WIP map of ebola in west Africa based on African Affairs
Article and SEIR framework
Ebola and Structural Violence
Addition of two extra articles on specific nicotine dependence (addiction and habituation) with conceptual maps to initial version
Nicotine addiction dynamics
Relationship between major risk factors, and major diseases
Risk factors
This is a high level system dynamics model which is built to
determine the dynamic relationships of the FSA and Followups capacity.
Therefore, it can help clinicians to find out the optimistic method in order to
reduce the waiting list. At past clinicians were seeing more FSA patients,
however, after few months, the followups patients overwhelmed the clinics.
Therefore waiting list has been built up again. By running this model,
clinicians can find out the balanced leverage point(s). New Model has been developed, this is a very draft model.
Outpatient Clinics Patient Flow
Rich picture causal loops unfolding version of Insight 714, Based on Lyneis JM and Ford DN System Dynamics Applied to Project Management Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23, 157-189 (2007)
Project Management Unfolding Causal Loops
From Fig.1 Communication for Social Change: An Integrated Model for Measuring the Process and Its Outcomes/Maria Elena Figueroa et al (2002) paper (may need free registration)
Convergence Model of Communication
A combination of qualitative and quantitative methods for implementing a systems approach, including virtual intervention experiments using computer simulation models. See also
Complex Decision Technologies IMInterventions and leverage points added in IM-1400 (complex!)
Systems Methods
Decision making accuracy depends on ecological validity of indicator uses and subjective use of cues (fallible tangible indicators) Extended to clinical risk and action in IM-62657 See medical decision making 2016 article abstract
Brunswik Lens Model
Black and white Unfolding Stock and flow map version of IM 1498
Clone of Extreme weather events effects on hospitals
The dynamics of methadone treatment for intravenous opioid users. The major flows in this study were people cycling between being on methadone and off treatment. This is a minimal model of the insights from the more detailed modelling project described in Chalmers
J, Ritter A, Heffernan M, McDonnell G. Modelling pharmacotherapy maintenance in
Australia. A report prepared for the Australian National Council on Drugs.
Sydney: Drug Policy Modelling Program, University of New South Wales; 2009
Methadone Treatment Dynamics
Expansion of IM-399 A stock flow structure through hospitals with high value activities linked by transitions. Based on the project described by IM-10386 Compare with IM-622 Context
Hospital flows with value and transitions
Barry Richmond's model describing behavior and anxiety theory for the Milgram experiment. Richmond, B. (1977). “Generalization with Individual Uniqueness: Modeling the Milgram Experiments.” Technical Report D-2508-2, System Dynamics Group, Sloan School of Management, MIT.
Personal versus Situational Dynamics: Implications of Barry Richmond’s Models of Classic Experiments in Social Psychology by James K. Doyle, Khalid Saeed, Jeanine Skorinko Department of Social Science and Policy Studies Worcester Polytechnic Institute 2008
See also CLE Class Notes 2014
Milgram Experiment
WIP Thyroid HPA axis dynamics based on Kohanin 2022 article and Ch3.5 of Uri Alon's System Medicine book. A series of secrete and grow physiological circuits
Thyroid dynamics
From fighting lions (fight or flight) to fighting feedbacks in complex systems. A single person cutting the Gordian knot to the dynamic complexity of rubik's cube. Think of multiple players with multiple misperceptions of the faces on the cube and conflicting goals about what the desired solution is. Worse still, without an accepted framework we dont even know if it's a cube or another structure. See also policy resistance IM-697
Fighting complexity
From Margaret Stringfellow's PhD thesis from Nancy Leveson's Engineering a Safer World
Process Control Structure
Summary of US apa2017 report pdf link
Stress and Health Disparities
Dynamics of Emergency Room Crowding with treatment spaces and boarders waiting for ward beds (access block if the wait is too long).
Emergency Department Patient Flow Model 3 with Boarders
WIP ideas for group model building representation
Alcohol harms overview NSW
A model of an infectious disease and control
Disease Dynamics (Agent Based Modeling) Guy Lakeman
Hannon and Ruth Modeling Dynamic Biological Systems p67 adapted to Bond Graph Kinetic Modeling Metabolic Map Alternate Layout of insight IM-857 Here Join and Split Flows are unfolded rather than using folders around the Stocks.
Catalyzed Reaction (Michaelis Menten) 2 with split and join
A stock flow structure used to investigate interventions to improve the monthly patterns of patient flows through hospitals. Simplest structure to explain IM-10386 Expanded in IM-13966
Hospital flows monthly pattern
Addition of Incident Reporting and Prevention Interventions to a simple error chain of medication errors for patients in hospital IM-10113
Medication error with incident reporting
Clone of IM-11079, incorporating Mark Heffernan's SImple SD ithink v10 Model of Hospital Patient Flow done for particle filtering in September 2014
Patient Flows ED and Wards
How many hospital beds will we need over the next 20 years? WIP based on HDWA work esp Compile14. A top down approach from the state level.
Hospital Network Capacity Planning