Insight diagram
Influence of migration on the number of working-age population.
Clone of Radno sposobno stanovništvo
Insight diagram
Simulation of MTBF with controls

F(t) = 1 - e ^ -λt 
Where  
• F(t) is the probability of failure  
• λ is the failure rate in 1/time unit (1/h, for example) 
• t is the observed service life (h, for example)

The inverse curve is the trust time
On the right the increase in failures brings its inverse which is loss of trust and move into suspicion and lack of confidence.
This can be seen in strategic social applications with those who put economy before providing the priorities of the basic living infrastructures for all.

This applies to policies and strategic decisions as well as physical equipment.
A) Equipment wears out through friction and preventive maintenance can increase the useful lifetime, 
B) Policies/working practices/guidelines have to be updated to reflect changes in the external environment and eventually be replaced when for instance a population rises too large (constitutional changes are required to keep pace with evolution, e.g. the concepts of the ancient Greeks, 3000 years ago, who based their thoughts on a small population cannot be applied in 2013 except where populations can be contained into productive working communities with balanced profit and loss centers to ensure sustainability)

Early Life
If we follow the slope from the leftmost start to where it begins to flatten out this can be considered the first period. The first period is characterized by a decreasing failure rate. It is what occurs during the “early life” of a population of units. The weaker units fail leaving a population that is more rigorous.

Useful Life
The next period is the flat bottom portion of the graph. It is called the “useful life” period. Failures occur more in a random sequence during this time. It is difficult to predict which failure mode will occur, but the rate of failures is predictable. Notice the constant slope.  

Wearout
The third period begins at the point where the slope begins to increase and extends to the rightmost end of the graph. This is what happens when units become old and begin to fail at an increasing rate. It is called the “wearout” period. 
BATHTUB MEAN TIME BETWEEN FAILURE (MTBF) RISK
Insight diagram
Influence of migration on the number of working-age population.
Clone of Clone of Clone of Clone of Radno sposobno stanovništvo
Insight diagram
Influence of migration on the number of working-age population.
Clone of Clone of Radno sposobno stanovništvo
Insight diagram
Influence of migration on the number of working-age population.
Clone of Radno sposobno stanovništvo
Insight diagram
Word population - Población Mundial
Insight diagram
Simple mock-up model of how prioritizing various push-pull factors impacts the size of the immigrant population over time as well as economic benefits to the U.S. economy.
Immigrant Populations and Policy Implications
Insight diagram
Influence of migration on the number of working-age population.
Clone of Clone of Radno sposobno stanovništvo
Insight diagram
​Climate Sector Boundary Diagram By Guy Lakeman
 Climate, Weather, Ecology, Economics, Population, Welfare, Energy, Policy, CO2, Carbon Cycle, GHG (green house gasses, combined effects)

As general population is composed of 85% with an education level of a 12 grader or less (a 17 year old), a simple block of components concerning the health of the planet needs to be broken down into simple blocks.
Perhaps this picture will show the basics on which to vote for a sustained healthy future
Democracy is only as good as the ability of the voters to FULLY understand the implications of the policies on which they vote., both context and the various perspectives.   National voting of unqualified voters on specific policy issues is the sign of corrupt manipulation.

Climate Sector Boundary Diagram of Guy Lakeman
Insight diagram

This is a basic model for use with our lab section.  The full BIDE options.

Cēsis līdz 2020
Insight diagram
Influence of migration on the number of working-age population.
Clone of Clone of Clone of Radno sposobno stanovništvo
Insight diagram
Influence of migration on the number of working-age population.
Radno sposobno stanovništvo
Insight diagram
A system dynamics model of a predator-prey lifecycle relationship




Predator-Prey relationship
Insight diagram
Influence of migration on the number of working-age population.
Radno sposobno stanovništvo
Insight diagram
A simple simulation used to observe the California Yellowtail population in San Diego
Clone of Yellowtail Population - San Diego
Insight diagram
Modelagem do estado psicológico de uma população. Inicialmente, todos os indivíduos estão no estado "Calmo". Com o passar do tempo e com as interações mútuas, há o surgimento e progressivo aumento do total de indivíduos com raiva (estado "Raivoso"). Deste estado e, com o passar do tempo, os indivíduos podem evoluir mentalmente e atingirem o estado "Indiferente", nos quais eles se tornam indiferentes à qualquer interação. Outra possibilidade é o indivíduo se enriquecer e, assim, atingir a felicidade (estado "Feliz").
Estado psicológico de uma população (MBA)
Insight diagram
The SEQ Koala Population over recent years has suffered due to a number of factors; habitat loss, predators, natural disasters, health issues and road fatalities to name a few.  All the while conservation efforts are being made to aid the population growth of  the national icon.

This insight draws together these contributing factors into a single population model (simulation).  This model begins with the known 2006 population and it projected based on current decline rates.  Accuracy is limited, however the downward trend is clearly evident.

Developed by Patrick O'Shaughnessy
SEQ Koala Population
Insight diagram
Adding change over time to relative risk, odds ratio and population attributable fraction epidemiology concepts see wikipedia and examples .
Could also add deaths and competing risks
Relative Risk dynamics
Insight diagram
FORCED GROWTH GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION 
 BEWARE pushing increased growth blows the system!
(governments are trying to push growth on already unstable systems !)

The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed

The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept and flawed strategy of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks

See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)

FORCED GROWTH INTO TURBULENCE
Insight diagram
Influence of migration on the number of working-age population.
Radno sposobno stanovništvo
Insight diagram
Woodland caribou is a species at risk because of northward expansion of resource development activity.  Some herds are in dire condition and well below self-sustainability, while others are only moderately below self-sustaining levels.  Given limited conservation dollars, what are the most effective conservation actions, and how much money needs to be spent?  Which herds should be a priority for conservation efforts? The purpose of this model to provide insight into these difficult conservation questions.  

This model was developed by Rob Rempel and Jen Shuter at the Centre for Northern Forest Ecosystem Research, and was based in part on input from attendees of a modelling workshop ("Modelling the Caribou Questions") held at the 16th North American Caribou Workshop in Thunder Bay, Ontario, May 2016.
Caribou Conservation Triage-V2
4 months ago
Insight diagram
UDB101 Assignment 1D

Koala Population Case Study

Sian Phillips

UDB101 Koala Population Case Study
Insight diagram
Influence of migration on the number of working-age population.
Clone of Radno sposobno stanovništvo