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Dystopia-1: simple energy system model

Barry McMullin
Basic idea is to model demand with endogenous growth (but "satiation" becomes possible - eventually - at some notional "sufficiency" level); and supply then tracks demand with some time lag (~5-50 years(?), characteristic of commissioning/decommissioning large scale energy infrastructure). Then add cumulative pollution, with a hard constraint/limit which trumps demand and forces supply (of any non-zero polluting source) to zero. In this version we have one source (so no substitution is possible), and it produces a cumulative pollutant, so  we expect to see supply decline and/or crash (according to the specific parameters and dynamics). Of course, "demand" will still carry merrily on its way up anyway, but the interpretation of the consequently growing supply shortfall will be left to the eye of the beholder. In this version we try to "smooth" the decline - using the fractional "exhaustion" of the pollution "quota" as feedback signal to smoothly shift from a dynamic of "supply chasing demand" and one of "exponential mitigation of supply within the remaining pollution quota". This particular dynamic is rigid about not exceeding the quota: it does not allow (and could not cope with) overshoot. There is also no provision for delay in the feedback (that could perhaps be added, and would presumably allow a more prolonged addiction, but then more rapid and painful withdrawal?).

Energy Environment Ecology

  • 1 year 3 months ago

Clone of Climate Sector Boundary Diagram of Guy Lakeman

Taylor Nicole Koontz
​Climate Sector Boundary Diagram By Guy Lakeman Climate, Weather, Ecology, Economics, Population, Welfare, Energy, Policy, CO2, Carbon Cycle, GHG (green house gasses, combined effects)

As general population is composed of 85% with an education level of a 12 grader or less (a 17 year old), a simple block of components concerning the health of the planet needs to be broken down into simple blocks.Perhaps this picture will show the basics on which to vote for a sustained healthy futureDemocracy is only as good as the ability of the voters to FULLY understand the implications of the policies on which they vote., both context and the various perspectives.   National voting of unqualified voters on specific policy issues is the sign of corrupt manipulation.

Climate Weather Ecology Economics Population Welfare Energy Policy CO2 Carbon GHG Green House Gas

  • 3 years 9 months ago

Clone of Caribou Conservation Triage-V2

Rob Rempel
Woodland caribou is a species at risk because of northward expansion of resource development activity.  Some herds are in dire condition and well below self-sustainability, while others are only moderately below self-sustaining levels.  Given limited conservation dollars, what are the most effective conservation actions, and how much money needs to be spent?  Which herds should be a priority for conservation efforts? The purpose of this model to provide insight into these difficult conservation questions.  
This model was developed by Rob Rempel and Jen Shuter, and was based in part on input from attendees of a modelling workshop ("Modelling the Caribou Questions") held at the 16th North American Caribou Workshop in Thunder Bay, Ontario, May 2016.

Population Caribou Wolves Moose Conservation Triage Ecology

  • 2 years 9 months ago

Clone of Vegetation interspecific competition

Common Timothy is an invasive grass species.  Alpine Timothy is the native grass species in Yellowstone.  I calculated the carrying capacity of the grasses by converting acres, square feet, pounds per square feet and seeds per pound.  There is a higher birth rate and lower death rate for the common timothy because the grass is taking over the area due to a lack of wildlife predators.


  • 3 years 11 months ago

Clone of Northern Ontario Demographic and Income Trend Model


This model has two main components. First is modelling the change in population composition as non-First Nations immigration increases with the opening of new mines in the region. The second is modelling the increasing income disparity between First Nations and non-First Nations as mining jobs are disproportionately gained by non-First Nations workers.

Ecology Population

  • 6 years 6 months ago