From Schluter et al 2017 article A framework for mapping and comparing behavioural theories in models of social-ecological systems COMSeS2017 video. See also Balke and Gilbert 2014 JASSS article How do agents make decisions? (recommended by Kurt Kreuger U of S)
Modelling human behaviour (MoHuB)
OVERSHOOT GROWTH GOES INTO TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION
The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed
The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks
See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite limited size working capacity containers (villages communities)
OVERSHOOT GROWTH INTO TURBULENCE
WIP Book summary of Frank Stilwell's 2019 Book, The Political Economy of Inequality, Polity Press podcast and slides
Political Economy of Inequality
There is an old saying that says
that 'opportunity makes thieves'. But
there is also a research paper entitled
'Opportunity makes the Thief: Practical Theory of Crime Prevention (1998)' that
provides evidence supporting this common observation. The paper argues that opportunity is a “root cause” of crime. This therefore
also applies to the behaviour of corporations.
The Causal Loop
Diagram on the left indicates that the number of crimes will increase rapidly as the opportunities to commit
them increases. This suggests that the
introduction of a negative feedback loop aimed at diminishing opportunities for committing crimes is an appropriate measure
to improve the situation. A number of remedial mesures tailored to specific situations are contained
in the report. A generally effective means must be the use of law and regulations
that were also mentioned in the report.
Opportunity makes Thieves
Correlation of National Electrification with Internal and External Influence Factors
An initial study of the economics of single use coffee pods.
Clone of Claire - Coffee Pods ISD Humanities v 1.02
THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES TURBULENT CHAOTIC DESTRUCTION
The existing global capitalistic growth paradigm is totally flawed
Growth in supply and productivity is a summation of variables as is demand ... when the link between them is broken by catastrophic failure in a component the creation of unpredictable chaotic turbulence puts the controls ito a situation that will never return the system to its initial conditions as it is STIC system (Lorenz)
The chaotic turbulence is the result of the concept of infinite bigness this has been the destructive influence on all empires and now shown up by Feigenbaum numbers and Dunbar numbers for neural netwoirks
See Guy Lakeman Bubble Theory for more details on keeping systems within finite working containers (villages communities)
Clone of THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND CREATES CHAOTIC TURBULENCE (+controls)
Investigations into the relationships responsible for the success and failure of nations. This investigation was prompted after reading numerous references on the subject and perceiving that *Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty* by Acemoglu and Robinson seem to make a great deal of sense.
Original model done for The Perspectives Project though recast into Kumu.
Clone of Why Nations Fail
WIP Ideas from Science Special Issue May 2014
Clone of The Science of Inequality
Unfortunately, this model only produces the illusion of functioning, but I did manage to get it to give me the graph. However, because of the use of flows, if you change the time step to and the simulation length to anything other than the same numbers, you'll find the graph showing something that looks more exponential. This is due to the function referencing itself in regards to time, so inevitably each time consumption grows it changes the outcome on the other side of the equation. Still, this is a convincing mock up. I added a "45 degree" line so that one could conceivably see (and also change) the difference made by altering the level of autonomous consumption.
Clone of Keynesian Macroeconomics
Map of Geoffrey M Hodgson's 2015 Conceptualizing Capitalism book summary pdf with other ideologies added sept 2021 from new politics website
Clone of Capitalism and Ideologies
Simulating Hyperinflation for 3650 days.
If private bond holdings are going down and the government is running a big deficit then the central bank has to monetize bonds equal to the deficit plus the decrease in private bond holdings. We don't show the details of the central bank buying bonds here, just the net results.
See blog at http://howfiatdies.blogspot.com for more on hyperinflation, including a hyperinflation FAQ.
Clone of Hyperinflation Simulation
WIP of Rammelt's 2019 System Dynamics Review Article which has STELLA and Minsky software versions as supplements. Compare with the older IM-2011 version
Clone of Simplified Keen Goodwin Minsky Financial Instability model
Simulation of Goodwin01 Minsky Model CLD in IM-172002 Compare with Part3 slide 3 of presentation in patreon. See extension Goodwin02 at IM-172145
Goodwin Minsky Simulation Keen Economic Dynamics Aug2019
Investigations into the relationships responsible for the success and failure of nations. This investigation was prompted after reading numerous references on the subject and perceiving that *Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty* by Acemoglu and Robinson seem to make a great deal of sense.
@LinkedIn, Twitter, YouTube
Clone of Why Nations Fail
Adapted from Hartmut Bossel's "System Zoo 3 Simulation Models, Economy, Society, Development."
Population model where the population is summarized in four age groups (children, parents, older people, old people). Used as a base population model for dealing with issues such as employment, care for the elderly, pensions dynamics, etc.
Clone of Clone of Z602 Population with four age groups
Clone of NATIONAL DEBT MODEL
HANDY Model of Societal Collapse from Ecological Economics
Paper see also D Cunha's model at IM-15085
Clone of Human and Nature Dynamics of Societal Inequality
Unfortunately, this model only produces the illusion of functioning, but I did manage to get it to give me the graph. However, because of the use of flows, if you change the time step to and the simulation length to anything other than the same numbers, you'll find the graph showing something that looks more exponential. This is due to the function referencing itself in regards to time, so inevitably each time consumption grows it changes the outcome on the other side of the equation. Still, this is a convincing mock up. I added a "45 degree" line so that one could conceivably see (and also change) the difference made by altering the level of autonomous consumption.
Clone of Keynesian Macroeconomics
WIP of Rammelt's 2019 System Dynamics Review Article which has STELLA and Minsky software versions as supplements. Compare with the older IM-2011 version
Clone of Simplified Keen Goodwin Minsky Financial Instability model
HANDY Model of Societal Collapse from Ecological Economics
Paper see also D Cunha's model at IM-15085
Clone of Human and Nature Dynamics of Societal Inequality
Very basic stock-flow diagram of compound interest with table and graph output in interest and savings development per year. Initial deposit, interest rate, yearly deposit and withdrawal can all be modified.
Stock-Flow diagram of savings account