Hannon and Ruth Modeling Dynamic Biological Systems p67
Catalyzed Reaction (Michaelis Menten)
From Tarek KA Hamid's Book Thinking in Circles About Obesity Springer 2009
Obesity Thinking in Circles
Based on Psychological Medicine Dec 2015 article Depression as a systemic syndrome: mapping the feedback loops of major depressive disorder by A. K. Wittenborn, H. Rahmandad, J. Rick and N. Hosseinichimeh, mentioned here. See also 2018 N. Hosseinichimeh Plos ONE article for rumination focussed SD simulation
Depression Dynamics
An example of why it's so critical to understand where the boundaries are when considering a system. Go to Gene's version insight
Clone of Hospital Early Discharge Boundaries (Old version)
Kidney replacement therapy dynamics extended to dialysis management
Kidney Dialysis and Transplant CLD Extended
Detail from Incorporating organizational factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment(PRA) of complex socio-technical systems: A hybrid technique formalization article. See full overview at insight
Performance shaping factors
WIP Understanding pathways to observed effects complex causation Pathways Moving to Opportunity NYC example from Nate Osgood's big data lecture youtube video Feb 2017 Sydney.
Potential and actual causal mechanisms
Based on Ransohoff DF, McNaughton Collins M, Fowler FJ. Why is prostate cancer screening so common when the evidence is so uncertain? A system without negative feedback. Am J Med. 2002;113:663-7. See IM-15991 for a generic Stock Flow Map
Prostate Cancer Screening
Gross theory of emotion regulation from Saras Chung ISDC 2015
Abstract See also Tibor Bosse's Computational model paper
Emotion Regulation and Stress
From Jennifer Prah Ruger (2010) Health Capability Conceptualization and Operationalization Am J Public Health 100 p41-49 available from SSRN Extended slightly in IM-791 so use of this is deprecated.
Health Capability Map
Major stocks and flows of Erythropoiesis and Erythropoiesis Stimulating Agents (ESA) Dosing in Anemia due to Renal Failure from Jim Rogers. See Simulation Insight
ESA Dosing in Renal Anemia
A work in progress model for ED hourly arrival flows based on reported statistics by triage category with individual triage categories dis-aggregated using vectors. Based on a hospital performance report from http://www.bhi.nsw.gov.au/publications/hospital_quarterly_3
Split of IM-2166
ED flows by triage categories with hourly arrival
An initial stock-flow feedback map with unfolding story about Suicide Prevention that resulted in a national and regional simulation. See revised version insight
Suicide Dynamics 1
From fighting lions (fight or flight) to fighting feedbacks in complex systems. A single person cutting the Gordian knot to the dynamic complexity of rubik's cube. Think of multiple players with multiple misperceptions of the faces on the cube and conflicting goals about what the desired solution is. Worse still, without an accepted framework we dont even know if it's a cube or another structure. See also policy resistance IM-697
Fighting complexity
Showing how multiple effect loops for private patients in public hospitals can be represented as a causal loop diagram (CLD)
Causal loop diagram for loops of public private hospital funding
Addition of two extra articles on specific nicotine dependence (addiction and habituation) with conceptual maps to initial version
Nicotine addiction dynamics
Causal loop diagram unfolding story based on Jack Homer's paper Worker burnout: a dynamic model See IM-333 for the Simulation model and IM-2178 for a related Causal Loop Diagram of Project Turnover
Burnout Dynamics CLD rich pic
Update to the original IM-636 from around 2002 based on 2017 discussion/inquiry into improving private health insurance in Australia
Health Insurance and Service Dynamics Update
WIP based on 2016 article The Dynamics of Addiction: Craving versus Self-Control. See also insight with additional nicotine addiction dynamics IM added
Addiction dynamics
WIP Simplified Patient Flow map of features in a SD simulation model of performance of a City Hospital over 5 years. Built after a Regional 20 year planning model IM-10290 The simulation is a large ithink model built by Mark Heffernan
City Hospital Performance over 5 years
Proceso de contagios en COVID19
Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus.
The initial parametrization is based on the suggested current data. The initial population is set for Catalonia.
SEIRD 01: COVID-19 spread
Gavan Lintern's Decision Ladder of Cognitive states and processes associated with the Ladder of Inference IM-351
Decision Ladder
Dynamics of Emergency Room Crowding with treatment spaces. Here we investigate the effect of constrained spaces and ignore any changes in treatment time or staffing effects. Many of the consequences occur before treatment with potential arrivals being turned away and arrivals leaving without being treated.
Emergency Room Patient Flow Model 2 with Treatment Spaces
