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Flow example for Gene
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Gene Regulation
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Fixes that Fail Archetype (Cite: Gene Bellinger)
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Coping but not coping in health and social care: masking the reality of running organisations beyond safe design capacity. From Eric Wolstenholme Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23, 371–389, (2007) abstract. See also IM-1010 for unfolding CLD version. This is a cascade of swamping structures see gene's insight with video link
Coping but not coping stock flow 2007
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This is the Project Challenge in the Insight Maker Essentials lesson on Kumu. This lesson was developed by Gene Bellinger. I developed this relationship diagram as I was following along watching Gene introduce Insight Maker.
20150711a_Project
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Existem cerca de quinze arquétipos conhecidos com um interessante conjunto de relações entre eles.

Este modelo foi originalmente concebido por Gene Bellinger.

Traduzido por Ravi Resck
Arquétipos de Sistemas
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Assignment 1 (Final)
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copied from: Gene Bellinger (Success to the Successful Archetype | Insight Maker)

Success to the successful archetype represents two reinforcing structures which may be in a delicate balance though as soon as one gains a small advantage the resource allocation favors the more successful and the result is then rapidly skewed in the direction of the more successful. See also Archetypes.
Success to the Successful Archetype
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Modified from Sterman (2006) article and Gene Bellinger's Assumptions IM-351 by Dr Rosemarie Sadsad UNSW See also Complex Decision Technologies IM and IM-63975

Virtual Experiments
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This is just a test to see if I can duplicate what Gene did in BCtD
SPD Walk to Grandmas House
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Antibiotics
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NICOLE DESARIO 

AP BIOLOGY 

JUNE 2013


There are many factors that lead to an increased risk of osteoporosis later in life. Some of these risks are congenital; fixed risks that were acquired during fetal development. Other risks are created or reduced by an individual depending on their lifestyle; which make them unfixed variables. 

Definition: OSTEOPOROSIS (Also known as degenerative bone disease) - "is a disease of bones that leads to an increased risk of fracture. In osteoporosis, the bone mineral density (BMD) of an individual is reduced, bone micro-architecture deteriorates, and the amount and variety of proteins in bone and variety of proteins in bone are altered. Osteoporosis is defined by the World Health Organization as a bone mineral density of 2.5 standard deviations or more below the mean peak bone mass (average of young healthy adults)."

NON-MODIFIABLE RISK FACTORS (Explained)

Age: Increased age increases likelihood of developing osteoporosis

Sex: Females are more likely to experience osteoporosis fragility fractures

Race: Osteoporosis is more common in people of European and Asian decent

Frame: Thin-framed individuals do not stress their bones as much as heavier-set individuals, and therefore do not have as "thick" bones, and are more likely to develop fragile bones (osteoporosis) 

Family history: 30 genes are linked to development of osteoporosis, so an individual can be anywhere between 25 and 80% more likely to develop osteoporosis if it exists in the family. (my mother has it, so I am very likely to develop it if I don't actively make the efforts to protect my bones from degenerating over time.)

Insufficient Prenatal Care: During development in the womb if a fetus does not receive appropriate nutrition, it may develop malnutrition-related deficiency diseases.

(POTENTIALLY) MODIFIABLE RISK FACTORS (Explained)

Smoking/Drinking: Excessive use could lead to increased risk because alcohol use decreases your ability to absorb nutrients. It interferes with the absorption of calcium and Vit D (stomach, pancreas and liver affected). Alcohol also kills osteoblasts, the bone-making cells. It also increases bone-damaging hormones cortisol and parathyroid hormone 

Medication Use: Some medications increase risk of osteoporosis however discontinuing use of said medications is often impossible, and therefore the modifiable risk is non-modifiable at times.

Dietary Habits: Majority of bone development happens before an individual reaches the age of 20, so if dietary requirements of calcium, vitamin D, and phosphorus are insufficient, there will be a greater chance of osteoporosis later in life. 

Hormone Levels: In females, estrogen deficiency following menopause or oophorectomy is correlated with rapid reduction in bone mineral density, while in men, a decrease in testosterone levels has a comparable (but less pronounced) effect.

Sedentary Lifestyle: Staying active and stressing your bones decreases chances of osteoporosis because it encourages osteoblastic activity, if an individual is extremely sedentary, (coupled with a thin frame possibly) they are very susceptible to osteoporosis, and should consider getting active. Also, an individual with more sun exposure absorbs more Vit D.

Fractures: Increased breakage of bones creates weak points where BMD cannot recover to what it was prior to the fracture. Individuals should stay out of fights, reduce falling, and avoid clumsy behavior.
Is Osteoporosis More Avoidable than we Thought?
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This is an example from the video "Your First Simulation v2" by Gene Bellinger.

This includes: Bath Tub1, Bath Tub2, and savings account
CS436Lab1wmeulink
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From the Plausibility of life book esp p 220-227  Constraints that deconstrain

Facilitated Variation and Evolvability
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MR diagram
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Unfolding causal loop diagram story of hospital congestion from Eric Wolstenholme's more detailed explanation of hospital congestion IM from March 2022 Youtube video and online stella presentation. Use of cascading interlinked archetypes. See Kumu version,  early discharge boundaries IM for an earlier version and Generic Archetypes IM from Gene Bellinger
Hospital congestion cascading archetypes
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GA biosynthesis
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A tongue in cheek look at taking a Gene Udemy Course
A Never Ending Story
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Since the mid-eighteenth century, new jobs have emerged then vanished throughout successive revolutions (Industrial, Technological, Digital) due to a combination of globalisation and automation. Now a fourth revolution (the joining of technologies like artificial intelligence, gene editing, and advanced robotics) threatens 4.4 million knowledge work jobs in the UK (“Transformed by AI – how generative artificial intelligence could affect work in the UK”, IPPR, March 2024).

By contrast, jobs that are hyper-local and personalised are not only sustainable, but also valued by customers, rewarding to suppliers, and contribute to antifragility. Suppliers are close to customers personally so can evolve their services rapidly in response to new needs ("Advancing a hyperlocal approach to community engagement in climate adaptation", Harrison, T.R., et al, 2022) and are motivated to train their own replacements.
Globalised Jobs Vanish - Community Jobs Sustain
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Gene Bellinger's CST course requires several causation models to be developed. This is my first sheet of such models.
Certified Systems Thinker #1
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Model is created by Gene Bellinger. Original model can be accessed from https://insightmaker.com/insight/2249/Adjusting-the-Shower-SFD.

The delays associated with adjusting the shower is a very common example of the Balancing Loop with Delay Systems Archetype.
Adjusting the Shower/SFD
29 4 months ago
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What influences sleep quality?

Homework for systems thinking course by Gene Bellinger
SLEEP
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The calorie reduction by Gene, copied so I can include stress, high intensity exercise, sleep and carb restriction.

Clone of Weight Loss System