Community | Insight Maker

The Cred System is an alternative to traditional currency that increases community resiliency and reduces participant's dependence on traditional dollars. This model is a basic description of the Cred System, involving four people and two loops.

Clone of Cred System

Sam Fraser

MKT563.4

Student - Eliza Elliott

Student Number - 11615872

Overview

Insight Maker was used to illustrate the relationship between police enforcement and community development initiatives (youth counselling, educational institution and sports clubs) and the influence these may have on illegal and disruptive activities and subsequent crime rates of the adolescents in the town of Bourke.

Through examination of the existing relationships between variables (youth counselling vs alienated adolescents), we can highlight if an inverse relationship is present between adolescent crime rates and community development initiatives within Bourke.

Explanation of the model

Due to the subdued nature of Bourke as a country town, it is likely that the population of adolescents become bored and subsequently alienated throughout their developmental stages.

Thus, this illustration aims to identify if there is benefit in development of additional community initiatives, in the hopes that these will guide positive behavioural change within the adolescent community. For example, youth counselling, educational institutions and local sporting clubs.

To develop the model, we assume that the adolescent members of the Bourke population that routinely participate in youth counselling, are active members of a sporting club or undertake studies at the local educational institution (University or TAFE) are less likely to engage in criminal activity.

We have assumed that adolescents spend (on average) 24 months at an educational institution, which has been represented as a 12 month delay, illustrating that the long-term benefits to the community are somewhat delayed.

Illustrating relationships

The two independent variables are illustrated in circles, with relationships between these variables and stocks linked by green (positive relationship), and orange (negative relationship) arrows.

Thus, independent variables are as follows:

Community Development Initiatives: We expect to see an inverse relationship between criminal activity and community development initiatives.

Police Enforcement: We assume that as police enforcement is increased, this will result in fewer criminal activities committed, and simultaneously serve as a deterrent for further criminal activity.

Using the sliders

By adjusting the values in the sliders, a trend of adolescents engaging in less criminal activity begins to form. This also corresponds to less time throughout the criminal justice system and juvenile detention.

Conclusion

Thus, the illustrated model reveals that the town of Bourke, would benefit from additional community development initiatives, such as youth counselling, sports clubs and educational institutions, which assist in keeping the adolescent population occupied.

Relationship Amongst Different Players within Bourke

Eliza Elliott

Clone of Elements of Human Security

Pascale Younes

A collaborative class project with each participant creating an animal/plant sub-model to explore the greater population/community dynamics of the Yellowstone ecosystem.

Clone of YellowstoneEcoClassModel

Stephanie Orpilla

A collaborative class project with each participant creating an animal/plant sub-model to explore the greater population/community dynamics of the Yellowstone ecosystem.

Clone of YellowstoneEcoClassModel

Joe

A collaborative class project with each participant creating an animal/plant sub-model to explore the greater population/community dynamics of the Yellowstone ecosystem. Changes to original: removal of non-connected variables to simplify view for middle school students.

YellowstoneEcoClassModel - ISD OWL

Kevin Collins

5

Draft Insight 43674615

Abanoub Mickaeal

Assignment 3 MGMT220
**Scroll down for adjustable sliders**

What is this model?

This model is designed as a simplified field of inputs and outputs for the proposed future justice reinvestment in the north-western NSW town of Bourke. This town is quite small with a total population of around 3,000 people but a worryingly high rate of criminal activity, antisocial behaviour and a generally low sense of community engagement. To plan for a better future this model has been created to map future patterns and changes given certain levels of community investment and policing which can me modified by users, including you!

Key Assumptions & Things to Note:
-Model interactions and consequences only focused on the effects of youth not adults.
-Total youth population assumed to be 1,500 out of the total 3,000 people in Bourke
-Model moves in monthly increments
-Model duration is 5 years (60 Months) as this seems like a realistic time frame for such a project plan to span over
-Engagement return modification allows between 0 and 6 months return to allow insight into the positive effects a shorter engagement time can have on the community
-Police Investment allows adjustment of police force units between 15 and 50
-Community Investment allows an investment of between 0 and 100 to provide a full spectrum of the town with or without investment

Model Prerequisite Understandings:
The model commences with 400 people engaging in criminal activity, and a further 300 people already in juvenile detention to provide a more realistic start point.

Model Analysis:
The most important message this model shows is that there is no one sided solution for everything. Without community investment, regardless of how many police you have the town is still going to be full of bored people committing crimes - just more will be caught and convicted.

On the flip side a town with no police and only community investment may have a low rate of people in juvenile detention and a high number of people in sports teams - but criminal activity may still be higher than optimal due to a low chance of getting caught.

You can see these results for yourselves simply by adjusting the variable sliders on the bottom right of the page to suit your investment interests. Relevant boundaries have been set to give only useful and meaningful information. Furthermore an engagement return tool has been added to show the effects of a slow or fast engagement pickup time ranging from 0 to 6 months. You will note that things change a lot quicker with a shorter engagement return time.

An interesting thing to note is how evenly 3 of the 4 key data fields in the first simulation display (with the outlier being sports team enrolment) when police investment is set to maximum and community investment is set to the minimum - we see essentially an even split between the 3 possibilities: In town, In Juvenile Detention or engaging in Criminal Activity. a 2:1 split of "bad" to "good" things happening. This shows with certainty that just adding policing with no positive reward or outlet for good behaviour results in a flattened cycle of boredom, criminal activity and conviction.

In this model it also seems that Bourke does require a fairly even but high matching of Police and Community Investment. For example setting the policing at 20 and the community engagement higher at say 50 results in indeed a high intake and output of town to sports team memberships however crime rates do still maintain a steady high dictating a more even match between policing and community investment like 40 and 60 to the former and latter to "eradicate" crime. (Of course this will never be 0 in the real world but it is a positive indicator here)

Justice Reinvestment in Bourke | A3 MGMT220 43832512

Alex O'Donnell

This model simulated possible crime rates of youths in Bourke.

Crime, Policing and Community Programs involving Youths in Bourke

Lauren Attwood

Introduction

This model illustrates the simulation of a range of variables which have an effect within the country town of Bourke. Bourke is known for its high crime right from youths to adults. Through adjustments made by the user, this model will show the result of such variations.

Bourke has a youth population under the age of 24 to be roughly 1000 people. For the sake of this experiment numbers have been slightly skewed to better reinforce various simulations. However, the information has been been skewed to the fact that there are going to be unrealistic results.

The variable which have sliders allowed are, Police Intervention, Drugs and Alcohol, Community Works, Activity Investment. While developing this model, through examination, it was found that these are the numbers that fluctuate the most in most scenarios, so why not keep it consists. Police presence is something that will always either increase or decrease depending on certain events which are scheduled to be on. The fluctuation of drugs and alcohol speaks for itself, as there is no way of knowing how much of either substance is readily available.

Community Workers, is set at 70, with the option of sliding it in which ever direction the user desires. Similarly, to police intervention, depending on events the level can significantly fluctuate. Activity Investment has a relationship with Community workers and Police Intervention. Increased volume in people results in increased investment.

Interesting Slides

After playing around here are some interesting variations you can make.

--> Police Intervention: Max, Drugs and Alcohol: min, Community workers: Max, Activity Investment: Max. The worm here shows a perfect situation of almost complete harmony within the community. I believe an increase in Police presence, Community works and activity investment will ultimately deter crime and antisocial behaviour in Bourke.

--> Do the opposite maxs and mins from the above test. With the increase in Drugs and Alcohol and minimisation of the other variables, we can see how volatile it makes the community. The worms for all stocks are aggressively up and down.

--> i have gone to the liberty of creating a display for you(the Viewer) at crimes committed while drug use has been present, however the person has gone straight to rehab and not to Jail.

Assumptions

1.The population of Bourke is 5000

2.The process of crime to Detention/Rehab, is the same for Youths and Adults.

3. In the Youth and Adult Detention Stock, the youths are separated from adults

4. Adults and youths can go straight to Rehab and not go to Jail.

Slide away and enjoy.

-Ned Robinson

MGMT220Ass3 44926855

Edward Robinson

Youth community of Bourke

Youth Crime rate in Bourke

An educated assumption was made with the youth crime rate in Bourke. According to the ABS the youth crime rate of Australia is 14% in 2013-14. However, taking into consideration the poor standards of living and lack of education and care for youth in Bourke, it is expected that the youth crime will be more then double so the figure 40% was used in this model.

Model Explanation

This simple model starts off in town, with estimated 500 youth in the community. As said above 40% is expected to commit crime with a percentage of the crime population getting away not caught. This number depends on how many are caught and also how many police are out in the town. According to the "Boscar" (Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research) NSW's conviction rate is 85.7%. Even though the conviction is relatively high, Bourke's conviction rate was set at 60% due to the high level of crime against the number of police available.

In juvenile detention the expected number of youth is 120, with 50% of those being released. There is a delay of 6months during this process because whoever is convicted has to stay inside the juvenile detention for 6months before being released.

Those youths that does not commit crime has the choice to be a member of a sports team. These sports team has been funded by the community and the government through "Youth redevelopment Expenditure". This system allows teenagers in Bourke to be away from crime committing environment, hence reducing Youth crime rate in Bourke.

The two sliders "Police" and "Youth Redevelopment Expenditure" indicates the intensity of spending on these two subjects. The result of Bourke's crime rate and sports team engagement changes depending on these sliders.

Clone of MGMT220 Bourke Youth Community (Andrew Sohn 43661769)

Zaiceva Ekaterina

TRUDIE EARLE - 11667847

MKT563 - Big Data & Marketing Analytics

This is a conceptual model that encapsulates the relationships between youth, community and police & justice within the town of Bourke, located in New South Wales, Australia. The conceptual model is interactive and when the funding and engagement models are changed, the rates will increase or decrease in the simulation. These sliders can be found at the bottom of this description.

Bourke is a municipality located on the Darling River, 760km north-west of Sydney. The population of Bourke is 2634 (2017) of which 829 people identify as Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander. This is approximately 31% of the population. Maranguka translates in local Ngemba language to "caring for others" and thus is the name given to the Bourke Reinvestment Project. The project is a collaborate works between the local community and Just Reinvest NSW and aims to break down the high rates of juvenile crime, domestic violence and criminal activity that made Bourke one of the most dangerous places in Australia.

By diverting the funds usually allocated to police and criminal systems into the community, the project has seen immense success particularly in youth and education sectors, with increased rates of Year 12 Retention, the completion of VET Courses and an increase in driving licenses.

Assumptions:

* Total number of Youths in Bourke based on the 2016 Consensus Data via the ABS is 903 (0-24 years)

* There was a 66% retention rate of Year 12 students in 2017

* 115 driving licenses were allocated in 2017 and this number will increase with community engagement and funding

* 56% of juveniles committed crime prior to the project

* Of this 56%, 51 juveniles breached bail

* 50% of juvenile offenders will be rehabilitated and find employment or education

Variables:

* Community Funding

* Community Engagement

* Police & Justice Funding

In conclusion, rates of juvenile crime will decrease with increased community funding and engagement. This will also lead to increased year 12 retention, completion and the increase of driving licenses. The assumption is that increased education will also lead to increased employment.

Resources:

Allam, L. (2018, October 8). Unique community policing sees crime rates plunge in Bourke. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/oct/09/unique-community-policing-sees-rates-plunge-in-bourke

Australian Bureau of Statistics. (2016). 2016 Census QuickStats: Bourke (A). Quickstats.censusdata.abs.gov.au. https://quickstats.censusdata.abs.gov.au/census_services/getproduct/census/2016/quickstat/LGA11150?opendocument

KPMG. (2018). Maranguka Justi ce Rei nvestment Proj ect IMPACT ASSESSMENT. https://www.justreinvest.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Maranguka-Justice-Reinvestment-Project-KPMG-Impact-Assessment-FINAL-REPORT.pdf

Milliken, R. (2018, December 10). Breakthrough at Bourke. Inside Story. https://insidestory.org.au/breakthrough-at-bourke/

The Bourke Maranguka Reinvestment Program

Trudie Earle

Online Community to grow the use and effectiveness of Health Modelling using multiple methods

Clone of Health Modeling Ecosystem

Emily White

The Cred System is an alternative to traditional currency that increases community resiliency and reduces participant's dependence on traditional dollars. This model is a basic description of the Cred System, involving four people and two loops.

Cred System

Sam Fraser

5 months ago

Youth community of Bourke

Youth Crime rate in Bourke

An educated assumption was made with the youth crime rate in Bourke. According to the ABS the youth crime rate of Australia is 14% in 2013-14. However, taking into consideration the poor standards of living and lack of education and care for youth in Bourke, it is expected that the youth crime will be more then double so the figure 40% was used in this model.

Model Explanation

This simple model starts off in town, with estimated 500 youth in the community. As said above 40% is expected to commit crime with a percentage of the crime population getting away not caught. This number depends on how many are caught and also how many police are out in the town. According to the "Boscar" (Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research) NSW's conviction rate is 85.7%. Even though the conviction is relatively high, Bourke's conviction rate was set at 60% due to the high level of crime against the number of police available.

In juvenile detention the expected number of youth is 120, with 50% of those being released. There is a delay of 6months during this process because whoever is convicted has to stay inside the juvenile detention for 6months before being released.

Those youths that does not commit crime has the choice to be a member of a sports team. These sports team has been funded by the community and the government through "Youth redevelopment Expenditure". This system allows teenagers in Bourke to be away from crime committing environment, hence reducing Youth crime rate in Bourke.

The two sliders "Police" and "Youth Redevelopment Expenditure" indicates the intensity of spending on these two subjects. The result of Bourke's crime rate and sports team engagement changes depending on these sliders.

Clone of MGMT220 Bourke Youth Community (Andrew Sohn 43661769)

Laksh Taneja

Clone of Clone of Elements of Human Security

Alexandra el khoury

Bourke Town Restoration

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The main problem with the people of Bourke is loneliness, and the population. Since the population is too less, it is very difficult to give more exposure to its people and create a cultural and health environment. In the system shown, The main STOCKS are the Community Development and Less/Slow Community Development.

1. Community Development

- Main Reasons (Variables)

a. People

b. ALS

c. Education

---

When Bourke's people will get proper education, and there is a greater involvement of the council/ALS/Police in lifting the living standards of people, then they will feel developed and will lead to an overall community development.

With the Stock and Variable people, there is a two way relation because both are inter-dependent. For this assessment's purpose, the education rate is kept as 70% which is that there should be > 70% population who is educated.

Convertors

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For the people, it is necessary that from the day the child is born till the day he/she ages well, he/she should be trained properly to uplift their standards.

ALS/Council is responsible to carry out the activities that are listed in the KPMG Report in order to make the community development.

In the STATE Educated, it means that if the people are educated, they will be able to do more work, more employment and eventually, more community development.

2. Less Development

This is the present scenario. People are lonely, there is not much education, unemployment rate is high and which is leading to more crimes. This at the end is leading to lesser development and which made sure the Bourke's name is in the most dangerous places to live on the earth!

Unemployment and Loneliness are the leading factors to crimes

The STATE is Binary which is either 0 or 1. If the people are not educated enough, they will commit crime.

..

SIMULATION

There are two Simulation.

a. Community Development

b. Less Development

The initial one is the one with the factors leading to community development. The latter one is the one with the factors leading to lesser development.

Bourke Town Restoration

Harshverdhan Kher

Online Community to grow the use and effectiveness of Health Modelling using multiple methods

Health Modeling Ecosystem

Geoff McDonnell

Clone of Clone of Clone of Elements of Human Security

Alexandra el khoury

Model of energy usage on FGCU's campus.

FGCU Energy Usage (Data Sci HW5)

Camden Turner

An adaptation of the URBAN1 Model from Navid Ghaffarzadegan, John Lyneis and George P Richardson's How small system dynamics models can help the public policy process. System Dynamics Review 27: 22-44 (2011) Researchgate link and eolss synopsis based on LA Alfeld and AK Graham's Introduction to Urban Dynamics 1976. Also p 195 (Dynamo Model Listing).

An element of Perspectives: The Foundation of Understanding and Insights for Effective Action. Register at http://www.systemswiki.org/

Clone of Urban Dynamics

HE Tut

This is a food web model that shows native populations of organisms in the Hudson River, NY. I created this as a static model of the food web for my Ecology course through the Museum of Natural History.

This model DOES INCLUDE the invasive zebra mussels.

Hudson River Food Web v2

Bro. Benjamin Knapp, S.M.

Clone of Elements of Human Security

Namis

Insight Maker was utilized to demonstrate the relationship between Alienated Youth, police and Community Development. And the affect of Counselling can have on such youth. The Influence of activities was also depicted that can led to Criminal activities and Drug Abuse among such Youth. The model was made considering the youth within Burke.

Relationships
As can be seen that, the police enforcement plays a vital role, in the shaping the lives of youth. Hence, with the Increase in police force and increase in such initiates, the crime is like to decrease. Hence, the youth shall also be kept away from all of such interactions and such Acts.

Also, the Community Development shall also play a vital role, in two folds. First it shall play a part in shaping the very mindset of youth , to indulge in positive activities and refrain from illegal activities.
Second of all, it shall provide rehabilitation to youth that have been subjected to such crimes and such events.

Conclusion
It can be Concluded that, with increase in Police enforcement and Community Development, the overall crime can be reduced. The Youth thereupon will only indulge in positive activities.

Variables

There are two Variables involved in the model

1. Police Enforcement

It measures how effectively and efficiently police go about fulfilling its duties; Identifying potential criminals and stopping them from committing crime and punishing criminal who are guilty.

2. Community Development

Community development intervenes by changing the mindset of alienated and rehabilitated youth and hence affecting the flow towards Social Interactive Activities.

Adjusting Variables

Police enforcement can be adjusted using the slider given below. There is no choice given to adjust community development as it is affected by various factors of the society; education, culture, morals etc.

Assumptions

Youth engaged in Social Interactive Activities can never become alienated and hence will not go to drugs. In other words, a socially interactive youth member will be engaged in sports, education, gaming or café rather than drugs.

Youth are defined as ages 15-24, comprising of a population of 80. (ABS, 2016)

References

Australian Bureau of Statistics. (2016). General Community Profile. (Cat. No. 2001.0). https://quickstats.censusdata.abs.gov.au/census_services/getproduct/census/2016/communityprofile/LGA11150?opendocument

Alienated Population

amir amiri

Community Models