Crea un modelo de propagación de una epidemia en una población constante. Acople de Bucles Universidad del Cauca.  Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano  curso:  Enlace Curso en Moodle   Videos ejemplos:  Enlace a la lista de videos del curso youtube
Crea un modelo de propagación de una epidemia en una población constante. Acople de Bucles
Universidad del Cauca. 
Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano
Summary of Paulo Freire's 1968 book . See also  Youtube video esp Chomsky , Freire 1998 Cultural Action for Freedom publication and Zhong Yaying ubc  2018 thesis
Summary of Paulo Freire's 1968 book . See also Youtube video esp Chomsky, Freire 1998 Cultural Action for Freedom publication and Zhong Yaying ubc 2018 thesis
From HBR study, 2014; combined with Solow Growth Model, explains why business seeks technological solutions.  Yet this is not sustainable, as there is a limit to the number of STEM-trained individuals to create technological solutions.
From HBR study, 2014; combined with Solow Growth Model, explains why business seeks technological solutions.  Yet this is not sustainable, as there is a limit to the number of STEM-trained individuals to create technological solutions.
  ​S-Curve + Delay for Bell Curve Showing Erlang Distribution      Generation of Bell Curve from Initial Market through Delay in Pickup of Customers     This provides the beginning of an Erlang distribution model      The  Erlang distribution  is a two parameter family of continuous  probability dis
​S-Curve + Delay for Bell Curve Showing Erlang Distribution

Generation of Bell Curve from Initial Market through Delay in Pickup of Customers

This provides the beginning of an Erlang distribution model

The Erlang distribution is a two parameter family of continuous probability distributions with support . The two parameters are:

  • a positive integer 'shape' 
  • a positive real 'rate' ; sometimes the scale , the inverse of the rate is used.

This is a simple population model designed to illustrate some of the concepts of stock and flow diagrams and simulation modelling.    Adjust the population, birth fraction and life expectancy below based on real data for Singapore
This is a simple population model designed to illustrate some of the concepts of stock and flow diagrams and simulation modelling.

Adjust the population, birth fraction and life expectancy below based on real data for Singapore
 Ejemplo Básico de Retrasos de Material   Universidad del Cauca.  Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano  curso:  Enlace Curso en Moodle   Videos ejemplos:  Enlace a la lista de videos del curso youtube
Ejemplo Básico de Retrasos de Material
Universidad del Cauca. 
Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano
           This version of the   CAPABILITY DEMONSTRATION   model has been further calibrated (additional calibration phases will occur as better standardized data becomes available).  Note that the net causal interactions have been effectively captured in a very scoped and/or simplified format.  Re
This version of the CAPABILITY DEMONSTRATION model has been further calibrated (additional calibration phases will occur as better standardized data becomes available).  Note that the net causal interactions have been effectively captured in a very scoped and/or simplified format.  Relative magnitudes and durations of impact remain in need of further data & adjustment (calibration). In the interests of maintaining steady progress and respecting budget & time constraints, significant simplifying assumptions have been made: assumptions that mitigate both completeness & accuracy of the outputs.  This model meets the criteria for a Capability demonstration model, but should not be taken as complete or realistic in terms of specific magnitudes of effect or sufficient build out of causal dynamics.  Rather, the model demonstrates the interplay of a minimum set of causal forces on a net student progress construct -- as informed and extrapolated from the non-causal research literature.
Provided further interest and funding, this  basic capability model may further de-abstracted and built out to: higher provenance levels -- coupled with increased factorization, rigorous causal inclusion and improved parameterization.
This models how students learn through the ALEKS math software.
This models how students learn through the ALEKS math software.
 The relationship between chains of practice and networks of understanding, with threshold concepts as the transforming link. Adapted from Kinchin, I.M. and Cabot, L.B. (2012) Supporting the expert student. Paper presented at the 4th Annual Conference on Higher Education Pedagogy, 8th – 10th Februar

The relationship between chains of practice and networks of understanding, with threshold concepts as the transforming link. Adapted from Kinchin, I.M. and Cabot, L.B. (2012) Supporting the expert student. Paper presented at the 4th Annual Conference on Higher Education Pedagogy, 8th – 10th February, Virginia Tech., Blacksburg, VA, USA. Available  

   ​The probability density function (PDF) of the normal distribution or Bell Curve of Normal or Gaussian Distribution is the mean or expectation of the distribution (and also its median and mode).        The parameter is its standard deviation with its variance then, A random variable with a Gaussi
​The probability density function (PDF) of the normal distribution or Bell Curve of Normal or Gaussian Distribution is the mean or expectation of the distribution (and also its median and mode). 

The parameter is its standard deviation with its variance then, A random variable with a Gaussian distribution is said to be normally distributed and is called a normal deviate.
However, those who enjoy upskirts are called deviants and have a variable distribution :) 

A random variable with a Gaussian distribution is said to be normally distributed and is called a normal deviate.

If mu = 0 and sigma = 1

If the Higher Education Numbers Are Increased then the group decision making ability of society would be raised above that of a middle teenager as it is now
BUT 
Governments can control children by using bad parenting techniques, pandering to the pleasure principle, so they will make higher education more and more difficult as they are doing


85% of the population has a qualification level equal or below a 12th grader, 17 year old ... the chance of finding someone with any sense is low (~1 in 6) and the outcome of them being chosen by those who are uneducated in the policies they are to decide is even more rare !!!

Experience means little if you don't have enough brain to analyse it

Democracy is only as good as the ability of the voters to FULLY understand the implications of the policies on which they vote., both context and the various perspectives.   National voting of unqualified voters on specific policy issues is the sign of corrupt manipulation.

Democracy:  Where a group allows the decision ability of a teenager to decide on a choice of mis-representatives who are unqualified to make judgement on social policies that affect the lives of millions.
The kind of children who would vote for King Kong who can hold a girl in one hand and swat fighter jets out of teh sky off the tallest building, doesn't have a brain cell or thought to call his own but has a nice smile and offers little girls sweets.


updated 16/3/2020 from 4 years 3 months ago
WIP based on Raafat Zaini's 2015  Triple Helix article  and  PhD Colloquium  and  ISDC 2013  university growth paper  ithink models as a starting point for health care systems science modelling growth dynamics
WIP based on Raafat Zaini's 2015 Triple Helix article and PhD Colloquium and ISDC 2013  university growth paper ithink models as a starting point for health care systems science modelling growth dynamics
 
 
 
 
 This paints a broad picture for my non-profit of how tutoring helps disadvantaged youth and, with the right jump-start from a caring individual (R1 point), how learning can get learning and skill begets further skill. I appreciate any feedback to modifications because they might shape progr

This paints a broad picture for my non-profit of how tutoring helps disadvantaged youth and, with the right jump-start from a caring individual (R1 point), how learning can get learning and skill begets further skill. I appreciate any feedback to modifications because they might shape program direction.

Future iterations will show the low skilled isolated individual gets stuck in a cycle of "no-growth." I would also like to explore the dynamics of how the learner reduces dependence on the tutor.

A modified version of a cloned model for my Env. Sci. class.
A modified version of a cloned model for my Env. Sci. class.
Escape behavior often results in more stress than one escapes from. @ LinkedIn ,  Twitter ,  YouTube
Escape behavior often results in more stress than one escapes from.