This is an introductory example from Olinick's book  An Introduction to Mathematical Models in the Social and Life Sciences . ​  The Galla people have a most unusual set of age classes for their males (five of them). In this model, we look at the ages at which fathers enter, by comparison with their
This is an introductory example from Olinick's book An Introduction to Mathematical Models in the Social and Life Sciences. ​

The Galla people have a most unusual set of age classes for their males (five of them). In this model, we look at the ages at which fathers enter, by comparison with their sons.

Thanks Mike! Interesting examples, as always....
Andy Long
 Spring, 2020: in the midst of on-line courses, due to the pandemic of Covid-19.      With the onset of the Covid-19 coronavirus crisis, we focus on SIRD models, which might realistically model the course of the disease.     We start with an SIR model, such as that featured in the MAA model featured
Spring, 2020: in the midst of on-line courses, due to the pandemic of Covid-19.

With the onset of the Covid-19 coronavirus crisis, we focus on SIRD models, which might realistically model the course of the disease.

We start with an SIR model, such as that featured in the MAA model featured in

Without mortality, with time measured in days, with infection rate 1/2, recovery rate 1/3, and initial infectious population I_0=1.27x10-4, we reproduce their figure

With a death rate of .005 (one two-hundredth of the infected per day), an infectivity rate of 0.5, and a recovery rate of .145 or so (takes about a week to recover), we get some pretty significant losses -- about 3.2% of the total population.

Resources:
This is an example from Cushing's book  An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics . ​  The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.  The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.   p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.  The bifurcation diagra
This is an example from Cushing's book An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics. ​

The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.
The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.

p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.

The bifurcation diagram for parameter b is on page 39;
The bifurcation diagram for mu adult is on p. 59;
The bifurcation diagram for C pa is on p. 60.

Andy Long

 Spring, 2020: in the midst of on-line courses, due to the pandemic of Covid-19.      With the onset of the Covid-19 coronavirus crisis, we focus on SIRD models, which might realistically model the course of the disease.     We start with an SIR model, such as that featured in the MAA model featured
Spring, 2020: in the midst of on-line courses, due to the pandemic of Covid-19.

With the onset of the Covid-19 coronavirus crisis, we focus on SIRD models, which might realistically model the course of the disease.

We start with an SIR model, such as that featured in the MAA model featured in

Without mortality, with time measured in days, with infection rate 1/2, recovery rate 1/3, and initial infectious population I_0=1.27x10-4, we reproduce their figure

With a death rate of .005 (one two-hundredth of the infected per day), an infectivity rate of 0.5, and a recovery rate of .145 or so (takes about a week to recover), we get some pretty significant losses -- about 3.2% of the total population.

Resources:
This is an example from Cushing's book  An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics . ​  The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.  The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.   p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.  The bifurcation diagra
This is an example from Cushing's book An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics. ​

The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.
The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.

p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.

The bifurcation diagram for parameter b is on page 39;
The bifurcation diagram for mu adult is on p. 59;
The bifurcation diagram for C pa is on p. 60.

Andy Long

This is an example from Cushing's book  An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics . ​  The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.  The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.   p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.  The bifurcation diagra
This is an example from Cushing's book An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics. ​

The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.
The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.

p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.

The bifurcation diagram for parameter b is on page 39;
The bifurcation diagram for mu adult is on p. 59;
The bifurcation diagram for C pa is on p. 60.

Andy Long

This is an example from Cushing's book  An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics . ​  The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.  The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.   p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.  The bifurcation diagra
This is an example from Cushing's book An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics. ​

The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.
The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.

p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.

The bifurcation diagram for parameter b is on page 39;
The bifurcation diagram for mu adult is on p. 59;
The bifurcation diagram for C pa is on p. 60.

Andy Long

This is an example from Cushing's book  An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics . ​  The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.  The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.   p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.  The bifurcation diagra
This is an example from Cushing's book An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics. ​

The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.
The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.

p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.

The bifurcation diagram for parameter b is on page 39;
The bifurcation diagram for mu adult is on p. 59;
The bifurcation diagram for C pa is on p. 60.

Andy Long

This is an example from Cushing's book  An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics . ​  The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.  The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.   p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.  The bifurcation diagra
This is an example from Cushing's book An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics. ​

The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.
The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.

p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.

The bifurcation diagram for parameter b is on page 39;
The bifurcation diagram for mu adult is on p. 59;
The bifurcation diagram for C pa is on p. 60.

Andy Long

This is an introductory example from Olinick's book  An Introduction to Mathematical Models in the Social and Life Sciences . ​  Next up: and SIR, and his interesting model of female birth weights.
This is an introductory example from Olinick's book An Introduction to Mathematical Models in the Social and Life Sciences. ​

Next up: and SIR, and his interesting model of female birth weights.
This is an introductory example from Olinick's book  An Introduction to Mathematical Models in the Social and Life Sciences . ​  Next up: and SIR, and his interesting model of female birth weights.
This is an introductory example from Olinick's book An Introduction to Mathematical Models in the Social and Life Sciences. ​

Next up: and SIR, and his interesting model of female birth weights.
This is an example from Cushing's book  An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics . ​  The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.  The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.   p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.  The bifurcation diagra
This is an example from Cushing's book An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics. ​

The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.
The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.

p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.

The bifurcation diagram for parameter b is on page 39;
The bifurcation diagram for mu adult is on p. 59;
The bifurcation diagram for C pa is on p. 60.

Andy Long

This is an example of an SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) model that has been re-parameterized down to the bare minimum, to illustrated the dynamics possible with the fewest number of parameters .   We're rescaled this SIR model, so that time is given in infection rate-appropriate time units,
This is an example of an SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) model that has been re-parameterized down to the bare minimum, to illustrated the dynamics possible with the fewest number of parameters.

We're rescaled this SIR model, so that time is given in infection rate-appropriate time units, "rates" are now ratios of rates (with infectivity rate in the denominator), and populations are considered proportions (unfortunately InsightMaker doesn't function properly if I give them all values from 0 to 1, which sum to 1 -- so, at the moment, I give them values that sum to 100, and consider the results percentages).

The new display includes the asymptotics: the three sub-populations will tend to fixed values as time goes to infinity; the infected population goes to zero if the recovery rate is greater than the infectivity rate -- i.e., the disease dies out.

Note the use of a "ghost" stock (for Total Population), which I think is a pretty cool idea. It cuts down on the number of arcs in the model graph.

A comparable model in Mathematica is available at
http://www.nku.edu/~longa/classes/2018spring/mat375/mathematica/SIRModel-rescaled.nb

This is an example from Cushing's book  An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics . ​  The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.  The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.   p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.  The bifurcation diagra
This is an example from Cushing's book An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics. ​

The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.
The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.

p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.

The bifurcation diagram for parameter b is on page 39;
The bifurcation diagram for mu adult is on p. 59;
The bifurcation diagram for C pa is on p. 60.

Andy Long

This is an introductory example from Olinick's book  An Introduction to Mathematical Models in the Social and Life Sciences . ​  Galla with the different classes.   Thanks Mike! Interesting examples, as always.... Andy Long  Next up: an SIR.
This is an introductory example from Olinick's book An Introduction to Mathematical Models in the Social and Life Sciences. ​

Galla with the different classes. 

Thanks Mike! Interesting examples, as always....
Andy Long

Next up: an SIR.
This is an example from Cushing's book  An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics . ​  The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.  The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.   p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.  The bifurcation diagra
This is an example from Cushing's book An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics. ​

The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.
The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.

p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.

The bifurcation diagram for parameter b is on page 39;
The bifurcation diagram for mu adult is on p. 59;
The bifurcation diagram for C pa is on p. 60.

Andy Long

This is an example from Cushing's book  An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics . ​  The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.  The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.   p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.  The bifurcation diagra
This is an example from Cushing's book An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics. ​

The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.
The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.

p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.

The bifurcation diagram for parameter b is on page 39;
The bifurcation diagram for mu adult is on p. 59;
The bifurcation diagram for C pa is on p. 60.

Andy Long

This is a simple example of (part of a) simple SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) model, suggested by De Vries,  et al . in  A Course in Mathematical Biology.    They wanted to illustrate the comparative behavior of differential equations and discrete difference equations. We know that different
This is a simple example of (part of a) simple SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) model, suggested by De Vries, et al. in A Course in Mathematical Biology.

They wanted to illustrate the comparative behavior of differential equations and discrete difference equations. We know that differential equations are generally solved numerically by discretizing them, so that the comparison is a little bit rigged....

A comparable model in Mathematica is available at
http://www.nku.edu/~longa/classes/2018spring/mat375/mathematica/SIRModel-w-discrete-version.nb

This is an example from Cushing's book  An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics . ​  The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.  The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.   p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.  The bifurcation diagra
This is an example from Cushing's book An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics. ​

The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.
The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.

p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.

The bifurcation diagram for parameter b is on page 39;
The bifurcation diagram for mu adult is on p. 59;
The bifurcation diagram for C pa is on p. 60.

Andy Long

This is an example from Cushing's book  An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics . ​  The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.  The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.   p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.  The bifurcation diagra
This is an example from Cushing's book An Introduction to Structured Population Dynamics. ​

The parameters initially included reproduce the bifurcation results on p. 39 of Cushing's manuscript.
The tuning parameter is b, the birthrate.

p. 37: The LPA flour beetle model.

The bifurcation diagram for parameter b is on page 39;
The bifurcation diagram for mu adult is on p. 59;
The bifurcation diagram for C pa is on p. 60.

Andy Long

This is an introductory example from Olinick's book  An Introduction to Mathematical Models in the Social and Life Sciences . ​  Galla age distribution model.  Thanks Mike! Interesting examples, as always.... Andy Long  Next up: an SIR.
This is an introductory example from Olinick's book An Introduction to Mathematical Models in the Social and Life Sciences. ​

Galla age distribution model.

Thanks Mike! Interesting examples, as always....
Andy Long

Next up: an SIR.
This is an introductory example from Olinick's book  An Introduction to Mathematical Models in the Social and Life Sciences . ​  Galla Age Distribution Model.  Thanks Mike! Interesting examples, as always.... Andy Long
This is an introductory example from Olinick's book An Introduction to Mathematical Models in the Social and Life Sciences. ​

Galla Age Distribution Model.

Thanks Mike! Interesting examples, as always....
Andy Long

 MAT375: Non-linear Exam....      This insight implements Newton's method as an InsightMaker model.       It is important to use Euler's method, with step-size of 1. That's what allows us to get away with this!:)      Fun to try a couple of different cases, so I have built four choices into this exa
MAT375: Non-linear Exam....

This insight implements Newton's method as an InsightMaker model.

It is important to use Euler's method, with step-size of 1. That's what allows us to get away with this!:)

Fun to try a couple of different cases, so I have built four choices into this example. You can choose the function ("Function Choice" of 0, 1, 2, or 3) using the slider.

Andy Long
Spring, 2020