Insight diagram
Simulation d'un stock de cognac (ou d'un autre produit similaire, dont la valeur augmente avec l'âge). L'idée est d'une part de modéliser correctement les flux de production et de vente, puis de calculer l'équilibre en capital de l'outil de production.
On constate que l'équilibre financier n'est pas atteint tout de suite, car il faut plusieurs années avant d'avoir des stocks dont la valeur à la vente est intéressante.
Dans notre exemple, l'investissement initial est remboursé après environ 30 ans, et, à partir de là, les bénéfices s'accumulent.
Stock de cognac
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HANDY Model of Societal Collapse from Ecological Economics Paper 
see also D Cunha's model at IM-15085
Clone of Human and Nature Dynamics of Societal Inequality
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Investigations into the relationships responsible for the success and failure of nations. This investigation was prompted after reading numerous references on the subject and perceiving that *Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty* by Acemoglu and Robinson seem to make a great deal of sense.

Original model done for The Perspectives Project though recast into Kumu.
Why Nations Fail
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram

This model shows the basic functioning and dynamics of a 'modern monetary system'.

The non-government sectors, consisting of the private and foreign sectors initial y starts with zero currency units. It is important to realize that  after creating a new currency the government must first spend currency units into the economy before they can be used: without currency units the private sector could not even pay taxes! A government that has its own freely floating currency can create a much money as it wants. It does not need tax receipts to finance its spending, and any money it spends into the economy above that collected in taxes represents income for the private sector. The model show that the government initially created 9 trillion money units, but spent only six trillion into the economy. The six trillion showed up as a government deficit but as wealth in the non-government sector.

Since the government can create as many money units as it wishes and transfer  them  to the private sector  to ensure an adequate level of demand in the in the economy,  austerity is unnecessary: money is available, though real resource may be scarce. This also shows that the government can contribute actively towards the creation of prosperity. 

Please note that this model was originally created by Gene Bellinger, IM 3206, from which this version was  cloned.


Clone of Clone of Austerity vs Prosperity
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Format: Given pre-conditions when independent variables(s) then dependent variable

Given Earnings Decline (0.25), Spending Variance (55), Initial Investment (500) and Rate of Return (RandNormal(0.06, 0.12)) when one of these independent variables change then how sensitive is Investment (22) over a 30 year time period (-1,000)

H1: if you Earn more then Investment will last much longer => rejected

H2: if you Spend less then Investment will last much longer => accepted

H3: if your Initial Investment is higher then Investment will last much longer => accepted

H4: if you reduce your Spend when Investments are declining then Investment will last much longer => accepted

Given Earnings Decline (0.25), Spending Variance (55), Initial Investment (500) and Rate of Return (RandNormal(0.06, 0.12)) when one of these independent variables are optimised then Investment will last exactly 30 years by minimising the absolute investment gap

H1: if you set an appropriate Spending Base then remaining Investment is 0 => rejected

H2: if you set an appropriate Spending Reduction then remaining Investment is 0 => rejected

Source for investment returns: https://seekingalpha.com/article/3896226-90-year-history-of-capital-market-returns-and-risks
OrangeFortune | Wealth Management when Retiring
4 8 months ago
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram

MODERN MONETARY THEORY SHOWS HOW FULL EMPLOYMENT CAN BE ACHIEVED!

POTENTIAL GDP is a level of overall spending - by the government and the non-government sector - at which there is full employment. If the economy is not operating at its potential, then the  private sector has failed to invested or spend enough to generate the necessary growth nor has income  from net exports contributed enough. This only leaves the government to close the spending gap. Conceptually, a government disposing of its own freely floating currency could act using two powerful tools -  spending in excess of tax revenue, and taxation - to ensure that the gap between the actual economic activity and potential GDP is quickly closed. Achieving the  full employment that prevailed for 30 years between 1945 and 1975 in western economies is definitely possible! 

MANAGING FULL EMPLOYMENT
Insight diagram
Based on 2023 framework from Australian Treasury mapped into the Salutogenesis framework via social wellbeing
Measuring What Matters Framework
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Nutrition and Wellbeing based on 2023 framework from Australian Treasury
Nutrition and Wellbeing
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The Logistic Map is a polynomial mapping (equivalently, recurrence relation) of degree 2, often cited as an archetypal example of how complex, chaotic behaviour can arise from very simple non-linear dynamical equations. The map was popularized in a seminal 1976 paper by the biologist Robert May, in part as a discrete-time demographic model analogous to the logistic equation first created by Pierre François Verhulst. 

Mathematically, the logistic map is written

where:

 is a number between zero and one, and represents the ratio of existing population to the maximum possible population at year n, and hence x0 represents the initial ratio of population to max. population (at year 0)r is a positive number, and represents a combined rate for reproduction and starvation. To generate a bifurcation diagram, set 'r base' to 2 and 'r ramp' to 1
To demonstrate sensitivity to initial conditions, try two runs with 'r base' set to 3 and 'Initial X' of 0.5 and 0.501, then look at first ~20 time steps

Clone of Clone of The Logistic Map
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AKL Ouput Model
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Investigations into the relationships responsible for the success and failure of nations. This investigation was prompted after reading numerous references on the subject and perceiving that *Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty* by Acemoglu and Robinson seem to make a great deal of sense.

Original model done for The Perspectives Project though recast into Kumu.
Clone of Why Nations Fail
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
Goodwin Model:
This is a basic version of the Goodwin Model based on Kaoru Yamagushi (2013), Money and Macroeconomic Dynamics, Chapter 4.5 (link)

Equilibrium conditions:
  • Labor Supply = 100
Devation from the equilibrium conditions generates growth cycles.
Clone of Goodwin Model
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
Adapted from Hartmut Bossel's "System Zoo 3 Simulation Models, Economy, Society, Development."

​Population model where the population is summarized in four age groups (children, parents, older people, old people). Used as a base population model for dealing with issues such as employment, care for the elderly, pensions dynamics, etc.
Clone of Z602 Population with four age groups
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
Insight diagram
Circular equations WIP for Runy.

Added several versions of the model. Added a flow to make C increase. Added a factor to be able to change the value 0.5. 
Circularity in Economic models 1
Insight diagram
Adapted from Hartmut Bossel's "System Zoo 3 Simulation Models, Economy, Society, Development."

​Population model where the population is summarized in four age groups (children, parents, older people, old people). Used as a base population model for dealing with issues such as employment, care for the elderly, pensions dynamics, etc.
Clone of Z602 Population with four age groups
Insight diagram
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02