Insight diagram
version of Suicide 4 insight  focussed on PTSD in Veterans
Clone of Suicide Dynamics 5
Insight diagram

From Werner Ulrich's JORS Articles Operational research and critical systems thinking – an integrated perspective. Part 1: OR as applied systems thinking. Journal of the Operational Research Society advance online publication (14 December 2011). and Part 2 :OR as argumentative practice.

Clone of Critical Systems Thinking
Insight diagram
From David Rees PhD dissertation "Developing a Theory of Implementation for Better Chronic Health Management" Health Services Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand
Clone of Implementing Chronic Care Management
Insight diagram

An exploration of interactions among 'fuzzy' qualitative concepts that interact to produce either tolerance or violent conflict. ​Z509 p43-49 System Zoo 3 by Hartmut Bossel.

Clone of Aggression
Insight diagram
Based on Psychological Medicine Dec 2015 article Depression as a systemic syndrome: mapping the feedback loops of major depressive disorder by A. K. Wittenborn, H. Rahmandad, J. Rick and N. Hosseinichimeh, mentioned here
Clone of Depression Dynamics
Insight diagram
Based on Mark Heffernan's ithink Model of Pharmacy Workforce Supply and Demand
Pharmacist Workforce
Insight diagram
Health Care, CHC Assessment process
CHC Model v1 RW
Insight diagram

Model for Rehab 2139 Board Game by Mark Heffernan and Lynette Lee

Rehab Ward Flows
Insight diagram
From David Rees PhD dissertation "Developing a Theory of Implementation for Better Chronic Health Management" Health Services Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand
Clone of Implementing Chronic Care Management
Insight diagram
A model of thermostat action including conversions between heat and temperature and outside temperature. See also, after this model, how the concept map of a thermostat at IM-735 changed to the concept map at IM-736
Clone of Thermostat
Insight diagram

Simple rich picture causal loop diagram of single and double loop learning (DLL). See Individual Learning IM-616  See also DLL simulation insight

Single and double loop learning simple rich picture
Insight diagram

Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model (circa 2015) - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.

Addition of a slider for susceptibles is equivalent to accumulated total cases

SARS, MERS AND COVID are similar virus types only differing in their sub genus

The COVID outbreak has reached 150,000 infected people

This simulation allows an attempt at predicting how long the virus will persist and its longevity dependence on its high speed massive infection numbers that have reached pandemic proportions

SARS reached 8,000 infected total and ran for 9 months before stopping

MERS 2012 is still killing 8 years later with patients dying even after using interferon to try and cure them

Clone of Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
Insight diagram

Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model (circa 2015) - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.

Addition of a slider for susceptibles is equivalent to accumulated total cases

SARS, MERS AND COVID are similar virus types only differing in their sub genus

The COVID outbreak has reached 150,000 infected people

This simulation allows an attempt at predicting how long the virus will persist and its longevity dependence on its high speed massive infection numbers that have reached pandemic proportions

SARS reached 8,000 infected total and ran for 9 months before stopping

MERS 2012 is still killing 8 years later with patients dying even after using interferon to try and cure them

Clone of Upgrade of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
Insight diagram
From Navid G's HSR 2013 paper Fig 1
Practice Variation, Bias and Experiential Learning
Insight diagram
See reference in diagram notes. WIP for Environment part of primary care regional model
Clone of The Ecology of Medical Care
Insight diagram

Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman

This is a simple SIR infectious diseases 3 stock model with Susceptibles, Infectives and Recovereds stocks. In the initial description the R signified Removed and could include Deaths, Recovered with immunity to infection (Resistant) or those who had fled the epidemic. Note the need to initiate the epidemic by adding a pulse of a single infected person at time 0.

Clone of Kermack–McKendrick Epidemic SIR Infectious Disease Model - Metrics by Guy Lakeman
Insight diagram

Simulation model version of IM-398 CLD (which lists the reference).The dynamics of emergency and elective admissions competing for vacant ward beds in a hospital. Here Bed Capacity is a fixed parameter. For an adjusted bed capacity stock see IM-8862.For backlog and services see IM-8382

Clone of Hospital Emergency and Elective Admission Interaction Simulation 1
Insight diagram

Replaced by IM-752 Causal Loop Rich Picture unfolding from Repenning, N. and J. Sterman (2002). Capability Traps and Self-Confirming Attribution Errors in the Dynamics of Process Improvement. Administrative Science Quarterly, 47: 265 - 295. http://jsterman.scripts.mit.edu/docs/Repenning-2002-CapabilityTraps.pdf

Clone of Capability Traps
Insight diagram
A combination of qualitative and quantitative methods for implementing a systems approach, including virtual intervention experiments using computer simulation models.
Clone of Systems Methods
Insight diagram
感染係数: ウイルスの感染しやすさ
致死係数: 重症患者の死にやすさ
初期潜伏感染者: 初めの潜伏感染者数
政策閾値: 緊急事態宣言を出す判断を行う陽性判定数
政策日数: 政策の長さ
政策病床数: 政策によって追加されるホテル病床数
政策外出率: 政策期間の外出率

バグ:
病床使用率が1を超える
陽性判定数が発症者の係数倍
政策による効果の粒度が粗い
メディア効果、病床数効果あり感染モデル
Insight diagram

Cloned from Ash Moran's Insight 1256 Systems and Models (Hartmut Bossel) Figure 2.16. Notation matches the Appendix of Marten Scheffer's 2009 Book Critical Transitions in Nature and Society p329 

Logistic growth from Critical Transitions
5 months ago
Insight diagram
CLD: Safety Incidents 2.0
Insight diagram
A SEIR Model of SARS Pandemic With Isolation and Quarantine, based on Introduction to Computational Science by Shiflet and Shiflet

Quarantine is when someone exposed to infected people, whether infected or not, and advised to stay at home.

Isolation is when someone exposed to infected people, get infected, detected, and send to hospital.

Assumption:
- No births
- Dead only caused by SARS
- Contact between susceptible and infected are constant. Contact does not affected by population density
- Quarantine factor for susceptible and exposed is same.
- Quarantine and isolation is fully efective. Someone who quarantined or isolated cannot transmit or exposed to SARS
- Someone who has already recovered from SARS gained fully effective immunity, thus cannot re-infected
Clone of SEIR Model of SARS
Insight diagram

WIP Simplest Innovation diffusion model from Sterman Business Dynamics Ch9, with Correlation coefficients added, from Taylor TRB et al. (2010)  Improving model understanding using statistical screening System Dynamics Review 26 (1) p 73-87

Clone of Innovation Diffusion Model with Correlation