How many hospital beds will we need over the next 20 years? WIP based on HDWA work esp Compile14. A top down approach from the state level.
How many hospital beds will we need over the next 20 years? WIP based on HDWA work esp Compile14. A top down approach from the state level.
 From Adapting ‘Agility’ to Healthcare Service Delivery , by Tom Rust, Khalid Saeed, Isa Bar-On, Oleg Pavlov  Paper  from July 2013 System dynamics Conference Cambridge MA and also 2012 Conference  paper   Could be extended by adding dynamics described in  going solid insight
From Adapting ‘Agility’ to Healthcare Service Delivery, by Tom Rust, Khalid Saeed, Isa Bar-On, Oleg Pavlov Paper from July 2013 System dynamics Conference Cambridge MA and also 2012 Conference paper  Could be extended by adding dynamics described in going solid insight
WIP Mostly a combination of Barone 1998 Advanced Personality book and Charles Hampden-Turner 1982 book Maps of the Mind
WIP Mostly a combination of Barone 1998 Advanced Personality book and Charles Hampden-Turner 1982 book Maps of the Mind
 Created in James Madison University's ISAT 341 Simulation and Modeling course by Joseph Straub and Andrew Funkhouser. Based on Mark Heffernan's Glucose-Insulin Insight Maker     Glucose Insulin Model Info:  Translated from Hormone.stm in Dynamic Modeling in the Health Sciences James L hargrove, Spr

Created in James Madison University's ISAT 341 Simulation and Modeling course by Joseph Straub and Andrew Funkhouser. Based on Mark Heffernan's Glucose-Insulin Insight Maker


Glucose Insulin Model Info:

Translated from Hormone.stm in Dynamic Modeling in the Health Sciences James L hargrove, Springer 1998, Ch 24 p255-261, by Mark Heffernan.

 WIP Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9, with Correlation coefficients added, from Taylor TRB et al. (2010)   Improving model understanding using statistical screening   WSC paper   See also  System Dynamics Review 26 (1) p 73-87 and earlier 2005  SDR paper  with 

WIP Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9, with Correlation coefficients added, from Taylor TRB et al. (2010)  Improving model understanding using statistical screening WSC paper See also System Dynamics Review 26 (1) p 73-87 and earlier 2005 SDR paper with CCtemplateExcel

 This map is a WIP derived from the MIT D-memo 4641 presentation by Nelson Repenning 1996 and the paper "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman.  http://bit.ly/jCXGKL  See  Insight 9781  

This map is a WIP derived from the MIT D-memo 4641 presentation by Nelson Repenning 1996 and the paper "Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement" by Nelson P. Repenning and John D Sterman. http://bit.ly/jCXGKL See Insight 9781 for a simulation of this model. This map adds additional features mentioned in the article to the bare bones simulation in IM-9781

Simplest ED Model for Weekend  ED Performance with 1 ED area  IM-11079   Ward net discharges are extended with Ward and Waitlist inflow and outflow details (informed by  IM-7981 ) WIP
Simplest ED Model for Weekend  ED Performance with 1 ED area IM-11079  Ward net discharges are extended with Ward and Waitlist inflow and outflow details (informed by IM-7981) WIP
WIP notes on Stress and Abuse, based on integrating cycles of alienation, emotional regulation in brain development, addiction, and violence/abuse, inspired by harry burns  keynote video  on Glasgow alienation due to housing estates. Peggy Thoits 2010 Stress and Health  article  added
WIP notes on Stress and Abuse, based on integrating cycles of alienation, emotional regulation in brain development, addiction, and violence/abuse, inspired by harry burns keynote video on Glasgow alienation due to housing estates. Peggy Thoits 2010 Stress and Health article added
 Dynamics of Emergency Room Crowding with treatment spaces and boarders waiting for ward beds (access block if the wait is too long).

Dynamics of Emergency Room Crowding with treatment spaces and boarders waiting for ward beds (access block if the wait is too long).

 Gavan Lintern's Decision Ladder of Cognitive states and processes associated with the Ladder of Inference  IM-351  

Gavan Lintern's Decision Ladder of Cognitive states and processes associated with the Ladder of Inference IM-351 

 The Dynamics of Human Service Delivery General Theory from the Book by Levin, Roberts, Hirsch et al. Ballinger 1975 ISBN 0-88410-132-0 See  IM-621  for rich picture version

The Dynamics of Human Service Delivery General Theory from the Book by Levin, Roberts, Hirsch et al. Ballinger 1975 ISBN 0-88410-132-0 See IM-621 for rich picture version

 A general model of flows between hospital and the community with workshop elements. See also  IM-3200  for focus on frequent presenters with mental health issues

A general model of flows between hospital and the community with workshop elements. See also IM-3200 for focus on frequent presenters with mental health issues

 Sources of Policy Resistance. From  article  Sterman, John D.   Learning from Evidence in a Complex World  Am J Public Health 2006 96: 505-514. See also  fighting complexity  IM-1955

Sources of Policy Resistance. From article Sterman, John D.  Learning from Evidence in a Complex World Am J Public Health 2006 96: 505-514. See also fighting complexity IM-1955

 Rich picture CLD of Tradeoffs in Responses to Work Pressure in the Service Industry by Rogelio Oliva California Mgt Review 2001 43(4) 26-43  paper

Rich picture CLD of Tradeoffs in Responses to Work Pressure in the Service Industry by Rogelio Oliva California Mgt Review 2001 43(4) 26-43 paper


This is a systems model that allows groups of professionals to discuss 'prevention at scale' opportunities and the implications of numbers 'needed to treat' in any local population. In terms of public health interventions this equates to reach, compliance and efficacy, which are usually lower than o
This is a systems model that allows groups of professionals to discuss 'prevention at scale' opportunities and the implications of numbers 'needed to treat' in any local population. In terms of public health interventions this equates to reach, compliance and efficacy, which are usually lower than one might suspect.
3 8 months ago
 A causal loop diagram of thermostat action including conversions between heat and temperature and outside temperature. The simulation model is at Insightmaker 393

A causal loop diagram of thermostat action including conversions between heat and temperature and outside temperature. The simulation model is at Insightmaker 393

  Coping but not coping in health and social care: masking the
reality of running organisations beyond safe design capacity. From Eric Wolstenholme Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23, 371–389, (2007)  abstract . See also  IM-1010  for unfolding CLD version. This is a cascade of swamping structures see gene's  insig

Coping but not coping in health and social care: masking the reality of running organisations beyond safe design capacity. From Eric Wolstenholme Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23, 371–389, (2007) abstract. See also IM-1010 for unfolding CLD version. This is a cascade of swamping structures see gene's insight with video link
 Go to  Gene Bellinger's insight version  with video link This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp up

Go to Gene Bellinger's insight version with video link This common archetype of systems that include relapse or recidivism allows exploration of the unintended effects of increasing upstream capacity and swamping downstream capacity. The increase in the relapse rate eventually returns to swamp upstream capacity as well. A social welfare example, based on a TANF case study, from How Small System Dynamics Models Can Help the Policy Process. N. Ghaffarzadegan, J. Lyneis, GP Richardson. System Dynamics Review 27,1 (2011) 22-44 abstract Conference version here

5 2 days ago