Psychology Models

These models and simulations have been tagged “Psychology”.

Three Agent Model of  IM-13669 . Unconscious affective dynamics Josh Epstein's Agent Zero Book  webpage  
Three Agent Model of IM-13669. Unconscious affective dynamics Josh Epstein's Agent Zero Book webpage 

Three Agent Model of  IM-14058  with Spatial awareness. Unconscious affective dynamics Josh Epstein's Agent Zero Book  webpage   Part II p.89 with spatial ABM
Three Agent Model of IM-14058 with Spatial awareness. Unconscious affective dynamics Josh Epstein's Agent Zero Book webpage  Part II p.89 with spatial ABM

 The simple  graph shows two feedback loops that interact
to make climate change and its consequences worse, leading to   an unexpected
(& inescapable?)   dilemma. Presently, 
there are 413 ppm of CO2 gasses in the atmosphere. Even without any
further emission of greenhouse gasses, this high lev

The simple  graph shows two feedback loops that interact to make climate change and its consequences worse, leading to an unexpected (& inescapable?) dilemma. Presently,  there are 413 ppm of CO2 gasses in the atmosphere. Even without any further emission of greenhouse gasses, this high level of CO2 in the atmosphere will ensure constantly worsening climatic consequences because of delays that operate in the climate system. The dilemma is caused by relentlessly worsening of extreme weather events, droughts, forest fires etc., the need for draconian measures to deal with the situation and the opposition to the measures, described by the feedback loop B2.This opposition is rooted in human nature, the psychological defence mechanisms that cause us to repress or even deny unpalatable truths that threaten our basic assumptions and the way we understand life. Together,  the loops B1 & B2 create a vicious reinforcing loop that describes the escalating and worsening situation created by the dilemma.

Please look at Insight No. 238770 that provides background information and also at the information labels attached to majority of the variables in the model. 

Examples of macroanalysis relevant to assessing individual patient causal mechanisms contributing to deficits in wellbeing from fava guidi sturmey and ethicsfor judging value from barbosa 2012
Examples of macroanalysis relevant to assessing individual patient causal mechanisms contributing to deficits in wellbeing from fava guidi sturmey and ethicsfor judging value from barbosa 2012
Unconscious affective dynamics From Epstein, Joshua M. (2014-02-23). Agent_Zero: Toward Neurocognitive Foundations for Generative Social Science (Princeton Studies in Complexity) (p. 37). Princeton University Press. Kindle Edition Publisher  webpage   See also Behaviorism insight  IM-7776   Next ste
Unconscious affective dynamics From Epstein, Joshua M. (2014-02-23). Agent_Zero: Toward Neurocognitive Foundations for Generative Social Science (Princeton Studies in Complexity) (p. 37). Princeton University Press. Kindle Edition Publisher webpage 
See also Behaviorism insight IM-7776
Next step is a 3 Agent model at IM-14058
WIP ​Book Summary see  blog entry  Also Chuang2009 ISDC P1127 paper, Newman2017 and Edmondson2014 papers
WIP ​Book Summary see blog entry Also Chuang2009 ISDC P1127 paper, Newman2017 and Edmondson2014 papers
SD reformulation of  jama psychiatry article  mason2017 on neurocomputational model of mood instability and reward dysregulation in bipolar disorder
SD reformulation of jama psychiatry article mason2017 on neurocomputational model of mood instability and reward dysregulation in bipolar disorder
 The fact
that we all strive to reduce psychologically inconsistent thoughts  is a well-researched phenomenon. When we hold
two conflicting thoughts in our heads we feel an overwhelming desire to reduce
this conflict. This desire can be a powerful driver in the way we behave. Most
of us are aware at

The fact that we all strive to reduce psychologically inconsistent thoughts  is a well-researched phenomenon. When we hold two conflicting thoughts in our heads we feel an overwhelming desire to reduce this conflict. This desire can be a powerful driver in the way we behave. Most of us are aware at some level that if we took the threat of climate change seriously we would need to completely change our routines and the way we behave. Flying off on holiday would be out of the question. Swimming pools would be a past luxury. Most of us would need to give up our cars and become vegetarians. The list can be extended almost endlessly. Very often, subconsciously, we try to reduce troubling and inconvenient facts by minimizing, ignoring or even by denying them. Could this be why we hardly talk about climate change even in the face of increasingly frequent extreme weather events and obvious signs that it is occurring now?

This subject needs to be openly talked about between us and in the press. The seriousness of global warming makes it a necessity.  Only when this happens will politicians have the space and incentive to act on our behalf. But before this can happen we need to be aware of the reason why we avoid talking about this subject – this graph tries to illustrate the harmful dynamic that could be responsible for it.

 Delusions, false
theories and ideas about the world, can be dangerous when acted upon.  I
would count as delusional beliefs, belief in 'creationism', 'market fundamentalism' and also the belief that 'climate change is not anthropogenic'.  The CLD
seeks to illustrate the dynamic that makes it diffic

Delusions, false theories and ideas about the world, can be dangerous when acted upon.  I would count as delusional beliefs, belief in 'creationism', 'market fundamentalism' and also the belief that 'climate change is not anthropogenic'.

The CLD seeks to illustrate the dynamic that makes it difficult, if not impossible, to disabuse holders of fanatical beliefs by simply using rational arguments and facts. The professor of psychology, Jerry Kroth, said that delusions can be seen as an incipient mental illness. He also said that 'repression' and 'denial' are by-products of delusions. It seems that rational arguments are useless when facts are simply denied: the dynamic shows that trying to refute a strongly held irrational belief merely strengthens it. 

Based on  1990 SDR Article . Control systems act to make their own input match internal standards or reference signals. Competent control systems create illusions of stimulus response causality. Stimulus-response theory can approximate the relationship between disturbance and action, but it can't pr
Based on 1990 SDR Article. Control systems act to make their own input match internal standards or reference signals. Competent control systems create illusions of stimulus response causality. Stimulus-response theory can approximate the relationship between disturbance and action, but it can't predict the consequences of behavior. These consequences are maintained despite disturbances. See IM-9007 for a double loop version
 Counterfactual views are claims or beliefs that are
contrary to established facts. Such views can be extremely harmful.  An example would be the false
claims made by climate-change-deniers. This simple graph of two
self-reinforcing loops illustrates that there are circumstances where such false
bel

Counterfactual views are claims or beliefs that are contrary to established facts. Such views can be extremely harmful.  An example would be the false claims made by climate-change-deniers. This simple graph of two self-reinforcing loops illustrates that there are circumstances where such false beliefs strengthen once a sufficiently large number have accepted them. The mechanism, well documented by research in cognitive psychology, is frequent repetition, which makes such false messages appear ever more familiar and to take on an air of factual truth.

An effective leverage point would be for newspapers and TV station simply to deny to authors that want to spread counterfactual views access to their platforms.  Whilst everybody has the right to express their opinion, does anybody have the right to invent their own facts in an attempt to undermine general well-being?

Completion of  IM-15119  (which added patches to  IM-14058 ). Unconscious affective dynamics Josh Epstein's Agent Zero Book  webpage   Part II p.89 with 2 agent types, spatial patches and location aware, mobile occupying (blue) agents
Completion of IM-15119 (which added patches to IM-14058). Unconscious affective dynamics Josh Epstein's Agent Zero Book webpage  Part II p.89 with 2 agent types, spatial patches and location aware, mobile occupying (blue) agents

This diagram illustrates the behavioral cycle, which models the sequence of steps that people undergo when responding to situations. The diagram highlights potential risk factors that may lead to problematic behavioral patterns, and may be useful in identifying potential interventions for correcting
This diagram illustrates the behavioral cycle, which models the sequence of steps that people undergo when responding to situations. The diagram highlights potential risk factors that may lead to problematic behavioral patterns, and may be useful in identifying potential interventions for correcting them.

Disclaimer: this diagram reflects my personal life-practices and understandings and do not constitute professional medical advice.
last month
Fases por las que pasa un individuo cuando experimenta un cambio
Fases por las que pasa un individuo cuando experimenta un cambio
WIP ​Book Summary see  blog entry  Also Chuang2009 ISDC P1127 paper, Newman2017 and Edmondson2014 papers
WIP ​Book Summary see blog entry Also Chuang2009 ISDC P1127 paper, Newman2017 and Edmondson2014 papers
11 months ago
WIP Addition of  Emotion Regulation IM  to Clone of  IM-9007  Double loop version of  IM-8908  Based on  1990 SDR Article .  See also Double loop learning and Nurse Thinking Insights. See also  IM-9273  for DLL LAIR model. Also Azjen's Theory of planned behavior which could be framed in COM-B WIP at
WIP Addition of Emotion Regulation IM to Clone of IM-9007 Double loop version of IM-8908 Based on 1990 SDR Article.  See also Double loop learning and Nurse Thinking Insights. See also IM-9273 for DLL LAIR model. Also Azjen's Theory of planned behavior which could be framed in COM-B WIP at IM-51900
WIP Addition of  Emotion Regulation IM  to Clone of  IM-9007  Double loop version of  IM-8908  Based on  1990 SDR Article .  See also Double loop learning and Nurse Thinking Insights. See also  IM-9273  for DLL LAIR model. Also Azjen's Theory of planned behavior which could be framed in COM-B WIP at
WIP Addition of Emotion Regulation IM to Clone of IM-9007 Double loop version of IM-8908 Based on 1990 SDR Article.  See also Double loop learning and Nurse Thinking Insights. See also IM-9273 for DLL LAIR model. Also Azjen's Theory of planned behavior which could be framed in COM-B WIP at IM-51900
Double loop version of  IM-8908  Based on  1990 SDR Article . Control systems act to make their own input match internal standards or reference signals. Competent control systems create illusions of stimulus response causality. Stimulus-response theory can approximate the relationship between distur
Double loop version of IM-8908 Based on 1990 SDR Article. Control systems act to make their own input match internal standards or reference signals. Competent control systems create illusions of stimulus response causality. Stimulus-response theory can approximate the relationship between disturbance and action, but it can't predict the consequences of behavior. These consequences are maintained despite disturbances. See also Double loop learning and Nurse Thinking Insights. See also IM-9273 for DLL LAIR model