Find Insights | Insight Maker

THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

Growth in supply and productivity is a summation of variables as is demand ... when the link between them is broken by catastrophic failure in a component the creation of unpredictable chaotic turbulence puts the controls ito a situation that will never return the system to its initial conditions as it is STIC system (Lorenz)

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite working containers (villages communities)

THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES CHAOTIC TURBULENCE (+controls)

Guy Lakeman

25

Tilburg University e-business

Mariapia Letizia

6

To compete with cheap price and convenience,

Community Economy must provide the distinct merits; human connection, belief in person, unique quality enable citizens willing to pay for fair price.

Community Values Change the Spending Choice of Citizens for Economic Equity

Hanbit Jeong

Presentation version

MEA Simulation Ellen 2

Marcos Fraiha

Lakon_Energy Economics Fossil Fuel

Nick Lakon

Group 4C

Seb Le

Format: Given pre-conditions when independent variables(s) then dependent variable

Given Earnings Decline (0.25), Spending Variance (55), Initial Investment (500) and Rate of Return (RandNormal(0.06, 0.12)) when one of these independent variables change then how sensitive is Investment (22) over a 30 year time period (-1,000)

H1: if you Earn more then Investment will last much longer => rejected

H2: if you Spend less then Investment will last much longer => accepted

H3: if your Initial Investment is higher then Investment will last much longer => accepted

H4: if you reduce your Spend when Investments are declining then Investment will last much longer => accepted

Given Earnings Decline (0.25), Spending Variance (55), Initial Investment (500) and Rate of Return (RandNormal(0.06, 0.12)) when one of these independent variables are optimised then Investment will last exactly 30 years by minimising the absolute investment gap

H1: if you set an appropriate Spending Base then remaining Investment is 0 => rejected

H2: if you set an appropriate Spending Reduction then remaining Investment is 0 => rejected

Source for investment returns: https://seekingalpha.com/article/3896226-90-year-history-of-capital-market-returns-and-risks

OrangeFortune | Wealth Management when Retiring

Agile Chris

4 6 months ago

Michael Marmot's Eur J Epidemiol Essay 2017 See also IM-62760 Social determinants of health from Michael Marmot's ABC 2016 Boyer Lectures on Social Justice and the Health Gap

Social Justice, Epidemiology and Health Inequalities

Geoff McDonnell

Verano, Mary Ann (Economic Data)

Verano, Mary Ann U.

System Zoo Z409 Fishery dynamics from Hartmut Bossel (2007) System Zoo 2 Simulation Models. Climate, Ecosystems, Resources

Fishing is a classic example for use of a renewable resource. Unless overfished, fish populations If is hardly by fishing, then the fish population will persist at a constant size corresponding to its specific ecological envi ronment If the stock is overfished, the juvenile generation becomes too small to fully replace the adult generation. If overfishing continues. the population cannot recover and will collapse in short time. Even if fish catch stops now/, it could take decades until the fish population recovers to its original size if it hasn't become extinct meanwhile. In many of the world overtlshing has led, and still leads, to the complete collapse of formerly huge tlsh populations: herring in the North Sea, codtlsh in the Northern Atlantic. tuna, whales to name only a few. With the collapse of fish stocks came the collapse of the t1shing industry in many regions. Employment and

incomes disappeared: whole regions (like Newfoundland) lost their economic base.

REM 221 - Z409 Fishery dynamics

Steve Conrad

29

Final Project Socio-Economic Model

Max Douglas

An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.

Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.01

Kevin Collins

373

From Walrave ISDC2014 paper Counteracting the success trap in publically owned corporations. Similar to the ordinary (efficiency focussed) and dynamic capabilities (explore) insight described by David Teece

See also evolution and brain control insight

Explore or Exploit

Geoff McDonnell

5

Самостаятельная работа часть 1 Акилбеков Асет

Akilbekov Aset

Difficulties with formulae and links

Problems with formulae and links

Ariovistus

This Model was developed from the SEIR model (Susceptible, Enposed, Infected, Recovered). It was designed to explore relationships between the government policies regarding the COVID-19 and its impact upon the economy as well as well-being of residents.

Assumptions:

Government policies will be triggered when reported COVID-19 case are 10 or less;

Government Policies affect the economy and the COV-19 infection negatively at the same time;

Government Policies can be divided as 4 categories, which are Social Distancing, Business Restrictions, Lock Down, Travel Ban, and Hygiene Level, and they represented strength of different aspects;

Parameters:

Policies like Social Distancing, Business Restrictions, Lock Down, Travel Ban all have different weights and caps, and they add up to 1 in total;

There are 4 cases on March 9th;

Ro= 5.7 Ro is the reproduction number, here it means one person with COVID-19 can potentially transmit the coronavirus to 5 to 6 people;

Interesting Insights:

Economy will grow at the beginning few weeks then becoming stagnant for a very long time;

Exposed people are significant, which requires early policies intervention such as social distancing.

Model of COVID-19 Outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania

Jingting REN

16

Economic capital growth in a system constrained by a non-renewable resource, Figure 37 from Thinking in Systems by Donella H. Meadows

Clone of REM 221 Figure 37. Economic capital

JP Burklow

The World Socio-Economics model is computer model to simulate the consequence of interactions between the earth and human systems based on the World3 model by the work of Club of Rome, The Limits to Growth[1].

The World3 model builds by system dynamics theory that is has an approach to understanding the nonlinear behaviour of complex systems over time using stocks, flows, feedback loops, table functions and time delays.

The Limits to Growth concludes that, without substantial changes in resource consumption, "the most probable result will be a rather sudden and uncontrollable decline in both population and industrial capacity".

Since the World3 model was originally created, it has had minor tweaks to get to the World3-91 model used in the book Beyond the Limits[2], later improved to get the World3-03 model used in the book Limits to Growth: the 30 year update[3].

References;

[1] Meadows, Donella H., Meadows, Dennis L., Randers, Jørgen., Behrens III, William W (1972). The Limits to Growth.

[2] Meadows, Donella H., Dennis L. Meadows, Randers, Jørgen., (1992). Beyond the limits: global collapse or a sustainable future.

[3] Meadows, Dennis., Randers, Jørgen., (2004). The limits to growth: the 30-year update.

World Socio-Economics model 2000-2100

滑川英樹

48

This model illustrates the current practice and consequences of government spending. Following the direction of the arrows from right to left the model shows the following sequence based on current practice:

Government Spending at a certain point leads to spending in excess of tax receipts. This will automatically lead to the issue of treasuries in the belief that the excess spending must be financed by borrowing (although the government has the capacity to create money). This in turn will increase the national debt.

Consequences that follow from this practice:

1) That national debt increases whenever the government spends in excess of tax receipts.

2) That the government must pay interest on the debt issued, which in turn increases and reinforces the need for government spending.

3) That the interest paid on treasuries will increase private sector income.

There is an alternative view, supported by Modern Monetary Theory, of how government spending can proceed. Please see this Insight:

https://insightmaker.com/insight/19954

Government Spending (Current Practice)

Hanns-Jürgen Hodann

Investment with depreciation (simple)

Karoly

3 last month

Case 1

April Rose Alpha

Explanation of the Model

This is a sample model of Covid-19 outbreak in Burnie, Tasmania showing how the Government responds by implementing relevant health policy and the effects on the Economy of the area.

Assumptions

Economic growth rate is dependent on the proportion of the population who can be exposed. Number of COVID cases negatively impacts the economy. Govt policy is triggered when COVID-19 cases are 10 or more.

Interesting Insights

1) Exposure to the disease has a positive relationship with economic growth rate because the more people goes out, more business activity takes place, resulting in Economic Growth.

2) Increasing the Testing rate results in:

- Higher cases being detected

- Stricter Govt Policy

- Less Deaths

Covid-19 outbreak in Burnie Tasmania