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<!--StartFragment-->
This model is looking
at the youth in the town of Bourke, in NSW Australia. It has been designed to
look at the impacts that the police force and community engagement can have on
the youth in Bourke, specifically in relation to the crime rates within the town
and what factors impact on this, including unemployment and drug and alcohol
use.
Assumptions:
<!--[if !supportLists]-->-
<!--[endif]-->Total
youth in Bourke = 25,000
<!--[if !supportLists]-->-
<!--[endif]-->Currently
in Jail = 15,500
<!--[if !supportLists]-->-
<!--[endif]-->Currently
in rehabilitation = 6,500
<!--[if !supportLists]-->-
<!--[endif]-->Youth who
participate in a Community program and complete it = 75%
<!--[if !supportLists]-->-
<!--[endif]-->Youth with
antisocial behaviour = 2,000
<!--[if !supportLists]-->-
<!--[endif]-->Youth with
drug and alcohol problems = 6,500
<!--[if !supportLists]-->-
<!--[endif]-->Unemployment
= 10,000
<!--[if !supportLists]-->-
<!--[endif]-->Youth
placed into rehab due to drugs = 1,500
The youth in Bourke
enter into a community program, and 75% of youth complete the program and return
to the total youth. The 25% that do not complete become disengaged and wind up
in jail. They complete a rehabilitation program and return to the community
after 6 months. Youth with unemployment are impacted by drug and alcohol use
and they are either detected by the police and placed into the rehabilitation
program, or they are not detected and continue on a cycle of unemployment and
drug and alcohol use.
The Government funding
goes into the community programs and into the jail. The police force impacts on
the disengaged youth entering into jail, the youth who become rehabilitated and
detecting the drug and alcohol use of the youth.
There are two graphs
in particular that are called out in this model. They are:
<!--[if !supportLists]-->1)
<!--[endif]-->Youth in
Jail and Disengagement
<!--[if !supportLists]-->2)
<!--[endif]-->Youth in
the Community Program and Youth Completing the Program
When looking at graph
number one with the sliders on 100 Police Staff Members and $50,000 Government
Funding you can see that the more youth that complete the program, the less
youth there are in jail. We can identify that the completion of the program
decreases the amount of youth in jail.
When these sliders are
decreased to their lowest with 5 police staff members and $5,000 of government
funding we see that the time it takes for the completion of community programs
to be surpass the youth in jail occurs after 11 years as opposed to 7 years in
the previous graph.
The second graph identifies when the
sliders are at their highest the delay and time it takes to engage the youth in
the rehabilitation program vs. the youth in the community program, and that the
youth entering into the programs and completing match up to one another. When
the sliders are at there lowest the rehabilitation sits much lower at all times
and the time taken to increase the amount of youth completing the program is
substantially longer.
Overall this model
stimulates the importance on not only the police force and government funding,
but the two working alongside one another for optimum results for the youth in
Bourke.
<!--EndFragment-->