Insight diagram
Nivel Académico de Estudiantes de Ingeniería de Software
Insight diagram

This article explores how the technique of normalization enables system dynamics models to begin in equilibrium, allowing hidden feedback structures to surface clearly. Using the story of People Express, it shows how the clash—or harmony—between visible decisions and invisible dynamics can define a company’s destiny. Financial results are revealed as deeply tied to service capacity, reputation, and employee engagement. Scaling wisely, it argues, requires more than growth—it requires systemic clarity.

Wings of Sustainability
Insight diagram
At first, I cloned the System Dynamics Model from the "Predator-Prey Interactions" tutorial. After I did this for populations of squirrels and mountain lions instead of moose and wolves, the model showed that the more squirrels mountain lions catch, the more the mountain lion population grows, and the squirrel population declines. The squirrel death rate, therefore, depends on the number of mountain lions and the mountain lion birth rate depends on the number of squirrels. 

I complicated the model by adding 15 hunters to the landscape. Now, the model starts with 150 squirrels, 100 mountain lions, and 15 hunters. This model operates under the assumption that hunters want to kill mountain lions, who presumably try to eat the farm animals that represent the hunters' livelihoods. I made the mountain lion death rate dependent on the number of hunters, and the model changed such that the squirrel population exploded and the mountain lion population approached extinction every 20 years. I based this model on a real event, which took place and is still taking place in the Sierra Nevada. Squirrel populations there apparently reached record levels when farmers seeking to protect their land killed off the vast majority of the mountain lion population there. Now, hunters in the area kill squirrels for sport because they disrupted the food chain so irrevocably.
PP: Predator Prey Model with Squirrels, Mountain Lions, and Hunters
Insight diagram
An Initial System Dynamics Model for GFS in certain region(s) of Africa
GFS Raw Input Food Production
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Foxes birth rate  is decrease by 50%
Clone of Investigation of Predator/Prey Modal 1 Scenario 5
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A model that shows how the digital advertising market is growing and how Google's share in this market, and subsequently their financial results, are influenced by investing in either three of the policy variables.
Clone of Google Adwords Model
Insight diagram
A Conveyor is essentially an infinite order exponential delay.  This insight illustrates how increasing the order of an exponential delay begins to approximate a conveyor.  The 10th order delay very closely aligns to the Delay 10 Conveyor.
Clone of Conveyor vs. nth order exponential delay.
Insight diagram
At first, I cloned the System Dynamics Model from the "Predator-Prey Interactions" tutorial. After I did this for populations of squirrels and mountain lions instead of moose and wolves, the model showed that the more squirrels mountain lions catch, the more the mountain lion population grows, and the squirrel population declines. The squirrel death rate, therefore, depends on the number of mountain lions and the mountain lion birth rate depends on the number of squirrels. 

I complicated the model by adding 15 hunters to the landscape. Now, the model starts with 150 squirrels, 100 mountain lions, and 15 hunters. This model operates under the assumption that hunters want to kill mountain lions, who presumably try to eat the farm animals that represent the hunters' livelihoods. I made the mountain lion death rate dependent on the number of hunters, and the model changed such that the squirrel population exploded and the mountain lion population approached extinction every 20 years. I based this model on a real event, which took place and is still taking place in the Sierra Nevada. Squirrel populations there apparently reached record levels when farmers seeking to protect their land killed off the vast majority of the mountain lion population there. Now, hunters in the area kill squirrels for sport because they disrupted the food chain so irrevocably.
Clone of First SD Model: Predator Prey Model with Squirrels, Mountain Lions, and Hunters
Insight diagram
1st Test
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Activity 1 Juan Pablo Antonovich
Insight diagram
Mass excitation model
Mass Excitation
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PostanModel(SD)
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Based on model discussed by John D. Sterman (p 508) in All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist (2002). Task: (A) Sketch what you think the resultant graph will be (see directions for drawing in model). (B) Then Run Simulation.  Optional Extension: Replace Graph In/Out Flow connection with a connection from Trig. function.  Repeat (A) & (B).
Clone of Sterman Model (2002)
Insight diagram
A Conveyor is essentially an infinite order exponential delay.  This insight illustrates how increasing the order of an exponential delay begins to approximate a conveyor.  The 10th order delay very closely aligns to the Delay 10 Conveyor.
Conveyor vs. nth order exponential delay.
Insight diagram
Prey
dx/dt = αx - βxy
The prey reproduces exponentially (αx) unless subject to predation. The rate of predation is the chance (βxy) with which the predators meet and kill the prey.

Predator

dy/dt = δxy - γy

The predator population growth δxy depends on successful kills and the reproduction rate; however, delta is likely be different from beta. The loss rate, an exponential decay, of the predators {\displaystyle \displaystyle \gamma y}γy represents either natural death or emigration

Clone of Rabbits and Wolves
Insight diagram
A model that shows how the digital advertising market is growing and how Google's share in this market, and subsequently their financial results, are influenced by investing in either three of the policy variables.
Clone of Google Adwords Model
Insight diagram
Clone of Insulin and Sugar Relationship
Insight diagram
Internet of Things and Data Collection - Active and Passive Data.
Clone of Active and Passive Internet of Things
Insight diagram
Virusausbreitung von Covis-19 in Deutschland
Virusausbreitung
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Hladina a tok
My Insight
Insight diagram
The rework cycle
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Meu primeiro modelo...
Meu primeiro modelo
Insight diagram

Based on a dialogue on the System Dynamics mailing list regarding the current level of acceptance of System Dynamics after it has been promoted for over 70 years I dredged up the following set of influences as a thought exercise. This is an example of a Drifting Goals Archetype.

@LinkedIn, Twitter, YouTube

Clone of Acceptance of System Dynamics
5 months ago
Insight diagram

Overview

The model shows the industry connection and conflict between Forestry and Mountain Tourism in Derby, Tasmania. The objective of this simulation is to find out the balance point for co-exist.

 

How Does the Model Work?

Both industries can provide economic contribution to Tasmania. Firstly, selling timbers through logging would generate income. Also, spendings from mountain bike riders would generate incomes. However, low tree regrowth rate can not cover up logging, which influences the beautiful vistas and riders' experiences. While satisfaction and expectation depend on vistas and experience, the demand of mountain biking would be influenced through repeat visits and world of mouth as well.

 

Interesting Insights

Although forestry can provide a great amount of economic contribution to Tasmania, over logging goes against ESG framework as well as creating conflict with mountain tourism. As long as the number of rider visits is stable, tourism can always provide a greater economic contribution compared to forestry. Therefore, the government should consider the balance point between two industries.

Clone of Simulation of Derby Mountain Bikes versus Forestry