Model ExplanationThis complex system model visualizes relationships between
the investment on police and community and the change of youth crime rate in
Bourke, NSW.
Assumptions
Total number of youth population (aged 13 – 19 years old) in
Bourke: 1,000
80% of Bourke youth population are assumed to behave
negatively.
50% of alienated teenagers are assumed to breach of law or
rules.
70% of alienated youth who breach of law or rules will be
arrested by police.
60% of teenagers arrested are assumed to be convicted and detained.
40% of teenagers arrested are assumed not to be convicted
and detained.
70% of teenagers detained are assumed to participate in juvenile
community programs after being released.
70% of teenagers participated in community programs will rehabilitate.
Variables
Drugs & Alcohol, Domestic violence, Long-term
unemployment
Police expenses
Community funding
Conclusion
It can be seen that the number of alienated youth and the
crime rate will decline over time when investing more on police and juvenile
community programs.