The macroeconomic ruel: SPENDING = INCOME = OUTPUT, WHICH DRIVES EMPLOYMENT is presented here in a schematic form. Output can be taken to be equivalent to GDP. In order to maintain output it is necessary for all the income earned to be spent. If this is not the case, then companies find they have excess unsold stock on their hands and will cut back on production. This, in time, will lead to an increase in unemployment as companies need fewer employees. The shortfall in spending can be made up by any of the three sectors that contribute to total output. However, in cases where a country has a trade deficit and where the private sector is not spending or investing enough, the only option is for the government to Net Spend i.e. to spend more than it collected in taxes causing a fiscal deficit.
Investment and Output 1
See extension Goodwin02 at IM-172145
Clone of Goodwin Minsky Simulation Keen Economic Dynamics Aug2019
To compete with cheap price and convenience,
Community Economy must provide the distinct merits; human connection, belief in person, unique quality enable citizens willing to pay for fair price.
Community Values Change the Spending Choice of Citizens for Economic Equity
WIP concepts from Rachel Turner's Book Neo-liberal Ideology
Neoliberal concepts
Verano, Mary Ann (Economic Data)
A simple budget planning system. What additional complexities can you add?
ISD Savings Plan - Science Intro
Simple epidemiological model for Burnie, Tasmania
SIR: Susceptible to infection - Infected - Recovery, Government responses and Economic impacts
Government policy is activated when there are 10 or fewer reported cases of COVID-19. The more people tested, the fewer people became infected. So the government's policy is to reduce infections by increasing the number of people tested and starting early. At the same time, it has slowed the economic growth (which, according to the model, will stop for next 52 weeks).
Model of Covid-19 Outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania (Yue Xiang 512994)
This
paper aims at describing a case where system dynamics modeling was used to evaluate
the effects of information and material supply lead-time variation on sales
contributions margins and operating cash conversion cycle of a commodity export
business. An empirical dynamic model,
loaded with econometric theory of price effect on competitive demand, was used
to describe the input data. The model simulation
outputs proved themselves relevant in analyzing the complex interconnections of
multiple variables affecting the
profitability in a commercial routine, supporting the decision process among
sales managers.
SDR Case study System dynamic modelling
Population densities: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/49/World_population_density_1994_-_with_equator.png
Adding employment
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Helene D. Coffee Pod Investigation
Explanation of the Model
This is a sample model of Covid-19 outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania showing how the Government responds by implementing relevant health policy and the effects on the Economy of the area.
Assumptions
Economic growth rate is dependent on the proportion of the population who can be exposed. Number of COVID cases negatively impacts the economy. Govt policy is triggered when COVID-19 cases are 10 or more.
Interesting Insights
1) Exposure to the disease has a positive relationship with economic growth rate because the more people goes out, more business activity takes place, resulting in Economic Growth.
2) Increasing the
Testing rate results in:
- Higher cases being detected
- Stricter Govt Policy
- Less Deaths
Covid-19 outbreak in Burnie Tasmania
Regulation of resource allocation to service in response to service quality. A non-price-mediated resource allocation system. From Sterman JD Business Dynamics p172 Fig 5-27
Service Quality Balancing Loops
Final Project Socio-Economic Model
clone economics price product
Clusters of interacting methods for improving health services network design and delivery. Includes Forrester quotes on statistical vs SD methods and the Modeller's dilemma. Simplified version of IM-14982 combined with IM-17598 and IM-9773
Complex Decision Technologies
Lakon_Energy Economics Fossil Fuel
Difficulties with formulae and links
Problems with formulae and links
Jay Forrester's "Market Growth as Influenced by Capital Investment" model as rebuilt by Eric Stiens
Market Growth as Influenced by Capital Investment
Pathways Causal Loop - Health
Investment with depreciation (simple)
This is an important Henry George insight; labor creates all wealth (rather than capital creating it).
This model attempts to illustrate (crudely) how capital responds to price discovery.
Among many things it will be necessary to show how money is created and the link between money and capital. (10/11/2014)
To Do
find out how to draw appropriate flows; reinforcing and balancing loops etc
Labor creates Wealth
Socio-economic Cycle - Final Porjecy