Insight diagram

This is a basic model for use with our lab section.  The full BIDE options.

Clone of Bio 101: Basic Population Model
Insight diagram
Westley, F. R., O. Tjornbo, L. Schultz, P. Olsson, C. Folke, B. Crona and Ö. Bodin. 2013. A theory of transformative agency in linked social-ecological systems. Ecology and Society 18(3): 27. link

Clone of Transformative Agency in Social-Ecological System
Insight diagram
Interactions for fire, cheatgrass, and biological soil crusts based on data at Horse Heaven Hills, Washington
Bio Crusts HHH space occupancy
Insight diagram
keep on from here
http://www.suryatech.com/pages/wildlifemanagement-2.pdf
Modified Lotka–Volterra model (plants, preys, predators)
Insight diagram
This model illustrates predator prey interactions using real-life data of wolf and moose populations on the Isle Royale.

Experiment with adjusting the initial number of moose and wolves on the island.
Clone of Isle Royale: Predator Prey Interactions
Insight diagram

This is a basic BIDE (birth, immigration, death, emigration) model.  Not all parts are implemented, however Birth and Death are.

Clone of Bio 190: BIDE Model With Carrying Capacity
Insight diagram
C
Predator-Prey Interactions (Wolf & Moose) QC
Insight diagram

This is a basic BIDE (birth, immigration, death, emigration) model.  Not all parts are implemented, however Birth and Death are.

Clone of Bio 190: BIDE Model With Carrying Capacity
Insight diagram

This is a basic model for use with our lab section.  The full BIDE options.

Clone of Clone of Bio 101: Basic Population Model
Insight diagram
Allison Zembrodt's Model

This model illustrates predator prey interactions using real-life data of wolf and moose populations on the Isle Royale.

We incorporate logistic growth into the moose dynamics, and we replace the death flow of the moose with a kill rate modeled from the kill rate data found on the Isle Royale website.

I start with these parameters:
Wolf Death Rate = 0.15
Wolf Birth Rate = 0.0187963
Moose Birth Rate = 0.4
Carrying Capacity = 2000
Initial Moose: 563
Initial Wolves: 20

I used RK-4 with step-size 0.1, from 1959 for 60 years.

The moose birth flow is logistic, MBR*M*(1-M/K)
Moose death flow is Kill Rate (in Moose/Year)
Wolf birth flow is WBR*Kill Rate (in Wolves/Year)
Wolf death flow is WDR*W

equations I used in kill rate :

power model - 12*0.1251361120909615*([Moose]/[Wolves])^.44491970277839954*[Wolves]


Kill rate sqrt = 12*(0.0933207+.0873463*([Moose]/[Wolves])^.5)*[Wolves]


Holling Type III - ((0.986198*([Moose]/[Wolves])^2)/ (601.468 +([Moose]/[Wolves])^2))*[Wolves]*12


linear - 12*[Wolves]*(.400271+.00560299([Moose]/[Wolves]))


Clone of Final Midterm Student version of A More Realistic Model of Isle Royale: Predator Prey Interactions
Insight diagram
​The probability density function (PDF) of the normal distribution or Bell Curve of Normal or Gaussian Distribution is the mean or expectation of the distribution (and also its median and mode). 

The parameter is its standard deviation with its variance then, A random variable with a Gaussian distribution is said to be normally distributed and is called a normal deviate.
However, those who enjoy upskirts are called deviants and have a variable distribution :) 

A random variable with a Gaussian distribution is said to be normally distributed and is called a normal deviate.

If mu = 0 and sigma = 1

If the Higher Education Numbers Are Increased then the group decision making ability of society would be raised above that of a middle teenager as it is now
BUT 
Governments can control children by using bad parenting techniques, pandering to the pleasure principle, so they will make higher education more and more difficult as they are doing


85% of the population has a qualification level equal or below a 12th grader, 17 year old ... the chance of finding someone with any sense is low (~1 in 6) and the outcome of them being chosen by those who are uneducated in the policies they are to decide is even more rare !!!

Experience means little if you don't have enough brain to analyse it

Democracy is only as good as the ability of the voters to FULLY understand the implications of the policies on which they vote., both context and the various perspectives.   National voting of unqualified voters on specific policy issues is the sign of corrupt manipulation.

Democracy:  Where a group allows the decision ability of a teenager to decide on a choice of mis-representatives who are unqualified to make judgement on social policies that affect the lives of millions.
The kind of children who would vote for King Kong who can hold a girl in one hand and swat fighter jets out of teh sky off the tallest building, doesn't have a brain cell or thought to call his own but has a nice smile and offers little girls sweets.


updated 16/3/2020 from 4 years 3 months ago
Clone of Clone of ​The probability density function (PDF) of the normal distribution or Bell Curve Gaussian Distribution by Guy Lakeman
Insight diagram
Modeling forest succession in a northeast deciduous forest.
Clone of Lab1 Forestry Succession Model
Insight diagram
A flow based recreation of the base model presented in Munz et al 2009 using zombies to teach basic SIR epidemiology models
Munz 2009 Zombies 2 - tested
Insight diagram
Clone of Clone of Clone of Food Security and Climate Change in East Africa
Insight diagram
Systems Zoo model Z308 Forest Dynamics (Bossel, 2007)
Systems Zoo Z308: Forest dynamics
Insight diagram
​S-Curve + Delay for Bell Curve Showing Erlang Distribution

Generation of Bell Curve from Initial Market through Delay in Pickup of Customers

This provides the beginning of an Erlang distribution model

The Erlang distribution is a two parameter family of continuous probability distributions with support . The two parameters are:

  • a positive integer 'shape' 
  • a positive real 'rate' ; sometimes the scale , the inverse of the rate is used.

Clone of S-Curve + Delay for Bell Curve by Guy Lakeman
Insight diagram
Clone of Clone of BirthRateDeathRateAndR
Insight diagram

This is a basic model for use with our lab section.  The full BIDE options.

Clone of Bio 101: Basic Population Model
Insight diagram
Westley, F. R., O. Tjornbo, L. Schultz, P. Olsson, C. Folke, B. Crona and Ö. Bodin. 2013. A theory of transformative agency in linked social-ecological systems. Ecology and Society 18(3): 27. link

Clone of Transformative Agency in Social-Ecological System
Insight diagram
​S-Curve + Delay for Bell Curve Showing Erlang Distribution

Generation of Bell Curve from Initial Market through Delay in Pickup of Customers

This provides the beginning of an Erlang distribution model

The Erlang distribution is a two parameter family of continuous probability distributions with support . The two parameters are:

  • a positive integer 'shape' 
  • a positive real 'rate' ; sometimes the scale , the inverse of the rate is used.

Clone of S-Curve + Delay for Bell Curve by Guy Lakeman
Insight diagram
This model illustrates predator prey interactions using real-life data of wolf and moose populations on the Isle Royale.

We incorporate logistic growth into the moose dynamics, and we replace the death flow of the moose with a kill rate modeled from the kill rate data found on the Isle Royale website.

Thanks to Jacob Englert for the model if-then-else structure.

I start with these parameters:
Wolf Death Rate = 0.15
Wolf Birth Rate = 0.0187963
Moose Birth Rate = 0.4
Carrying Capacity = 2000
Initial Moose: 563
Initial Wolves: 20

I used RK-4 with step-size 0.1, from 1959 for 60 years.

The moose birth flow is logistic, MBR*M*(1-M/K)
Moose death flow is Kill Rate (in Moose/Year)
Wolf birth flow is WBR*Kill Rate (in Wolves/Year)
Wolf death flow is WDR*W

Clone of MAT 375 Midterm file: Model of Isle Royale: Predator Prey Interactions
Insight diagram
This model illustrates predator prey interactions using real-life data of wolf and moose populations on the Isle Royale. It was "cloned" from a model that InsightMaker provides to its users, at
https://insightmaker.com/insight/2068/Isle-Royale-Predator-Prey-Interactions
Thanks Scott Fortmann-Roe.

I've created a Mathematica file that replicates the model, at
http://www.nku.edu/~longa/classes/2018spring/mat375/mathematica/Moose-n-Wolf-InsightMaker.nb

It allows one to experiment with adjusting the initial number of moose and wolves on the island.

I used steepest descent in Mathematica to optimize the parameters, with my objective data being the ratio of wolves to moose. You can try my (admittedly) kludgy code, at
http://www.nku.edu/~longa/classes/2018spring/mat375/mathematica/Moose-n-Wolf-InsightMaker-BestFit.nb

{WolfBirthRateFactorStart,
WolfDeathRateStart,
MooseBirthRateStart,
MooseDeathRateFactorStart,
moStart,
woStart} =
{0.000267409,
0.239821,
0.269755,
0.0113679,
591,
23.};

Clone of Isle Royale: Predator/Prey Model for Moose and Wolves
Insight diagram
Clone of: 
'Sucesion Forestal' (by Denny S. Fernandez del Viso) for subtropical forest, which in turn is a modification of 'Modeling forest succession in a northeast deciduous forest' (by Owen Stuart).
Translated to English (by Lisa Belyea)
Clone of Subtropical forest succession