Extension of IM-7981 with dynamics of daily ward discharges and did not waits. For an adjusted bed capacity stock see IM-14144.For backlog and services see IM-8382
WIP ED Boarding - Days
Detail from Incorporating organizational factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment(PRA) of complex socio-technical systems: A hybrid technique formalization article. See full overview at insight
Performance shaping factors
WIP Patient Flow improvement strategies for a City Hospital with 3 years historical data and two year planning horizon. Built after a Generic Teaching Hospital Model IM-10346 A simplified stock flow map is at IM-399
Hospital Seasonal ED and Ward Flow Improvement
Simplest ED Model for Daily ED Performance with 1 ED area rather than 2 in IM-10571. Currently runs over a weekend and calibrated roughly to Weekend Data.Ward net discharges are extended in IM-12414. The Master Version of this, with the story added is at IM-11936 Resplit into 2 areas at IM-15023
ED Flows without Separate Areas
An initial stock-flow feedback map with unfolding story about Suicide Prevention that resulted in a national and regional simulation. See revised version insight
Suicide Dynamics 1
Prenatal, infant and early child development based on The First Thousand Days: early, integrated and evidence-based approaches to improving child health: coming to a population near you? Darling JC, et al. Arch Dis Child 2020;0:1–5. doi:10.1136/archdischild-2019-316929 article
The first 1000 days of Early Child Development Overview
Simple rich picture causal loop diagram of single and double loop learning including experiential learning concepts. Launchpad for Learning
Individual Learning
SD reformulation of jama psychiatry article mason2017 on neurocomputational model of mood instability and reward dysregulation in bipolar disorder
Mood instability in biploar disorder
WIP Understanding pathways to observed effects complex causation Pathways Moving to Opportunity NYC example from Nate Osgood's big data lecture youtube video Feb 2017 Sydney.
Potential and actual causal mechanisms
Hannon and Ruth Modeling Dynamic Biological Systems p67 adapted to Bond Graph Kinetic Modeling Metabolic Map Layout of insight IM-855 See also IM-2235 for unfolding version
Catalyzed Reaction (Michaelis Menten) 2
Agent-Based Model Covid-19
Dynamics of Emergency Room Crowding with treatment spaces. Here we investigate the effect of constrained spaces and ignore any changes in treatment time or staffing effects. Many of the consequences occur before treatment with potential arrivals being turned away and arrivals leaving without being treated.
Emergency Room Patient Flow Model 2 with Treatment Spaces
Revised unfolding story of stock-flow feedback map of suicide prevention
intermediate version focussed on regional mental health services ( according to Mark heffernan's ithink /STELLA simulation model Aug 2017 Note private WIP version of this is at
IM-77395 (private)See also Suicide dynamics 4 WIP insight
Suicide Dynamics 3
Simplest ED Model for Weekend ED Performance with 1 ED area IM-11079 Ward net discharges are extended with Ward and Waitlist inflow and outflow details (informed by IM-7981) WIP
ED Flows extended to Ward and Waitlist Flows
Here we have modified the SIR model of Insight 584 by adding an additional stock of Exposed people, who become Infective after an incubation period.
SEIR Infectious Disease Model
Gross theory of emotion regulation from Saras Chung ISDC 2015
Abstract See also Tibor Bosse's Computational model paper
Emotion Regulation and Stress
Love affairs and Differential equations. From Michael J Radzicki (1993) Dyadic processes,tempestuous relationships, and system dynamics Syst. Dyn. Rev. 9 (1) :79-94
Romeo and Juliet
An exploration of interactions among 'fuzzy' qualitative concepts that interact to produce either tolerance or violent conflict. Z509 p43-49 System Zoo 3 by Hartmut Bossel.
Aggression
WIP for LHN Individual Hospital O Month of October 2013 linking monthly NWAUs and same and overnight activities from ED and Elective Surgery (ES)
Individual Hospital Monthly Performance
From Jack Homer , Gary HIrsch and Bobby Milstein. Chronic Illness in a Complex Health Economy Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23, 313-343 (2007)
Chronic Illness Stocks and Flows
Adam Smith's The Invisible Hand: The Feedback Structure of Markets. From Sterman JD Business Dynamics p170 Fig 5-26. A price-mediated resource allocation system..
Price control mechanism
Mind map example of a medication management project.
See also IM-692 for CLD
Medication Management Map
Proceso de contagios en COVID19
Here we have a basic SEIR model and we will investigate what changes would be appropriate for modelling the 2019 Coronavirus.
The initial parametrization is based on the suggested current data. The initial population is set for Catalonia.
SEIRD 01: COVID-19 spread