Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model (circa 2015) - Metrics by Guy Lakeman This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recove
MERS COVID Epidemic SARS Infection Health Care Ebola

Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model (circa 2015) - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.

Addition of a slider for susceptibles is equivalent to accumulated total cases

SARS, MERS AND COVID are similar virus types only differing in their sub genus

The COVID outbreak has reached 150,000 infected people

This simulation allows an attempt at predicting how long the virus will persist and its longevity dependence on its high speed massive infection numbers that have reached pandemic proportions

SARS reached 8,000 infected total and ran for 9 months before stopping

MERS 2012 is still killing 8 years later with patients dying even after using interferon to try and cure them

Clone of Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
sub cribed
WIP integrating Epidemiology Systems Science and Policy making, mainly based on books and AJE articles by Keyes and Galea
Epidemiology Data Science Systems Science Population Health Care Policy
WIP integrating Epidemiology Systems Science and Policy making, mainly based on books and AJE articles by Keyes and Galea
Health Systems Science Processes and Principles
Geoff McDonnell
Work in progress with Jim Rogers
Health Care Social Organization Sorokin Culture

Work in progress with Jim Rogers

Sorokin Social and Cultural Dynamics
Geoff McDonnell
Summary of US apa2017 report  pdf link
Emotion Social Wellbeing Stress Mental Health Child Justice Health Care Intervention SDOH Resilience Psychology Inequality
Summary of US apa2017 report pdf link
Clone of Stress and Health Disparities
Jeb Eddy
An exploration of interactions among 'fuzzy' qualitative concepts that interact to produce either tolerance or violent conflict. ​Z509 p43-49 System Zoo 3 by Hartmut Bossel.
Self Social Psychology Health Care System Zoo

An exploration of interactions among 'fuzzy' qualitative concepts that interact to produce either tolerance or violent conflict. ​Z509 p43-49 System Zoo 3 by Hartmut Bossel.

Clone of Aggression
Te Kou Gage
WIP Clone of IM-435 for Research (IM-345 was  https://insightmaker.com/insight/435/Technology-and-Healthcare-Costs-and-Outcomes-2 A simplified dynamic model, adapted from Engineering perspectives on healthcare delivery: Can we afford technological innovation in healthcare? Rouse, William B Systems
Research Health Care Technology

WIP Clone of IM-435 for Research (IM-345 was https://insightmaker.com/insight/435/Technology-and-Healthcare-Costs-and-Outcomes-2A simplified dynamic model, adapted from Engineering perspectives on healthcare delivery: Can we afford technological innovation in healthcare? Rouse, William B Systems Research and Behavioral Science 2009 Vol 26 (5) p573-582 abstract  Developed by Mark Heffernan See also IM-614 for learning effects.

Research Costs and Outcomes
Geoff McDonnell
Adapted from Fig.1. and 2, from Ana V Diez Roux (2011) Complex Systems Thinking May Help Us Transcend Current Impasses in Health Disparities Research  Am J Public Health 2011;101 1627-1634   http://ajph.aphapublications.org/cgi/content/abstract/101/9/1627?etoc
Health Care Health Disparities SDOH Determinants Inequality Social Determinants Social

Adapted from Fig.1. and 2, from Ana V Diez Roux (2011) Complex Systems Thinking May Help Us Transcend Current Impasses in Health Disparities Research Am J Public Health 2011;101 1627-1634  http://ajph.aphapublications.org/cgi/content/abstract/101/9/1627?etoc

Genes environment and health disparities interplay
Geoff McDonnell
Model combining system dynamics and agent based modeling. Based on Prochaska's Transtheoretical Model of Behaviour Change. See also preceding SD Version  IM-574
Smoking Hybrid Behavior ABM Prevention Health Care
Model combining system dynamics and agent based modeling. Based on Prochaska's Transtheoretical Model of Behaviour Change. See also preceding SD Version IM-574
Clone of Clone of Clone of Smoking Cessation
Luis R Matos
WIP for Continuity of care ISO From Wikipedia Initial Insight Representation from ContSys IM-4008  with split off  patient  and professional statecharts See  IM-2846  for Agent with infectious disease and  IM-6913  for ED Physician INteraction
Health Care Clinical Care Decision Making EHealth

WIP for Continuity of care ISO From Wikipedia Initial Insight Representation from ContSys

IM-4008 with split off patient and professional statecharts See IM-2846 for Agent with infectious disease and IM-6913 for ED Physician INteraction
Clinical Process with Patient and Professional States
Geoff McDonnell
3 months ago
Based on Chris Argyris 2010 Book Organizational Traps Oxford University Press, built around  Insight 619  on single and double loop learning
Rhetoric Organization Performance Health Care Learning
Based on Chris Argyris 2010 Book Organizational Traps Oxford University Press, built around Insight 619 on single and double loop learning
Clone of Organizational Traps Argyris
Sharifah Nuralina
WIP Based on Sheldrick Implementation science 2016  article  A system dynamics model of clinical decision thresholds for the detection of developmental-behavioral disorders. Vensim model modified to show patterns  
Referral Learning Clinical Reasoning Decision Making ROC Inference Health Care Clinical Care Test
WIP Based on Sheldrick Implementation science 2016 article A system dynamics model of clinical decision thresholds for the detection of developmental-behavioral disorders. Vensim model modified to show patterns

 

Clinical Decision Threshold Dynamics
Geoff McDonnell
This model insight a public health makes predictions about the epidemic assess the effectiveness of strategies and make decisions to control outbreak.
Health care Virus
This model insight a public health makes predictions about the epidemic assess the effectiveness of strategies and make decisions to control outbreak.
Epidemic Model
Goldi Jess Enriquez
Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584.
Health Care Technology Diffusion

Simple Bass diffusion modified from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9. Compare with the SI infectious disease model Insight 584.

Diffusion of Innovation Bass Model
Julius Neviera
Modelling prevalence of cardiovascular disease within a population using agent based modelling. The initial population is defined within Tools->Variables and macros. This is a partial model that is not yet complete.
Agent Based Model. Health Care Healthcare Public Health Caridiovascular Disease
Modelling prevalence of cardiovascular disease within a population using agent based modelling. The initial population is defined within Tools->Variables and macros.

This is a partial model that is not yet complete.
Cardiovascular Model V1.0
David Plummer
A SEIR Model of SARS Pandemic With Isolation and Quarantine, based on Introduction to Computational Science by Shiflet
Health Care SARS Pandemic
A SEIR Model of SARS Pandemic With Isolation and Quarantine, based on Introduction to Computational Science by Shiflet
Clone of Model Spread of SARS
reno marcello m
A RIch Picture unfolding representation of ED overcrowding based on Using system dynamics principles for conceptual modelling of publicly funded hospitals by HJWong et al Journal of the Operational Research Society advance online publication, 27 April 2011 doi:10.1057/jors.2010.164. 
Health Care

A RIch Picture unfolding representation of ED overcrowding based on Using system dynamics principles for conceptual modelling of publicly funded hospitals by HJWong et al Journal of the Operational Research Society advance online publication, 27 April 2011 doi:10.1057/jors.2010.164. 

Clone of ED Crowding Hospitals and Beyond Rich Pic km clone
keith masnick
 Karim Chichakly's Baby Health Care System Model preceding more complex hierarchical model with more general non-US terms. Needs review of forecast trend and calibration
Health System Services Regional Costs Technology Health Care
 Karim Chichakly's Baby Health Care System Model preceding more complex hierarchical model with more general non-US terms. Needs review of forecast trend and calibration
Simple Health Care System Model
Geoff McDonnell
6 months ago
From Werner Ulrich 's JORS Articles Operational research and critical systems thinking – an integrated perspective. Part 1 : OR as applied systems thinking.  Journal of the Operational Research Societ y advance online publication (14 December 2011). and Part 2  :OR as argumentative practice.
Systemic Health Care Realist Methods

From Werner Ulrich's JORS Articles Operational research and critical systems thinking – an integrated perspective. Part 1: OR as applied systems thinking. Journal of the Operational Research Society advance online publication (14 December 2011). and Part 2 :OR as argumentative practice.

Clone of Critical Systems Thinking
Pagandai V Pannir Selvam
Modified from Mark Paich et al. 's book : Pharmaceutical product strategy. Fig 4.7 p 69. It formed the basis of a hypertension intervention discussion Aug-Sept 2010
Population Health Clinical Care Chronic Disease Health Care

Modified from Mark Paich et al. 's book: Pharmaceutical product strategy. Fig 4.7 p 69. It formed the basis of a hypertension intervention discussion Aug-Sept 2010

Clone of Hypertension Intervention generalised
Mounir ATTIEH
SIR model with waning immunity - Metrics by Guy Lakeman A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity
Disease Health Ebola Health Care

SIR model with waning immunity - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

A Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease model with waning immunity


SIR model with waning immunity - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
Guy Lakeman
3
WIP Stock Flow representation of Panarchy Adaptive Cycles
Health Care Environment Panarchy Capability Resilience

WIP Stock Flow representation of Panarchy Adaptive Cycles

Clone of Adaptive Cycles Stock Flow
JP Burklow
From David Rees PhD dissertation "Developing a Theory of Implementation for Better Chronic Health Management" Health Services Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand
Clinical Care Regional Services Implementation Chronic Disease Health Care
From David Rees PhD dissertation "Developing a Theory of Implementation for Better Chronic Health Management" Health Services Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand
Clone of Implementing Chronic Care Management
Saki Ando
A SEIR Model of SARS Pandemic With Isolation and Quarantine, based on Introduction to Computational Science by Shiflet and Shiflet Quarantine is when someone exposed to infected people, whether infected or not, and advised to stay at home. Isolation is when someone exposed to infected people,
Pandemic SARS Health Care
A SEIR Model of SARS Pandemic With Isolation and Quarantine, based on Introduction to Computational Science by Shiflet and Shiflet

Quarantine is when someone exposed to infected people, whether infected or not, and advised to stay at home.

Isolation is when someone exposed to infected people, get infected, detected, and send to hospital.

Assumption:
- No births
- Dead only caused by SARS
- Contact between susceptible and infected are constant. Contact does not affected by population density
- Quarantine factor for susceptible and exposed is same.
- Quarantine and isolation is fully efective. Someone who quarantined or isolated cannot transmit or exposed to SARS
- Someone who has already recovered from SARS gained fully effective immunity, thus cannot re-infected
SEIR Model of SARS
Aldo Arya Saka Mukti
19
Bond Graph Kinetic Modeling Metabolic Map by J LeFevre   http://www.systemdynamics.org/conferences/2004/SDS_2004/PAPERS/379LEFEV.pdf See also  IM-857  and  IM-2235  for more detail
Enzyme Biomedical Health Care

Bond Graph Kinetic Modeling Metabolic Map by J LeFevre  http://www.systemdynamics.org/conferences/2004/SDS_2004/PAPERS/379LEFEV.pdf

See also IM-857 and IM-2235 for more detail

Clone of Michaelis Menten Enzyme Metabolic Map
tiger