Urban Industrial Rural Lifetime Pollution Regeneration Yield Ocean Sea Fish Plants Animals

This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.

Climate Greenhouse Effect

This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.

Climate Greenhouse Effect

​Climate Sector Boundary Diagram By Guy Lakeman Climate, Weather, Ecology, Economics, Population, Welfare, Energy, Policy, CO2, Carbon Cycle, GHG (green house gasses, combined effects)

As general population is composed of 85% with an education level of a 12 grader or less (a 17 year old), a simple block of components concerning the health of the planet needs to be broken down into simple blocks.Perhaps this picture will show the basics on which to vote for a sustained healthy futureDemocracy is only as good as the ability of the voters to FULLY understand the implications of the policies on which they vote., both context and the various perspectives.   National voting of unqualified voters on specific policy issues is the sign of corrupt manipulation.

Climate Weather Ecology Economics Population Welfare Energy Policy CO2 Carbon GHG Green House Gas

THE 2018 MODEL (BY GUY LAKEMAN) EMPHASIZES THE PEAK IN POLLUTION BEING CREATED BY OVERPOPULATION.
WITH THE CARRYING CAPACITY OF ARABLE LAND NOW BEING 1.5 TIMES OVER A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE (PASSED IN 1990) AND NOW INCREASING IN LOSS OF HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY DUE TO SEA RISE AND EXTREME GLOBAL WATER RELOCATION IN WEATHER CHANGES IN FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND EXTENDED TROPICAL AND HORSE LATTITUDE CYCLONE ACTIVITY AROUND HADLEY CELLS

The World3 model is a detailed simulation of human population growth from 1900 into the future. It includes many environmental and demographic factors.

THIS MODEL BY GUY LAKEMAN, FROM METRICS OBTAINED USING A MORE COMPREHENSIVE VENSIM SOFTWARE MODEL, SHOWS CURRENT CONDITIONS CREATED BY THE LATEST WEATHER EXTREMES AND LOSS OF ARABLE LAND BY THE  ALBEDO EFECT MELTING THE POLAR CAPS TOGETHER WITH NORTHERN JETSTREAM SHIFT NORTHWARDS, AND A NECESSITY TO ACT BEFORE THERE IS HUGE SUFFERING.BY SETTING THE NEW ECOLOGICAL POLICIES TO 2015 WE CAN SEE THAT SOME POPULATIONS CAN BE SAVED BUT CITIES WILL SUFFER MOST. CURRENT MARKET SATURATION PLATEAU OF SOLID PRODUCTS AND BEHAVIORAL SINK FACTORS ARE ALSO ADDED

Use the sliders to experiment with the initial amount of non-renewable resources to see how these affect the simulation. Does increasing the amount of non-renewable resources (which could occur through the development of better exploration technologies) improve our future? Also, experiment with the start date of a low birth-rate, environmentally focused policy.

Environment Demographics Population Growth Population Weather Climate Failure Death Mortality Science Technology Engineering Strategy Economics Politics Fertility Health Services Resources Land Jobs Labor Urban Industrial Rural Lifetime Pollution Regeneration Yield Ocean Sea Fish Plants Animals Flood Drought Loss Hurricane Typhoon Tornado Cyclone Agriculture Food Energy Nuclear Solar Resource Graphene Silicene Transport

​S-Curve + Delay for Bell Curve Showing Erlang Distribution
Generation of Bell Curve from Initial Market through Delay in Pickup of Customers
This provides the beginning of an Erlang distribution model

The Erlang distribution is a two parameter family of continuous probability distributions with support . The two parameters are:

• a positive integer 'shape' 
• a positive real 'rate' ; sometimes the scale , the inverse of the rate is used.

MATHS Statistics Physics Science Ecology Climate Weather Intelligence Education Probability Density Function Normal Bell Curve Gaussian Distribution Democracy Voting Politics Policy Erlang

This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.

Climate Greenhouse Effect

This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.

Climate Greenhouse Effect

This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.

Climate Greenhouse Effect

This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.

Climate Greenhouse Effect

This climate model aims to represent the effect of feedback loops from melting sea ice.

Climate Albedo Methane Feedback CIV173 Model

Causal loop diagram illustrating Methane hydrate release (R1), which amplifies the naturally occurring greenhouse effect.

Science Climate Arctic

This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.

Climate Greenhouse Effect

This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.

Climate Greenhouse Effect

This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.

Climate Greenhouse Effect

This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.

Climate Greenhouse Effect

This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.

Climate Greenhouse Effect

This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.

Climate Greenhouse Effect

Assignment 1- Part 2 Energy Economics and Fossil Fuels

Climate

This climate model aims to represent the effect of feedback loops from melting sea ice.

Climate Albedo Methane Feedback CIV173 Model

This model demonstrates the impacts of reduced air traffic in Austria due to the new coronavirus on Austrian overall emissions.

Climate Austira Air Transport

This is step 5 in making a climate model based on our insights of how trees actively contribute to the cooling capcacity of the Earth.​

In this step we added the reflection of sun energy by Clouds 

Present the temperature of the Earth is 288 Kelvin. Without Earth would be 255 Kelvin. So the energy balance of the Earth add 33 Kelvin.

We optimize the variable GHG-effect and the optimal number is 0.29625 in this model.

With Our-Green-Spine we have discovered new insights how trees / forest / green structures are part of the managing system of controlling the temperature of our Earth via their cooling capacity by using water and influencing the water cycle. We want to translate our insights in a climate model. People who to join us please send an email to marcel.planb@gmail.com.
Thanks, Marcel de Berg

Environment Climate Water Forest Cooling Greenhouse GHG

This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.

Climate Greenhouse Effect

This simple radiation balance model shows the greenhouse effect that an atmosphere can have in warming a planet.  By trapping some of the radiation emitted by the planet the atmosphere can cause the surface to become warmer than it otherwise would be.

Climate Greenhouse Effect