Initial attempt to reduce confusion about risk and odds ratios.
Odds ratio and Risk ratio
Sources of Policy Resistance. From article Sterman, John D. Learning from Evidence in a Complex World Am J Public Health 2006 96: 505-514. See also fighting complexity IM-1955
Policy Resistance
Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus.
The initial parametrization is based on the suggested current data. The initial population is set for Catalonia.
SEIRD 01: COVID-19 spread
Love affairs and Differential equations. From Michael J Radzicki (1993) Dyadic processes,tempestuous relationships, and system dynamics Syst. Dyn. Rev. 9 (1) :79-94
Romeo and Juliet
Agent-Based Model Covid-19
Revised unfolding story of stock-flow feedback map of suicide prevention
intermediate version focussed on regional mental health services ( according to Mark heffernan's ithink /STELLA simulation model Aug 2017 Note private WIP version of this is at
IM-77395 (private)See also Suicide dynamics 4 WIP insight
Suicide Dynamics 3
Childhood obesity map for state prevention. Extended at CCP 5 risk factors IM See also Christine's private version
Clone of Premier's priority - childhood overweight and obesity
From Jack Homer , Gary HIrsch and Bobby Milstein. Chronic Illness in a Complex Health Economy Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23, 313-343 (2007)
Chronic Illness Stocks and Flows
Mind map example of a medication management project.
See also IM-692 for CLD
Medication Management Map
Hannon and Ruth Modeling Dynamic Biological Systems p67 adapted to Bond Graph Kinetic Modeling Metabolic Map Layout of insight IM-855 See also IM-2235 for unfolding version
Catalyzed Reaction (Michaelis Menten) 2
Rich Picture Version of Insight 386 The Dynamics of Human Service Delivery General Theory from the Book by Levin, Roberts, Hirsch et al. Ballinger 1976 ISBN 0-88410-132-0. See also Services Intro IM
Human Service Delivery Dynamics rich picture
This model shows the Pharmaceutical New Drug Pipeline based on drug release, approval and patent expiry. This pipeline is then linked to patients switching from older drugs to newer drugs based on proven indications and marketing (indication creep). Based on work by Mark Heffernan on the Australian Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme for drug subsidy.Conference paper and Larger ithink model
Pharmaceutical Pipeline and Medicines Use
The Dynamics of Human Service Delivery General Theory from the Book by Levin, Roberts, Hirsch et al. Ballinger 1975 ISBN 0-88410-132-0 See IM-621 for rich picture version
Human Service Delivery Dynamics
WIP for Effects of Senior Staff Weekend Rostering on ED Flows. Two areas Map simplified later to no specific areas Simulation in IM-11079
ED Weekend Flows Senior Roster
WIP for regional integration based on NHPA and IHPA activities in Australia
National Health Performance and Pricing
Adam Smith's The Invisible Hand: The Feedback Structure of Markets. From Sterman JD Business Dynamics p170 Fig 5-26. A price-mediated resource allocation system..
Price control mechanism
The model starts in 1900. In the year 2000 you get the chance to set a new emission target and nominal time to reach it. Your aim is to have atmospheric CO2 stabilise at about 400 ppmv in 2100. From Sterman, John D. (2008) Risk Communication on Climate: Mental Models and Mass Balance. Science 322 (24 October): 532-533. Older version of IM-9283.
Climate Stabilization Task - Older
OASIS SOA Reference Architecture represents views from the perspectives of using, building, owning and managing the means for exchanging value, particpants claims of ownership and the rules of engagement. From http://bit.ly/wpI1yo
SOA Reference Architecture
WIP for Continuity of care ISO From Wikipedia Initial Insight Representation from ContSys
IM-4008 with split off
patient and professional statecharts See
IM-2846 for Agent with infectious disease and
IM-6913 for ED Physician INteraction
Clinical Process with Patient and Professional States
From p592 Doyle F et al.(2007) Journal of Process Control 17 571-594
abstract
Heparin Kinetics
This is the Concept map at IM-735 modified to reflect the learning after system dynamics modeling at IM-393,
Thermostat Concept Map 2
WIP From zenker 2007 article PLoS Computational Biology From Inverse Problems in Mathematical Physiology to Quantitative Differential Diagnoses
Cardiovascular Model
WIP based on Choice modelling and Mark Paich's Book and NZ work focus on Pre-ED Presentation choices, with ED and Post-ED care. Extended based on IM-998 4 hour rule context. Can be replicated to add interventions, as in IM-6167. See IM-9178 for Addition of After hours 'as is' and 'to be' flow models for Medicare Locals
ED Presentation Choices Context
Extension of IM-14124 with an adjusted bed capacity stock. For backlog and services see IM-8382
Hospital Emergency and Elective Admission Interaction Simulation 3
