MeCoBi: modelo SIR básico + vacunación + optimización costo
SIR optimizacion
Michael Marmot's Eur J Epidemiol Essay 2017 See also IM-62760 Social determinants of health from Michael Marmot's ABC 2016 Boyer Lectures on Social Justice and the Health Gap
Social Justice, Epidemiology and Health Inequalities
WIP Understanding pathways to observed effects complex causation Pathways Moving to Opportunity NYC example from Nate Osgood's big data lecture youtube video Feb 2017 Sydney.
Potential and actual causal mechanisms
WIP integration of dynamic and complexity insights using rubik's cube metaphor from Pop Health Book insight folders, and others linked in notes
Beyond connecting the dots
Web of Causation for Chronic Anxiety for Chronic Disease Epidemiology (Fall 2018).
Web of Causation: Chronic Anxiety
MeCoBi: modelo SIR básico
SIR básico
A simple SI (Susceptible-Infectious) model that captures the dynamics of COVID-19.
Clone of SI Model
SEIRD Model with Hospitalizations
SEIRHD Model
MeCoBi: modelo SIR básico
sirbasico
A simple SI (Susceptible-Infectious) model that captures the dynamics of COVID-19.
SI Model
Initial attempt to reduce confusion about risk and odds ratios.
Odds ratio and Risk ratio
A simple SI (Susceptible-Infectious) model that captures the dynamics of COVID-19.
Clone of Clone of SI Model
WIP integrating Epidemiology Systems Science and Policy making, mainly based on books and AJE articles by Keyes and Galea
Health Systems Science Processes and Principles
Adding change over time to relative risk, odds ratio and population attributable fraction epidemiology concepts see
wikipedia and
examples .
Could also add deaths and competing risks
Relative Risk dynamics
Part of coursework. Models two infectious diseases, where if you recover from one, you change your chance of being infected by the other.
Multiple strain SIR
A simple SI (Susceptible-Infectious) model that captures the dynamics of COVID-19.
Clone of SI Model
This basic pandemic model explores the dynamics and healthcare burden associated with of a novel infection.
Pandemic: Exploring the Dynamics of a Novel Infection
WIP to explain risk factors and burden of disease
RIsk factors and Burden of Disease
Evolution of Covid-19 in Brazil:
A System Dynamics Approach
Villela, Paulo (2020)
paulo.villela@engenharia.ufjf.br
This model is based on Crokidakis, Nuno. (2020). Data analysis and modeling of the evolution of COVID-19 in Brazil. For more details see full paper here.
Evolução da Covid-19 no Brasil
Evolution of Covid-19 in Brazil:
A System Dynamics Approach
Villela, Paulo (2020)
villela.paulo@gmail.com
This model is based on Crokidakis, Nuno. (2020). Data analysis and modeling of the evolution of COVID-19 in Brazil. For more details see full paper here.
Evolution of Covid-19 in Brazil: A System Dynamics Approach
A flow based recreation of the base model presented in Munz et al 2009 using zombies to teach basic SIR epidemiology models
Munz 2009 Zombies 2 - tested