The beginning of a systems dynamics model for teaching NRM 320.
The beginning of a systems dynamics model for teaching NRM 320.
  The lack of recognition of efforts is a plague of society, an immense amount of effort goes unrecognized. Meaning there is constant input on behalf of an individual with a varying degree of output. This is a highly concerning situation for the system as a whole. For a positive feedback loop to tak
 The lack of recognition of efforts is a plague of society, an immense amount of effort goes unrecognized. Meaning there is constant input on behalf of an individual with a varying degree of output. This is a highly concerning situation for the system as a whole. For a positive feedback loop to take place, inputs must balance with outputs, respectively. 

In this model, inputs balance with outputs creating a dynamic contribution.

Crea un Bucle de Realimentación Negativa, modelando el llenado de un vaso con agua. Esta versión incluye el concepto de manejo de tabla o no liberalidad. Universidad del Cauca.  Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano  curso:  Enlace Curso en Moodle   Videos ejemplos:  Enlace a la lista de videos del c
Crea un Bucle de Realimentación Negativa, modelando el llenado de un vaso con agua. Esta versión incluye el concepto de manejo de tabla o no liberalidad.
Universidad del Cauca. 
Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano
   ​The probability density function (PDF) of the normal distribution or Bell Curve of Normal or Gaussian Distribution is the mean or expectation of the distribution (and also its median and mode).        The parameter is its standard deviation with its variance then, A random variable with a Gaussi
​The probability density function (PDF) of the normal distribution or Bell Curve of Normal or Gaussian Distribution is the mean or expectation of the distribution (and also its median and mode). 

The parameter is its standard deviation with its variance then, A random variable with a Gaussian distribution is said to be normally distributed and is called a normal deviate.
However, those who enjoy upskirts are called deviants and have a variable distribution :) 

A random variable with a Gaussian distribution is said to be normally distributed and is called a normal deviate.

If mu = 0 and sigma = 1

If the Higher Education Numbers Are Increased then the group decision making ability of society would be raised above that of a middle teenager as it is now
BUT 
Governments can control children by using bad parenting techniques, pandering to the pleasure principle, so they will make higher education more and more difficult as they are doing


85% of the population has a qualification level equal or below a 12th grader, 17 year old ... the chance of finding someone with any sense is low (~1 in 6) and the outcome of them being chosen by those who are uneducated in the policies they are to decide is even more rare !!!

Experience means little if you don't have enough brain to analyse it

Democracy is only as good as the ability of the voters to FULLY understand the implications of the policies on which they vote., both context and the various perspectives.   National voting of unqualified voters on specific policy issues is the sign of corrupt manipulation.

Democracy:  Where a group allows the decision ability of a teenager to decide on a choice of mis-representatives who are unqualified to make judgement on social policies that affect the lives of millions.
The kind of children who would vote for King Kong who can hold a girl in one hand and swat fighter jets out of teh sky off the tallest building, doesn't have a brain cell or thought to call his own but has a nice smile and offers little girls sweets.


updated 16/3/2020 from 4 years 3 months ago
Crea un Bucle de Realimentación Negativa, modelando el llenado de un vaso con agua. Esta versión incluye el concepto de manejo de tabla o no liberalidad. Universidad del Cauca.  Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano  curso:  Enlace Curso en Moodle   Videos ejemplos:  Enlace a la lista de videos del c
Crea un Bucle de Realimentación Negativa, modelando el llenado de un vaso con agua. Esta versión incluye el concepto de manejo de tabla o no liberalidad.
Universidad del Cauca. 
Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano
Crea un Bucle de Realimentación Negativa, modelando el llenado de un vaso con agua. Esta versión incluye el concepto de manejo de tabla o no liberalidad. Universidad del Cauca.  Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano  curso:  Enlace Curso en Moodle   Videos ejemplos:  Enlace a la lista de videos del c
Crea un Bucle de Realimentación Negativa, modelando el llenado de un vaso con agua. Esta versión incluye el concepto de manejo de tabla o no liberalidad.
Universidad del Cauca. 
Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano
           Despite a mature field of inquiry, frustrated educational policy makers face a crisis characterized by little to no clear research-based guidance and significant budget limitations --  in the face of too often marginal or unexpectedly deleterious achievement impacts. As such, education pe
Despite a mature field of inquiry, frustrated educational policy makers face a crisis characterized by little to no clear research-based guidance and significant budget limitations --  in the face of too often marginal or unexpectedly deleterious achievement impacts. As such, education performance has been acknowledged as a complex system and a general call in the literature for causal models has been sounded. This modeling effort represents a strident first step in the development of an evidence-based causal hypothesis: an hypothesis that captures the widely acknowledged complex interactions and multitude of cited influencing factors. This non-piecemeal, causal, reflection of extant knowledge engages a neuro-cognitive definition of students.  Through capture of complex dynamics, it enables comparison of different mixes of interventions to estimate net academic achievement impact for the lifetime of a single cohort of students. Results nominally capture counter-intuitive unintended consequences: consequences that too often render policy interventions effete. Results are indexed on Hattie Effect Sizes, but rely on research identified causal mechanisms for effect propagation. Note that the net causal interactions have been effectively captured in a very scoped and/or simplified format.  Relative magnitudes of impact have been  roughly adjusted to Hattie Ranking Standards (calibration): a non-causal evidence source. This is a demonstration model and seeks to exemplify content that would be engaged in a full or sufficient model development effort.  Budget & time constraints required significant simplifying assumptions. These assumptions mitigate both the completeness & accuracy of the outputs. Features serve to symbolize & illustrate the value and benefits of causal modeling as a performance tool.
Crea un Bucle de Realimentación Negativa, modelando el llenado de un vaso con agua. Esta versión incluye el concepto de manejo de tabla o no liberalidad. Universidad del Cauca.  Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano  curso:  Enlace Curso en Moodle   Videos ejemplos:  Enlace a la lista de videos del c
Crea un Bucle de Realimentación Negativa, modelando el llenado de un vaso con agua. Esta versión incluye el concepto de manejo de tabla o no liberalidad.
Universidad del Cauca. 
Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano
  The Information Distribution Problem        Exploring a basis for distributing and organizing information is critical to the foundations of any system. It's a losing battle trying to combat information intake, without informative output. If we lived in a world with a technological system designed
The Information Distribution Problem 
 
 Exploring a basis for distributing and organizing information is critical to the foundations of any system. It's a losing battle trying to combat information intake, without informative output. If we lived in a world with a technological system designed to do so, everyone's lives would be affected for the better. 

 By selectively designing the following technologies, a global system of education based on the validity of information is establishable.

Blockchain(s) Personal & Public
Simulated/Augmented Reality
Digital Textbook/Interactive Compendium
Artificial Intelligence
Virtual Mentorship Program(s)
How education causes the gap between socio-economic status?
How education causes the gap between socio-economic status?
  Физический смысл уравнений    Модель Лотки-Вольтерры делает ряд предположений об окружающей среде и эволюции популяций хищников и жертв:         1. Хищная популяция всегда находит достаточно пищи.  2. Продовольственная обеспеченность популяции хищника полностью зависит от размера популяции жертвы.
Физический смысл уравнений
Модель Лотки-Вольтерры делает ряд предположений об окружающей среде и эволюции популяций хищников и жертв:

1. Хищная популяция всегда находит достаточно пищи.
2. Продовольственная обеспеченность популяции хищника полностью зависит от размера популяции жертвы.
3. Скорость изменения численности населения пропорциональна его численности.
4. В ходе этого процесса окружающая среда не меняется в пользу одного вида, и генетическая адаптация не имеет существенного значения.
5. Хищники обладают безграничным аппетитом.
Поскольку используются дифференциальные уравнения, решение является детерминированным и непрерывным. Это, в свою очередь, означает, что поколения как хищника, так и жертвы постоянно пересекаются.

Добыча
Когда умножается, уравнение добычи становится
dx/dt = αx - βxy
  Предполагается, что добыча имеет неограниченный запас пищи и размножается экспоненциально, если только она не подвержена хищничеству; этот экспоненциальный рост представлен в приведенном выше уравнении термином  αx. Предполагается, что скорость хищничества на добыче пропорциональна скорости, с которой встречаются хищники и добыча; это представлено выше в виде βxy.Если либо x, либо y равно нулю, то хищничества быть не может.
С помощью этих двух терминов приведенное выше уравнение можно интерпретировать следующим образом: изменение численности добычи определяется ее собственным ростом минус скорость, с которой она охотится.
ХищникиУравнение хищника становится

dy/dt =  - 

В этом уравнении,  представляет рост популяции хищника. (Обратите внимание на сходство со скоростью хищничества; однако используется другая константа, поскольку скорость роста популяции хищника не обязательно равна скорости, с которой он потребляет добычу).  представляет собой уровень потерь хищников вследствие естественной смерти или эмиграции; это приводит к экспоненциальному распаду в отсутствие добычи.


Следовательно, уравнение выражает изменение популяции хищников как рост, подпитываемый запасом пищи, минус естественная смерть.


Crea un Bucle de Realimentación Negativa, modelando el llenado de un vaso con agua. Esta versión incluye el concepto de manejo de tabla o no liberalidad. Universidad del Cauca.  Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano  curso:  Enlace Curso en Moodle   Videos ejemplos:  Enlace a la lista de videos del c
Crea un Bucle de Realimentación Negativa, modelando el llenado de un vaso con agua. Esta versión incluye el concepto de manejo de tabla o no liberalidad.
Universidad del Cauca. 
Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano
           This version of the   CAPABILITY DEMONSTRATION   model has been further calibrated (additional calibration phases will occur as better standardized data becomes available).  Note that the net causal interactions have been effectively captured in a very scoped and/or simplified format.  Re
This version of the CAPABILITY DEMONSTRATION model has been further calibrated (additional calibration phases will occur as better standardized data becomes available).  Note that the net causal interactions have been effectively captured in a very scoped and/or simplified format.  Relative magnitudes and durations of impact remain in need of further data & adjustment (calibration). In the interests of maintaining steady progress and respecting budget & time constraints, significant simplifying assumptions have been made: assumptions that mitigate both completeness & accuracy of the outputs.  This model meets the criteria for a Capability demonstration model, but should not be taken as complete or realistic in terms of specific magnitudes of effect or sufficient build out of causal dynamics.  Rather, the model demonstrates the interplay of a minimum set of causal forces on a net student progress construct -- as informed and extrapolated from the non-causal research literature.
Provided further interest and funding, this  basic capability model may further de-abstracted and built out to: higher provenance levels -- coupled with increased factorization, rigorous causal inclusion and improved parameterization.
Crea un Bucle de Realimentación Negativa, modelando el llenado de un vaso con agua. Esta versión incluye el concepto de manejo de tabla o no liberalidad. Universidad del Cauca.  Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano  curso:  Enlace Curso en Moodle   Videos ejemplos:  Enlace a la lista de videos del c
Crea un Bucle de Realimentación Negativa, modelando el llenado de un vaso con agua. Esta versión incluye el concepto de manejo de tabla o no liberalidad.
Universidad del Cauca. 
Profesor: Miguel Angel Niño Zambrano
This emulation is traying to emulate , a model with focus to the thinking system over the education.
This emulation is traying to emulate , a model with focus to the thinking system over the education.
This conceptual model and simulation shows the relationship between youth engagement/alienation, police and community development in the community township of Bourke, NSW, Australia.
This conceptual model and simulation shows the relationship between youth engagement/alienation, police and community development in the community township of Bourke, NSW, Australia.