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Model of how different features impact water supply and how water access disparity can influence conflict.
Water Distribution and Conflict: Israel & Palestine (Best-Guess Model)
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Dissolved oxygen mass balance in a tide pool, forced by tides and light.
Tide pool dissolved oxygen model
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This model illustrates predator prey interactions using real-life data of wolf and moose populations on the Isle Royale.

Experiment with adjusting the moose birth-rate to simulate Over-shoot followed by environmental recovery
Royal Island- Resilience
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OVERSHOOT GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)

OVERSHOOT GROWTH INTO TURBULENCE
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•Average (Status Quo) Case
–Last 30 years of historical EAA data
–Used the past to predict the future
–Represents the status quo case
–Includes the dry portion  and wet portion of AMO cycle
EA model trying scenario of water demand (Status quo scenario)
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Combining electromobility and renewable energies since 2014.

http://www.amsterdamvehicle2grid.nl/

Clone of Amsterdam V2G simulation 2.0
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In Chile, 60% of its population are exposed to levels of Particulate Matter (PM) above international standards. Air Pollution is causing 4,000 premature deaths per year, including health costs over US$8 billion.

The System Dynamics Causal Loop Diagram developed herein shows an initial study of the dynamics among the variables that influences the accumulation of PM in the air, in particular the case of Temuco, in the South of Chile. In Temuco, 97% of the PM inventories comes from the combustion of low quality firewood, which in turns is being burned due to its low price and cultural habits/tradition.
Clone of Air Pollution Dynamics - Firewood Combustion
Insight diagram
Collapse of the economy, not just recession, is now very likely. To give just one possible cause, in the U.S. the fracking industry is in deep trouble. It is not only that most fracking companies have never achieved a free cash flow (made a profit) since the fracking boom started in 2008, but that  an already very weak  and unprofitable oil industry cannot cope with extremely low oil prices. The result will be the imminent collapse of the industry. However, when the fracking industry collapses in the US, so will the American economy – and by extension, probably, the rest of the world economy. To grasp a second and far more serious threat it is vital to understand the phenomenon of ‘Global Dimming’. Industrial activity not only produces greenhouse gases, but emits also sulphur dioxide which converts to reflective sulphate aerosols in the atmosphere. Sulphate aerosols act like little mirrors that reflect sunlight back into space, cooling the atmosphere. But when economic activity stops, these aerosols (unlike carbon dioxide) drop out of the atmosphere, adding perhaps as much as 1° C to global average temperatures. This can happen in a very short period time, and when it does mankind will be bereft of any means to mitigate the furious onslaught of an out-of-control and merciless climate. The data and the unrelenting dynamic of the viral pandemic paint bleak picture.  As events unfold in the next few months,  we may discover that it is too late to act,  that our reign on this planet has, indeed,  come to an abrupt end?  
Covid 19 - irreversible and catastrophic consequences
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Primitives for Watershed modeling project. Click Clone Insight at the top right to make a copy that you can edit.

The converter in this file contains precipitation for Phoenix only.
Clone of Clone of Clone of Primitives for Rainwater Harvesting -Phoenix ENVS 270 F21
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The beginning of a systems dynamics model for teaching NRM 320.
Insight Starting Guide for NRM 320
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This model prototypes the working of an Smart Grid with Electric Vehicles

The objective is testing the theoretical advantages of batteries (also batteries in Electric Vehicles) in combination with renewable energies. The model considers two houses, that store energy both in Electric Vehicles (Vehicle to Grid), and in a communal battery.

Except when specified otherwise, the units of all variables are expressed in W/h.

Press "Story" in the lower bar for a guided tour over the model. Better seen at 50% zoom.

by Carlos Varela (cvarela@gmx.at)
Clone of Vehicle + Smart Grid
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B
Predator-Prey Interactions (Wolves & Moose) QB
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In Chile, 60% of its population are exposed to levels of Particulate Matter (PM) above international standards. Air Pollution is causing 4,000 premature deaths per year, including health costs over US$8 billion.

The System Dynamics Causal Loop Diagram developed herein shows an initial study of the dynamics among the variables that influences the accumulation of PM in the air, in particular the case of Temuco, in the South of Chile. In Temuco, 97% of the PM inventories comes from the combustion of low quality firewood, which in turns is being burned due to its low price and cultural habits/tradition.
Clone of Air Pollution Dynamics - Firewood Combustion
Insight diagram
Simple model to illustrate oyster growth based on primary production of Phytoplankton as a state variable, forced by light and nutrients, running for a yearly period.

Phytoplankton growth based on on Steele's and Michaelis-Menten equations), where: 

Primary Production=(([Pmax]*[I]/[Iopt]*exp(1-[I]/[Iopt])*[S])/([Ks]+[S]))

Pmax: Maximum production (d-1)
I: Light energy at depth of interest (uE m-2 s-1)
Iopt: Light energy at which Pmax occurs (uE m-2 s-1)
S: Nutrient concentration (umol N L-1)
Ks: Half saturation constant for nutrient (umol N L-1).

Further developments:
- Nutrients as state variable in cycle with detritus from phytoplankton and oyster biomass.
- Light limited by the concentration of phytoplankton.
- Temperature effect on phytoplankton and Oyster growth.


Clone of Clone of Clone of micro algae , biogas , bioelectrcidades
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Compost modelling
Compost
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Simple Model of the Food Chain
Clone of Food Chain
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Description:

A simple model for breeding plants from generation to generation in 3 different locations, with one "yield" variable (e.g. height) and 4 combinations of plants from the parents. Simulation tracks the frequencies of each combination in each generation as well as the overall average height by generation.

The slider will select from 1 of 5 presets that changes the characteristics of each location's plants.

The graph of A1A2 Proportion represents both A1A2 and A2A1 since they are interchangeable.

Clone of Plant Breeding Simulation
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This model implements the one-dimensional version of the advection-dispersion equation for an estuary. The equation is:

dS/dt = (1/A)d(QS)/dx - (1/A)d(EA)/dx(dS/dx) (Eq. 1)

Where S: salinity (or any other constituent such as chlorophyll or dissolved oxygen), (e.g. kg m-3); t: time (s); A: cross-sectional area (m2); Q: river flow (m3 s-1); x: length of box (m); E: dispersion coefficient (m2 s-1).

For a given length delta x, Adx = V, the box volume. For a set value of Q, the equation becomes:

VdS/dt = QdS - (d(EA)/dx) dS (Eq. 2)

EA/x, i.e. (m2 X m2) / (m s) = E(b), the bulk dispersion coefficient, units in m3 s-1, i.e. a flow, equivalent to Q

At steady state, dS/dt = 0, therefore we can rewrite Eq. 2 for one estuarine box as:

Q(Sr-Se)=E(b)r,e(Sr-Se)-E(b)e,s(Se-Ss) (Eq. 3)

Where Sr: river salinity (=0), Se: mean estuary salinity; Ss: mean ocean salinity

E(b)r,e: dispersion coefficient between river and estuary, and E(b)e,s: dispersion coefficient between the estuary and ocean.

By definition the value of E(b)r,e is zero, otherwise we are not at the head (upstream limit of salt intrusion) of the estuary. Likewise Sr is zero, otherwise we're not in the river. Therefore:

QSe=E(b)e,s(Se-Ss) (Eq. 4)

At steady state

E(b)e,s = QSe/(Se-Ss) (Eq 5)

The longitudinal dispersion simulates the turbulent mixiing of water in the estuary during flood and ebb, which supplies salt water to the estuary on the flood tide, and make the sea a little more brackish on the ebb.

You can use the upper slider to turn off dispersion (set to zero), and see that if the tidal wave did not mix with the estuary water due to turbulence, the estuary would quickly become a freshwater system.

The lower slider allows you to simulate a variable river flow, and understand how dispersion compensates for changes in freshwater input.
Estuarine salinity 1D model
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DRAFT conceptual model of climate change connections in Yamuna river project.
Yamuna River Restoration and Climate Change With MSW
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InClassExercise--ExponentialGrowthRabbits
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Interplay between wolves eating sheep and farmers killing wolves who kill deer that eat crops that feed sheep.

Clone of Complex Sheep, Wolves, Deer, Crops
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This stock and flow diagram is an updated working draft of a conceptual model of a dune-lake system in the Northland region of New Zealand.

Stock and flow diagram of phosphorus in a lake
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Bugs have a life cycle. The population of the bugs can be controlled by destroying the stocks of eggs/nymphs/adults or by controlling the rate at which they lay eggs, the rate of hatching of the eggs and the rate at which the nymphs become adults. The growth also depends on the time taken for eggs to hatch and for the nymphs to become adults. Some of the control strategies could also be to increase this time. The effectiveness of these strategies differs and the model lets you evaluate them
Bug Control
3 months ago
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Thinking about biodiversity policy in the United States, specifically relating to the Endangered Species Act of 1973. I have focused on the impacts that governmental policy will have on the environment, rather than contributions from both the government and the private sector. I have also chosen to focus on the financial aspect of policy, keeping all other factors equal.
Biodiversity Policy System